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USD/BRL 予報: 明日, 週, 月, 5年

更新されました: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -2.99%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Macro + technical

予測の概要

時間枠予想価格過去歴史的洞察力
明日5.1835 -0.46%昨日5.2139 +0.29%Tomorrow's USD/BRL (USD) setup is anchored to 5.2074 and targets 5.1835 (-0.46%). The near-term read is downside; watch 5.2516 / 5.1632 because daily realized volatility is about 1.27%.
Tomorrow's USD/BRL (USD) setup is anchored to 5.2074 and targets 5.1835 (-0.46%). The near-term read is downside; watch 5.2516 / 5.1632 because daily realized volatility is about 1.27%.
5.1432 -1.23%先週5.2380 -0.78%The 7-day USD/BRL model moves from 5.2380 to 5.1432 (-1.23%). It gives downside momentum context for this forex pair, so breaks around 5.2516 / 5.1632 matter more than a single tick.
The 7-day USD/BRL model moves from 5.2380 to 5.1432 (-1.23%). It gives downside momentum context for this forex pair, so breaks around 5.2516 / 5.1632 matter more than a single tick.
5.0389 -3.24%先月5.4216 +1.75%The 1-month USD/BRL target is 5.0389 (-3.24%), compared with the live reference near 5.2074. This horizon blends current trend pressure with rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.
The 1-month USD/BRL target is 5.0389 (-3.24%), compared with the live reference near 5.2074. This horizon blends current trend pressure with rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.
5.0730 -2.58%去年5.7013 +15.30%The 1-year USD/BRL scenario points to 5.0730 (-2.58%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
The 1-year USD/BRL scenario points to 5.0730 (-2.58%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
5年4.9976 -4.03%5年前5.6793 -0.39%The 5-year USD/BRL view is 4.9976 (-4.03%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
The 5-year USD/BRL view is 4.9976 (-4.03%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
明日5.1835 -0.46%
昨日5.2139 +0.29%
Tomorrow's USD/BRL (USD) setup is anchored to 5.2074 and targets 5.1835 (-0.46%). The near-term read is downside; watch 5.2516 / 5.1632 because daily realized volatility is about 1.27%.
5.1432 -1.23%
先週5.2380 -0.78%
The 7-day USD/BRL model moves from 5.2380 to 5.1432 (-1.23%). It gives downside momentum context for this forex pair, so breaks around 5.2516 / 5.1632 matter more than a single tick.
5.0389 -3.24%
先月5.4216 +1.75%
The 1-month USD/BRL target is 5.0389 (-3.24%), compared with the live reference near 5.2074. This horizon blends current trend pressure with rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.
5.0730 -2.58%
去年5.7013 +15.30%
The 1-year USD/BRL scenario points to 5.0730 (-2.58%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
5年4.9976 -4.03%
5年前5.6793 -0.39%
The 5-year USD/BRL view is 4.9976 (-4.03%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気
5.24575.20285.15995.11705.07411W AgoNow7D F

テクニカル分析

売る中性買う
Bearish
0
強気
0
中性
5
弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ価値信号
RSI 1439.6 Bearish
MACD-0.07 Bearish
SMA 505.3664 Below
SMA 2005.4351 Below
EMA 205.5047 Below

過去のデータ

Open5.2240
Start Date
Day Range5.2074 – 5.2243
Market Cap
Monthly Range5.1836 – 5.4075
24h Volume
90D Range5.1836 – 5.5900
Circulating
52W Range5.1836 – 6.0205
Max Supply
Open5.2240Start Date
Day Range5.2074 – 5.2243Market Cap
Monthly Range5.1836 – 5.407524h Volume
90D Range5.1836 – 5.5900Circulating
52W Range5.1836 – 6.0205Max Supply

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

5.3399R3 — upper range
5.2894R2 — swing high
5.2516R1 — near-term cap
5.2074現在の価格USD
5.1632S1 — short-term supportSupport
5.1254S2 — trend support
5.0749S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 5.2516; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 5.1632; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is bear-leaning with daily volatility around 0.55%.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景
Recent5.2074Current
Current reference level.
90D High5.5900Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low5.1836Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス
74%
指向性
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を USD に投資した場合
Bullish Case
$1,149.56
+14.96% from current
目標価格5.9862
シナリオBreakout continuation
確率25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
目標価格5.4157
シナリオTrend-following baseline
確率50%
Bearish Case
$870.87
-12.91% from current
目標価格4.5350
シナリオVolatility drawdown
確率25%
基礎: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.13% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.55% daily).

予測要因

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 44/100
24H drift-0.46%
7D drift-1.23%
30D drift-3.24%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 8/100
RSI39.7 · Bearish
MACD-0.06 · Bearish
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 44/100
1M outlook-3.24%
1Y outlook-2.58%
5Y outlook-4.03%

よくある質問

Q What is the USD/BRL (USD) forecast for tomorrow?
Using the latest BeCoin market snapshot (February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC), USD/BRL is projected near 5.1835 versus the current reference around 5.2074. That implies a modeled move of -0.46% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day forex pair outlook suggest for USD?
The weekly USD/BRL model points to 5.1432, which maps to an expected drift of -1.23% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so support/resistance breaks can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the USD/BRL 1-month and 1-year targets?
The USD/BRL 1-month target is 5.0389 (-3.24%), while the 1-year target is 5.0730 (-2.58%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions shaped by rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.
Q Why does the USD/BRL 5-year scenario differ from short-term rows?
The USD/BRL long-horizon scenario sits near 4.9976 with a modeled change of -4.03%. It compounds cycle-continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are USD support and resistance zones right now?
For USD/BRL, nearest resistance is around 5.2516, while nearest support is around 5.1632. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh is the USD/BRL market snapshot?
The displayed forex pair snapshot is labeled February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC; the latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the market feed so the FAQ, milestones, and support/resistance context stay tied to the same data refresh.