Obligasi Akurat & Prakiraan Ngasilakekanggo Saben dina, Mingguan, Saben wulan, Taunan
Prediksi asil sing didhukung AI kanggo Perbendaharaan AS, Bunds Jerman, Gilts Inggris, JGB Jepang & liyane - dianyari saben jam.
AS 10Y4,485% + 3bp
AS 2Y4,262% −1bp
2s10s Nyebar+22 bp
Sinyal Aktif56
Dianyari 9 min ago
| Bond / Ngasilake | Kadewasan | Ngasilake saiki | sesuk | Minggu ngarep | Wulan ngarep | Taun ngarep | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 taun | 4,485% | 4,492% ↑ +0,7bp | 4,510% ↑ +2.5bp | 4,420% ↓ −6.5bp | 3,950% ↓ −53,5bp | › | |
| 2 taun | 4,262% | 4,258% ↓ −0.4bp | 4,240% ↓ −2.2bp | 4,180% ↓ −8.2bp | 3,650% ↓ −61.2bp | › | |
| 30 taun | 4,658% | 4,665% ↑ +0,7bp | 4,680% ↑ +2.2bp | 4.600% ↓ −5.8bp | 4,220% ↓ −43,8bp | › | |
| 5 taun | 4,342% | 4,348% ↑ +0,6bp | 4,360% ↑ +1,8bp | 4,280% ↓ −6.2bp | 3,780% ↓ −56.2bp | › | |
| 10 taun | 2,368% | 2,372% ↑ +0.4bp | 2,390% ↑ +2.2bp | 2,320% ↓ −4.8bp | 2,050% ↓ −31,8bp | › | |
GILT | 10 taun | 4,482% | 4,488% ↑ +0,6bp | 4,510% ↑ +2,8bp | 4,420% ↓ −6.2bp | 3,980% ↓ −50.2bp | › |
| 10 taun | 1,242% | 1,245% ↑ +0.3bp | 1,260% ↑ +1,8bp | 1,280% ↑ +3,8bp | 1,450% ↑ +20,8bp | › | |
| 10 taun | 3,148% | 3,152% ↑ +0.4bp | 3,170% ↑ +2.2bp | 3.100% ↓ −4.8bp | 2,820% ↓ −32.8bp | › | |
| 10 taun | 3,512% | 3,518% ↑ +0,6bp | 3,540% ↑ +2,8bp | 3,460% ↓ −5.2bp | 3,120% ↓ −39.2bp | › | |
| 10 taun | 4,418% | 4,424% ↑ +0,6bp | 4,440% ↑ +2.2bp | 4,360% ↓ −5.8bp | 3,920% ↓ −49.8bp | › |
↑ = asil mundhak (rega obligasi mudhun) · ↓ = asil mudhun (rega obligasi mundhak) · bp = titik basis (0,01%)
Notifikasi risiko:Prakiraan iki mung informasi, dudu saran finansial; Akurasi gumantung saka volatilitas, likuiditas, acara makro, lan faktor eksternal liyane.
Klik sembarang baris kanggo ndeleng analisis lengkap →Tuladha: Prakiraan Treasury US 10Y
Pametumu paling gedhe DropsTaunan - bullish kanggo obligasi
1
2Y
AS 2Y
−61.2bp
2
5Y
AS 5Y
−56.2bp
3
10 Y
AS 10Y
−53,5bp
4
GILT
UK Gilt 10Y
−50,2 bp
Rising Ngasilake Minggu Ngajengbearish kanggo obligasi
1
GILT
UK Gilt 10Y
+2,8 bp
2
BTP
Italia BTP 10Y
+2,8 bp
3
10 Y
AS 10Y
+2,5 bp
4
BND
Jerman Bund
+2,2 bp
Aset Dagang Panas
Obligasi Asia-Pasifik
JGB
JGB Jepang
↑ +1bp
AGB
Australia 10Y
↑ +2bp
CGB
Cina 10Y
↓ −1bp
KTB
Korea 10Y
↑ +1bp
Jangka wektu sing cocog karo sampeyan?
Saben kolom ing tabel nyedhiyakake strategi penghasilan tetep sing beda.
sesuk
Bond Scalpers
Dagang dina berjangka Treasury. Reaksi marang asil lelang & cetakan ekonomi.
Minggu ngarep
Pedagang Makro
Posisi ing sekitar rapat FOMC, rilis CPI & laporan tenaga kerja.
Wulan ngarep
Pedagang kurva
Curve curve steepener / flattener dagang, manajemen durasi & hedging.
Taun ngarep
Investor Pendapatan
Kunci asil, kadewasan tangga & rencana posisi siklus tingkat.
Cara Kerjane
1
Rate & Curve Analysis
Futures dana Fed, swap OIS, model premium jangka, dinamika kurva ngasilake.
2
Kebijakan Bank Sentral
Plot titik FOMC, pandhuan maju ECB, BoJ YCC, sinyal BoE MPC.
3
Data Inflasi & Pertumbuhan
50K+ sumber - CPI, PCE, lapangan kerja, PDB, panjaluk lelang Treasury.
Penafian Penting
Kabeh ramalan mung kanggo tujuan pendidikan. Adhedhasar data historis kanthi rata-rata akurasi 65-70%. Ngasilake obligasi bisa diganti kapan wae.
Ora saran financial. Dagang penghasilan tetep kalebu risiko kalebu mundhut pokok. Hubungi penasihat sing dilisensi sadurunge dagang.
Departemen Keuangan AS
Federal Reserve
Data ECB & BoJ
50K+ Sumber Warta
Asil Lelang
Dianyari Saben Jam
Pitakonan sing Sering Ditakoni
Sepira akurat prediksi asil?
Akurasi arah 65-70% ing ramalan 24 jam, 58-63% saben minggu. Ngasilake obligasi akeh banget dipengaruhi dening kabijakan bank sentral sing bisa cepet owah.
Sepira kerepe ramalan obligasi dianyari?
Saben jam. Recalculations ekstra ing 15 min sawise kaputusan FOMC, rilis CPI / NFP, lelang Treasury, utawa owah-owahan kebijakan ECB / BoJ.
Apa tegese nalika panenan mudhun ing ramalan taunan?
Mudhun ngasilake tegese prices obligasi mundhak. Model kasebut ngarepake bank-bank pusat bakal ngethok tarif sajrone taun sing bakal teka, sing nyebabake ngasilake luwih murah lan nilai obligasi luwih dhuwur.
Napa prakiraan hasil JGB Jepang mundhak?
Bank of Japan wis mboko sithik normalake kabijakan adoh saka tarif ultra-rendah. Proyèk-proyèk model terus meksa munggah alon ing pangasil Jepang.
Apa panyebaran 2s10 sing ditampilake ing Market Pulse?
Iku bedane antarane 10 taun lan 2 taun Treasury ngasilaken. Positif = kurva normal, negatif = kurva terbalik (sinyal resesi). Saiki +22bp (positif entheng).
Apa saran finansial iki?
Ora mung pendidikan. Perdagangan obligasi kalebu risiko mundhut. Tansah nindakake riset dhewe lan takon karo penasehat finansial sing dilisensi.
Entuk Akses Lengkap menyang Kabeh Prakiraan Obligasi & Hasil
Sinyal intraday, tandha khusus, lan 20+ obligasi negara saka AS, Eropa, lan Asia-Pasifik.
Entuk Akses Lengkap