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USD/MXN 予報: 明日, 週, 月, 5年

更新されました: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -14.00%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Macro + technical

予測の概要

時間枠予想価格過去歴史的洞察力
明日17.0245 ▼ -0.77%昨日17.2070 ▲ +0.08%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
週16.8224 ▼ -1.94%先週17.3244 ▼ -0.18%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
月16.3245 ▼ -4.85%先月17.9112 ▼ -2.21%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
年16.0672 ▼ -6.35%去年20.2940 ▲ +19.69%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年15.3575 ▼ -10.48%5年前20.1604 ▼ -0.66%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
明日17.0245▼ -0.77%
昨日17.2070▲ +0.08%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
週16.8224▼ -1.94%
先週17.3244▼ -0.18%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
月16.3245▼ -4.85%
先月17.9112▼ -2.21%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
年16.0672▼ -6.35%
去年20.2940▲ +19.69%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年15.3575▼ -10.48%
5年前20.1604▼ -0.66%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気
17.228817.070716.912516.754416.59631W AgoNow7D F

テクニカル分析

売る中性買う
Bearish
0
強気
0
中性
5
弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ価値信号
RSI 1442.8 Bearish
MACD-0.12 Bearish
SMA 5017.7127 Below
SMA 20018.4501 Below
EMA 2020.5232 Below

過去のデータ

Open17.2025
Start Date
Day Range17.1370 – 17.2025
Market Cap
Monthly Range17.1499 – 17.9834
24h Volume
90D Range17.1499 – 18.6755
Circulating
52W Range17.1499 – 20.8362
Max Supply
Open17.2025Start Date
Day Range17.1370 – 17.2025Market Cap
Monthly Range17.1499 – 17.983424h Volume
90D Range17.1499 – 18.6755Circulating
52W Range17.1499 – 20.8362Max Supply

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

17.5952R3 — upper range
17.4279R2 — swing high
17.3024R1 — near-term cap
17.1560現在の価格USD
17.0096S1 — short-term supportSupport
16.8841S2 — trend support
16.7168S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is 17.3024; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near 17.0096; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is bear-leaning with daily volatility around 0.55%.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景
Recent17.1560Current
Current reference level.
90D High18.6755Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low17.1499Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス
74%
指向性
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を USD に投資した場合
Bullish Case
$1,105.11
+10.51% from current
目標価格18.9593
シナリオBreakout continuation
確率25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
目標価格17.8422
シナリオTrend-following baseline
確率50%
Bearish Case
$856.38
-14.36% from current
目標価格14.6921
シナリオVolatility drawdown
確率25%
基礎: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.14% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.55% daily).

相関行列

30 日ローリング · USD が他の資産とどのように移動するか
USD
USD1.00

予測要因

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 40/100
24H drift-0.77%
7D drift-1.94%
30D drift-4.85%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 23/100
RSI42.9 · Neutral
MACD-0.10 · Bearish
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 38/100
1M outlook-4.85%
1Y outlook-6.35%
5Y outlook-10.48%

よくある質問

Q What is the USD/MXN forecast for tomorrow?
USD/MXN is projected near 17.0245 versus the latest reference around 17.1560. That implies a modeled move of -0.77% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/MXN?
The weekly model points to 16.8224, which maps to an expected drift of -1.94% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 16.3245 (-4.85%), while the 1-year target is 16.0672 (-6.35%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 15.3575 with a modeled change of -10.48%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 17.3024, while nearest support is around 17.0096. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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