» 全て » Forex Forecast » USD/ZAR 予報

USD/ZAR 予報: 明日, 週, 月, 5年

更新されました: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +10.64%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Macro + technical

予測の概要

時間枠予想価格過去歴史的洞察力
明日16.0518 +0.51%昨日15.9478 +0.49%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.78%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.78%).
16.1913 +1.38%先週16.0701 +0.34%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
16.4723 +3.14%先月16.4965 -3.97%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
15.4062 -3.54%去年18.3190 -3.74%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年15.0334 -5.87%5年前14.5763 -20.43%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
明日16.0518 +0.51%
昨日15.9478 +0.49%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.78%).
16.1913 +1.38%
先週16.0701 +0.34%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
16.4723 +3.14%
先月16.4965 -3.97%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
15.4062 -3.54%
去年18.3190 -3.74%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年15.0334 -5.87%
5年前14.5763 -20.43%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気
16.485016.311716.138415.965215.79191W AgoNow7D F

テクニカル分析

売る中性買う
Bearish
1
強気
1
中性
3
弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ価値信号
RSI 1448.9 Neutral
MACD-0.06 Bearish
SMA 5016.3978 Below
SMA 20017.2822 Below
EMA 2014.7542 Above

過去のデータ

Open15.9333
Start Date
Day Range15.8688 – 15.9965
Market Cap
Monthly Range15.7100 – 16.5121
24h Volume
90D Range15.7100 – 17.4910
Circulating
52W Range15.7100 – 19.7578
Max Supply
Open15.9333Start Date
Day Range15.8688 – 15.9965Market Cap
Monthly Range15.7100 – 16.512124h Volume
90D Range15.7100 – 17.4910Circulating
52W Range15.7100 – 19.7578Max Supply

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

16.5481R3 — upper range
16.3283R2 — swing high
16.1634R1 — near-term cap
15.9710現在の価格USD
15.7786S1 — short-term supportSupport
15.6137S2 — trend support
15.3939S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 16.1634; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 15.7786; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 0.78%.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景
Recent15.9710Current
Current reference level.
90D High17.4910Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low15.7100Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス
74%
指向性
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を USD に投資した場合
Bullish Case
$1,138.27
+13.83% from current
目標価格18.1793
シナリオBreakout continuation
確率25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
目標価格16.6098
シナリオTrend-following baseline
確率50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
目標価格14.0545
シナリオVolatility drawdown
確率25%
基礎: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.10% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.78% daily).

相関行列

30 日ローリング · USD が他の資産とどのように移動するか
USD
USD1.00

予測要因

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 57/100
24H drift+0.51%
7D drift+1.38%
30D drift+3.14%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 31/100
RSI48.8 · Neutral
MACD-0.07 · Bearish
MA stack1/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 47/100
1M outlook+3.14%
1Y outlook-3.54%
5Y outlook-5.87%

よくある質問

Q What is the USD/ZAR forecast for tomorrow?
USD/ZAR is projected near 16.0518 versus the latest reference around 15.9710. That implies a modeled move of +0.51% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/ZAR?
The weekly model points to 16.1913, which maps to an expected drift of +1.38% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 16.4723 (+3.14%), while the 1-year target is 15.4062 (-3.54%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 15.0334 with a modeled change of -5.87%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 16.1634, while nearest support is around 15.7786. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.