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USD/TWD 予報: 明日, 週, 月, 5年

更新されました: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +12.02%Technical analysis Neutral · Focus area Macro + technical

予測の概要

時間枠予想価格過去歴史的洞察力
明日31.5613 +0.65%昨日31.4169 +0.25%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.35%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.35%).
31.9039 +1.74%先週31.6571 +0.69%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
32.5746 +3.88%先月31.3587 +0.56%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
32.5252 +3.72%去年32.6933 +3.76%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年33.1905 +5.84%5年前28.5000 -12.83%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
明日31.5613 +0.65%
昨日31.4169 +0.25%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.35%).
31.9039 +1.74%
先週31.6571 +0.69%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
32.5746 +3.88%
先月31.3587 +0.56%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
32.5252 +3.72%
去年32.6933 +3.76%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年33.1905 +5.84%
5年前28.5000 -12.83%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気
32.332632.045131.757631.470131.18261W AgoNow7D F

テクニカル分析

売る中性買う
Neutral
2
強気
1
中性
2
弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ価値信号
RSI 1447.1 Neutral
MACD-0.06 Bearish
SMA 5031.4475 Below
SMA 20030.5104 Above
EMA 2027.9615 Above

過去のデータ

Open31.4120
Start Date
Day Range31.2840 – 31.4120
Market Cap
Monthly Range31.1103 – 31.6823
24h Volume
90D Range30.5431 – 31.6823
Circulating
52W Range28.8190 – 33.2625
Max Supply
Open31.4120Start Date
Day Range31.2840 – 31.4120Market Cap
Monthly Range31.1103 – 31.682324h Volume
90D Range30.5431 – 31.6823Circulating
52W Range28.8190 – 33.2625Max Supply

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

32.0175R3 — upper range
31.7667R2 — swing high
31.5785R1 — near-term cap
31.3590現在の価格USD
31.1395S1 — short-term supportSupport
30.9513S2 — trend support
30.7005S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 31.5785; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 31.1395; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.35%.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景
Recent31.3590Current
Current reference level.
90D High31.6823Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low30.5431Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス
74%
指向性
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を USD に投資した場合
Bullish Case
$1,223.88
+22.39% from current
目標価格38.3797
シナリオBreakout continuation
確率25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
目標価格32.6134
シナリオTrend-following baseline
確率50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
目標価格27.5959
シナリオVolatility drawdown
確率25%
基礎: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.00% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.35% daily).

相関行列

30 日ローリング · USD が他の資産とどのように移動するか
USD
USD1.00

予測要因

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 58/100
24H drift+0.65%
7D drift+1.74%
30D drift+3.88%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 40/100
RSI47.0 · Neutral
MACD-0.07 · Bearish
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 54/100
1M outlook+3.88%
1Y outlook+3.72%
5Y outlook+5.84%

よくある質問

Q What is the USD/TWD forecast for tomorrow?
USD/TWD is projected near 31.5613 versus the latest reference around 31.3590. That implies a modeled move of +0.65% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/TWD?
The weekly model points to 31.9039, which maps to an expected drift of +1.74% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 32.5746 (+3.88%), while the 1-year target is 32.5252 (+3.72%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 33.1905 with a modeled change of +5.84%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 31.5785, while nearest support is around 31.1395. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.