資產類別價格/收益聽日7 日下個月下年5 年10年MACD信號MA交叉200日MA趨勢波動率夏普比率股息收益率
US 10Y Treasury Yield
US10Y
債券
4.59%
4.55%
-0.91%
4.49%
-2.29%
4.38%
-4.49%
4.24%
-7.62%
4.11%
-10.39%
9.74%
+112.13%
看跌Death Cross
Downtrend6.96% below
Moderate29.87%
0.333.97%
US 30Y Treasury Yield
US30Y
債券
5.13%
5.08%
-0.92%
5.01%
-2.26%
4.94%
-3.73%
4.83%
-5.75%
4.81%
-6.22%
11.04%
+115.29%
看跌Death Cross
Downtrend4.15% below
Moderate34.11%
0.584.39%
US2Y Treasury Yield
US2Y
債券
4.07%
4.03%
-0.91%
3.97%
-2.29%
3.88%
-4.55%
3.71%
-8.63%
3.49%
-14.17%
8.54%
+110.03%
看跌Death Cross
Downtrend12.82% below
Moderate38.09%
0.024.38%
UK 10Y Gilt Yield
UK10Y
債券
4.99%
4.94%
-0.92%
4.88%
-2.29%
4.76%
-4.55%
5.02%
+0.64%
5.49%
+9.98%
10.81%
+116.64%
看涨Golden Cross
Uptrend7.09% above
Moderate37.73%
1.614.50%
Germany 10Y Bond Yield
DE10Y
債券
3.09%
3.06%
-0.89%
3.02%
-2.29%
2.95%
-4.52%
3.15%
+2.05%
3.43%
+11.03%
6.53%
+111.66%
看涨Golden Cross
Uptrend4.85% above
Moderate35.50%
1.184.39%
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風險通知： 呢個預測只係提供資訊，唔係財務建議；準確度取決於波動性、流動性、宏觀事件同其他外部因素。

Biggest Yield Drops 每年

1
2Y
US2Y
−61.2bp
2
5年
US5Y
−56.2bp
3
10Y
US 10Y
−53.5bp
4
GILT
UK Gilt 10Y
−50.2bp

Rising Yields 下星期 每週

1
GILT
UK Gilt 10Y
+2.8bp
2
BTP
Italy BTP 10Y
+2.8bp
3
10Y
US 10Y
+2.5bp
4
BND
German Bund
+2.2bp

熱門交易資產

US Treasuries
2Y
US2Y
↓ −1bp
5年
US5Y
↑ +1bp
10Y
US 10Y
↑ +3bp
30Y
US 30Y
↑ +2bp
European Sovereigns
BND
German Bund
↑ +1bp
GILT
UK Gilt
↑ +2bp
OAT
France OAT
↑ +1bp
BTP
Italy BTP
↑ +2bp
Asia-Pacific 债券
JGB
Japan JGB
↑ +1bp
AGB
Australia 10Y
↑ +2bp
CGB
China 10Y
↓ −1bp
KTB
Korea 10Y
↑ +1bp

邊個時間框架啱你？

Each column in the table serves a different fixed-income strategy.
明天
Bond 短線炒家
Treasury futures day trading. React to auction results & economic prints.
下星期
Macro Traders
Position around FOMC meetings, CPI releases & employment reports.
下個月
Curve Traders
Yield curve steepener/flattener trades, duration management & hedging.
下年
Income 投資者
Lock in yields, ladder maturities & plan rate-cycle positioning.

運作方式

1

Rate & Curve Analysis

Fed funds futures, OIS swaps, term premium models, yield curve dynamics.

2

央行政策

FOMC dot plots, ECB forward guidance, Bo J YCC, Bo E MPC signals.

3

Inflation & Growth Data

50K+ sources — CPI, PCE, employment, GDP, Treasury auction demand.

重要免责声明

All forecasts are for educational purposes only. Based on historical data with average 65–70% accuracy. Bond yields can change at any time.

Not financial advice. Fixed-income trading involves risk including loss of principal. Consult a licensed advisor before trading.

US Treasury Dept
Federal Reserve
ECB & Bo J Data
50K+ News Sources
Auction Results
每小時更新

常见问题解答

How accurate are the yield predictions?
65–70% directional accuracy on 24h forecasts, 58–63% weekly. Bond yields are heavily influenced by central bank policy which can shift quickly.
How often are bond forecasts updated?
Every hour. Extra recalculations within 15 分鐘 after FOMC decisions, CPI/NFP releases, Treasury auctions, or ECB/BoJ policy changes.
What does it mean when yields drop in the yearly forecast?
Falling yields mean bond prices rise. The model expects central banks to cut rates over the coming year, which pushes yields lower and bond values higher.
Why is the Japan JGB yield forecast rising?
The Bank of Japan has been gradually normalizing policy away from ultra-low rates. The model projects continued slow upward pressure on Japanese yields.
What's the 2s10s spread shown in Market Pulse?
It's the difference between 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields. Positive = normal curve, negative = inverted curve (recession signal). Currently +22bp (mildly positive).
呢個係財務建議嗎？
No. Educational only. Bond trading involves risk of loss. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor.

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