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UK 10Y Gilt Yield 预报: 明天, 下周, 下个月, 5年

已更新: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC

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▼ -0.35%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Rates + macro

预测总结

大体时间	预计价格	过去的	历史	洞察力
明天	4.431% ▼ -1.14%	昨天	4.499% ▼ -1.61%	Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~3.58%).
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~3.58%).
下周	4.353% ▼ -2.90%	上星期	4.600% ▲ +9.55%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
下个月	4.220% ▼ -5.86%	上个月	4.366% ▲ +1254.19%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
明年	5.021% ▲ +12.00%	去年	4.532% ▼ -57.21%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年	5.558% ▲ +24.00%	5年前	10.590% ▲ +133.69%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

明天4.431%▼ -1.14%

昨天4.499%▼ -1.61%

Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~3.58%).

下周4.353%▼ -2.90%

上星期4.600%▲ +9.55%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

下个月4.220%▼ -5.86%

上个月4.366%▲ +1254.19%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

明年5.021%▲ +12.00%

去年4.532%▼ -57.21%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5年5.558%▲ +24.00%

5年前10.590%▲ +133.69%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

价格走势图

历史预报看涨看跌

技术分析

Bullish

看涨

中性的

看跌

关键指标

指标	价值	信号
RSI 14	60.7	Bullish
MACD	0.50	Bullish
SMA 50	3.691%	Above
SMA 200	2.361%	Above
EMA 20	9.755%	Below

史料

Open4.499%

Start Date

Day Range3.905% – 4.689%

Market Cap

Monthly Range3.862% – 4.689%

24h Volume

90D Range0.209% – 4.689%

Circulating

52W Range0.209% – 5.432%

Max Supply

Open	4.499%	Start Date
Day Range	3.905% – 4.689%	Market Cap
Monthly Range	3.862% – 4.689%	24h Volume
90D Range	0.209% – 4.689%	Circulating
52W Range	0.209% – 5.432%	Max Supply

支撑位和阻力位

5.225%R3 — upper range

4.942%R2 — swing high

4.730%R1 — near-term cap

4.483%当前价格UK10Y

4.235%S1 — short-term supportSupport

4.023%S2 — trend support

3.741%S3 — range low

↑

Nearest resistance is 4.730%; break above may accelerate momentum.

↓

Nearest support sits near 4.235%; watch reaction around this zone.

⚖

Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 3.58%.

价格里程碑

关键层面和历史背景

Recent4.483%Current

Current reference level.

90D High4.689%Range High

Highest close in recent lookback window.

90D Low0.209%Range Low

Lowest close in recent lookback window.

预测准确度

我们的模型表现如何

72%

定向

Forecast Accuracy

Higher volatility regime detected; short-term directional confidence is reduced.

📊

我们的算法每周使用最新的价格行为、波动机制和指标信号进行重新校准。准确性因时间范围而异——短期势头比长期预测更可靠。

Tomorrow

76%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

73%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

70%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

65%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±14%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

投资场景

如果您今天投资 $1,000 于 UK10Y

Bullish Case

$1,321.60

+32.16% from current

目标价格5.924%

设想Breakout continuation

可能性25%

Base Case

$1,120.00

+12.00% from current

目标价格5.021%

设想Trend-following baseline

可能性50%

Bearish Case

$847.30

-15.27% from current

目标价格3.798%

设想Volatility drawdown

可能性25%

基础: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.15% / 30D) and volatility regime (3.58% daily).

	UK10Y
UK10Y	1.00

预测因素

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 37/100

24H drift-1.14%

7D drift-2.90%

30D drift-5.86%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 84/100

RSI60.9 · Bullish

MACD0.53 · Bullish

MA stack2/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 54/100

1M outlook-5.86%

1Y outlook+12.00%

5Y outlook+24.00%

常见问题解答

Q What is the UK 10Y Gilt Yield forecast for tomorrow?

UK 10Y Gilt Yield is projected near 4.431% versus the latest reference around 4.483%. That implies a modeled move of -1.14% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for UK 10Y Gilt Yield?

The weekly model points to 4.353%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.90% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 4.220% (-5.86%), while the 1-year target is 5.021% (+12.00%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 5.558% with a modeled change of +24.00%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 4.730%, while nearest support is around 4.235%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

UK 10Y Gilt Yield 预报: 明天, 下周, 下个月, 5年

预测总结

价格走势图

技术分析

关键指标

史料

支撑位和阻力位

价格里程碑

预测准确度

投资场景

相关矩阵

预测因素

常见问题解答

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