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USD/ARS 予報: 明日, 週, 月, 5年

更新されました: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +1481.80%Technical analysis Neutral · Focus area Macro + technical

予測の概要

時間枠予想価格過去歴史的洞察力
明日1,410.1916 +0.80%昨日1,397.1127 -0.52%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.42%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.42%).
1,426.9798 +2.00%先週1,447.7563 +0.71%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
1,468.9490 +5.00%先月1,474.7455 +4.82%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
1,501.0863 +7.30%去年1,058.8801 +25.42%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年1,562.9518 +11.72%5年前92.1686 -91.30%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
明日1,410.1916 +0.80%
昨日1,397.1127 -0.52%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.42%).
1,426.9798 +2.00%
先週1,447.7563 +0.71%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
1,468.9490 +5.00%
先月1,474.7455 +4.82%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
1,501.0863 +7.30%
去年1,058.8801 +25.42%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年1,562.9518 +11.72%
5年前92.1686 -91.30%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気
1446.15841432.93611419.71381406.49161393.26931W AgoNow7D F

テクニカル分析

売る中性買う
Bearish
2
強気
0
中性
3
弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ価値信号
RSI 1425.5 Bearish
MACD-0.72 Bearish
SMA 501,442.7770 Below
SMA 2001,350.4091 Above
EMA 2089.7197 Above

過去のデータ

Open1,399.0000
Start Date
Day Range1,399.0000 – 1,399.0000
Market Cap
Monthly Range1,397.1127 – 1,469.7388
24h Volume
90D Range1,348.4193 – 1,490.2386
Circulating
52W Range1,058.2578 – 1,490.2386
Max Supply
Open1,399.0000Start Date
Day Range1,399.0000 – 1,399.0000Market Cap
Monthly Range1,397.1127 – 1,469.738824h Volume
90D Range1,348.4193 – 1,490.2386Circulating
52W Range1,058.2578 – 1,490.2386Max Supply

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

1,428.3790R3 — upper range
1,417.1870R2 — swing high
1,408.7930R1 — near-term cap
1,399.0000現在の価格USD
1,389.2070S1 — short-term supportSupport
1,380.8130S2 — trend support
1,369.6210S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 1,408.7930; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 1,389.2070; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.42%.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景
Recent1,399.0000Current
Current reference level.
90D High1,490.2386Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low1,348.4193Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス
75%
指向性
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。
Tomorrow
79%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
76%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
73%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
68%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を USD に投資した場合
Bullish Case
$1,266.11
+26.61% from current
目標価格1,771.2818
シナリオBreakout continuation
確率25%
Base Case
$1,072.97
+7.30% from current
目標価格1,501.0863
シナリオTrend-following baseline
確率50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
目標価格1,231.1200
シナリオVolatility drawdown
確率25%
基礎: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.17% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.42% daily).

相関行列

30 日ローリング · USD が他の資産とどのように移動するか
USD
USD1.00

予測要因

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 60/100
24H drift+0.80%
7D drift+2.00%
30D drift+5.00%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 25/100
RSI25.4 · Bearish
MACD-0.74 · Bearish
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 57/100
1M outlook+5.00%
1Y outlook+7.30%
5Y outlook+11.72%

よくある質問

Q What is the USD/ARS forecast for tomorrow?
USD/ARS is projected near 1410.1916 versus the latest reference around 1399.0000. That implies a modeled move of +0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/ARS?
The weekly model points to 1426.9798, which maps to an expected drift of +2.00% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 1468.9490 (+5.00%), while the 1-year target is 1501.0863 (+7.30%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 1562.9518 with a modeled change of +11.72%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 1,408.7930, while nearest support is around 1,389.2070. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.