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USD/PLN 予報: 明日, 週, 月, 5年

更新されました: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -3.80%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Macro + technical

予測の概要

時間枠予想価格過去歴史的洞察力
明日3.5341 -0.55%昨日3.5493 +0.04%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.51%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.51%).
3.5016 -1.47%先週3.5706 +0.86%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
3.4278 -3.54%先月3.5951 -1.81%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
3.4466 -3.01%去年3.9606 -0.47%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年3.3846 -4.76%5年前3.8055 -3.92%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
明日3.5341 -0.55%
昨日3.5493 +0.04%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.51%).
3.5016 -1.47%
先週3.5706 +0.86%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
3.4278 -3.54%
先月3.5951 -1.81%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
3.4466 -3.01%
去年3.9606 -0.47%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年3.3846 -4.76%
5年前3.8055 -3.92%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気
3.57653.54603.51553.48503.45451W AgoNow7D F

テクニカル分析

売る中性買う
Bearish
0
強気
1
中性
4
弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ価値信号
RSI 1452.9 Neutral
MACD-0.05 Bearish
SMA 503.5847 Below
SMA 2003.6461 Below
EMA 203.7530 Below

過去のデータ

Open3.5497
Start Date
Day Range3.5412 – 3.5564
Market Cap
Monthly Range3.4925 – 3.6311
24h Volume
90D Range3.4925 – 3.7078
Circulating
52W Range3.4925 – 4.0048
Max Supply
Open3.5497Start Date
Day Range3.5412 – 3.5564Market Cap
Monthly Range3.4925 – 3.631124h Volume
90D Range3.4925 – 3.7078Circulating
52W Range3.4925 – 4.0048Max Supply

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

3.6368R3 — upper range
3.6052R2 — swing high
3.5814R1 — near-term cap
3.5537現在の価格USD
3.5260S1 — short-term supportSupport
3.5022S2 — trend support
3.4706S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 3.5814; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 3.5260; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is bear-leaning with daily volatility around 0.51%.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景
Recent3.5537Current
Current reference level.
90D High3.7078Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low3.4925Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス
74%
指向性
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を USD に投資した場合
Bullish Case
$1,144.43
+14.44% from current
目標価格4.0669
シナリオBreakout continuation
確率25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
目標価格3.6958
シナリオTrend-following baseline
確率50%
Bearish Case
$868.11
-13.19% from current
目標価格3.0850
シナリオVolatility drawdown
確率25%
基礎: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.04% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.51% daily).

相関行列

30 日ローリング · USD が他の資産とどのように移動するか
USD
USD1.00

予測要因

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 43/100
24H drift-0.55%
7D drift-1.47%
30D drift-3.54%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 23/100
RSI53.0 · Neutral
MACD-0.04 · Bearish
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 43/100
1M outlook-3.54%
1Y outlook-3.01%
5Y outlook-4.76%

よくある質問

Q What is the USD/PLN forecast for tomorrow?
USD/PLN is projected near 3.5341 versus the latest reference around 3.5537. That implies a modeled move of -0.55% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/PLN?
The weekly model points to 3.5016, which maps to an expected drift of -1.47% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 3.4278 (-3.54%), while the 1-year target is 3.4466 (-3.01%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 3.3846 with a modeled change of -4.76%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 3.5814, while nearest support is around 3.5260. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.