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UK 10Y Gilt Yield Prakiraan: sesuk, Minggu, wulan, 5 taun

Dianyari: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -0.35%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Rates + macro

Ringkesan Ramalan

Jangka wektuPrediksi regakepungkurSajarahWawasan
sesuk4.431% -1.14%wingi4.499% -1.61%Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~3.58%).
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~3.58%).
Minggu4.353% -2.90%Minggu kepungkur4.600% +9.55%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
wulan4.220% -5.86%Wulan kepungkur4.366% +1254.19%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
taun5.021% +12.00%Taun kepungkur4.532% -57.21%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 taun5.558% +24.00%5 Taun kepungkur10.590% +133.69%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
sesuk4.431% -1.14%
wingi4.499% -1.61%
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~3.58%).
Minggu4.353% -2.90%
Minggu kepungkur4.600% +9.55%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
wulan4.220% -5.86%
Wulan kepungkur4.366% +1254.19%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
taun5.021% +12.00%
Taun kepungkur4.532% -57.21%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 taun5.558% +24.00%
5 Taun kepungkur10.590% +133.69%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Chart rega

SajarahPrakiraanBullishBearish
4.760%4.568%4.376%4.183%3.991%1W AgoNow7D F

Analisis Teknis

ngedolNetraltuku
Bullish
4
Bullish
0
Netral
1
Bearish

Indikator Kunci

IndikatorNilaiSinyal
RSI 1460.7 Bullish
MACD0.50 Bullish
SMA 503.691% Above
SMA 2002.361% Above
EMA 209.755% Below

Data Historis

Open4.499%
Start Date
Day Range3.905% – 4.689%
Market Cap
Monthly Range3.862% – 4.689%
24h Volume
90D Range0.209% – 4.689%
Circulating
52W Range0.209% – 5.432%
Max Supply
Open4.499%Start Date
Day Range3.905% – 4.689%Market Cap
Monthly Range3.862% – 4.689%24h Volume
90D Range0.209% – 4.689%Circulating
52W Range0.209% – 5.432%Max Supply

Tingkat Dhukungan & Resistance

5.225%R3 — upper range
4.942%R2 — swing high
4.730%R1 — near-term cap
4.483%Rega saikiUK10Y
4.235%S1 — short-term supportSupport
4.023%S2 — trend support
3.741%S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 4.730%; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 4.235%; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 3.58%.

Harga Milestones

Tingkat kunci & konteks sejarah
Recent4.483%Current
Current reference level.
90D High4.689%Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low0.209%Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Akurasi Prakiraan

Carane model kita wis nindakake
72%
arah
Forecast Accuracy
Higher volatility regime detected; short-term directional confidence is reduced.
📊
Algoritma kita dikalibrasi maneh saben minggu nggunakake aksi rega paling anyar, rezim volatilitas, lan sinyal indikator. Akurasi beda-beda miturut jangka wektu - momentum jangka pendek luwih dipercaya tinimbang proyeksi jangka panjang.
Tomorrow
76%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
73%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
70%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
65%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Skenario Investasi

Yen sampeyan nandur modal $1,000 ing UK10Y dina iki
Bullish Case
$1,321.60
+32.16% from current
Target Price5.924%
SkenarioBreakout continuation
Kemungkinan25%
Base Case
$1,120.00
+12.00% from current
Target Price5.021%
SkenarioTrend-following baseline
Kemungkinan50%
Bearish Case
$847.30
-15.27% from current
Target Price3.798%
SkenarioVolatility drawdown
Kemungkinan25%
dhasar: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.15% / 30D) and volatility regime (3.58% daily).

Matriks Korelasi

Rolling 30 dina · carane UK10Y obah karo aset liyane
UK10Y
UK10Y1.00

Faktor Prakiraan

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 37/100
24H drift-1.14%
7D drift-2.90%
30D drift-5.86%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 84/100
RSI60.9 · Bullish
MACD0.53 · Bullish
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 54/100
1M outlook-5.86%
1Y outlook+12.00%
5Y outlook+24.00%

Pitakonan sing Sering Ditakoni

Q What is the UK 10Y Gilt Yield forecast for tomorrow?
UK 10Y Gilt Yield is projected near 4.431% versus the latest reference around 4.483%. That implies a modeled move of -1.14% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for UK 10Y Gilt Yield?
The weekly model points to 4.353%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.90% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 4.220% (-5.86%), while the 1-year target is 5.021% (+12.00%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 5.558% with a modeled change of +24.00%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 4.730%, while nearest support is around 4.235%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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