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USD/PEN Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

更新されました: March 13, 2026 at 11:54 UTC

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▲ +0.89%TA 弱気 · Focus マクロ+テクニカル

予測の概要

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時間枠	予想価格	過去	歴史的	洞察力
明日	3.4197 ▼ -0.80%	昨日	3.4170 ▲ +0.89%	Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~1.39%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~1.39%).
週	3.3801 ▼ -1.95%	先週	3.3424 ▲ +3.14%	7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
月	3.2987 ▼ -4.31%	先月	3.3560 ▲ +2.72%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
年	3.2782 ▼ -4.90%	去年	3.6600 ▼ -5.81%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年	3.2242 ▼ -6.47%	5年前	3.6910 ▼ -6.60%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

明日3.4197▼ -0.80%

昨日3.4170▲ +0.89%

Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~1.39%).

週3.3801▼ -1.95%

先週3.3424▲ +3.14%

7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.

月3.2987▼ -4.31%

先月3.3560▲ +2.72%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

年3.2782▼ -4.90%

去年3.6600▼ -5.81%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5年3.2242▼ -6.47%

5年前3.6910▼ -6.60%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気

テクニカル分析

Neutral

強気

中性

弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ	価値	信号
RSI 14	38.7	Bearish
MACD	-0.02	Neutral
SMA 50	3.3842	Above
SMA 200	3.4458	Mid
EMA 20	3.4390	Mid

過去のデータ

Open3.4170

Start Date2001-05-31

Day Range3.4473 – 3.4473

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range3.2746 – 3.4870

24h Volumen/a

90D Range3.2614 – 3.4870

Circulatingn/a

52W Range3.2614 – 3.8040

Max Supplyn/a

Open	3.4170	Start Date	2001-05-31
Day Range	3.4473 – 3.4473	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	3.2746 – 3.4870	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	3.2614 – 3.4870	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	3.2614 – 3.8040	Max Supply	n/a

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

3.5913R3 — major ceiling

3.5481R2 — swing resistance

3.5049R1 — near-term resistance

3.4473現在の価格USD

3.3784S1 — near-term supportSupport

3.2749S2 — structure support

3.1715S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near 3.5049; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around 3.3784; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 1.74% daily realized volatility.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景

Recent3.4473Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High3.4473Local High0.00%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low3.4473Local Low0.00%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target3.2987Model 1M-4.31%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target3.2782Model 1Y-4.91%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario3.2242Model 5Y-6.47%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス

82%

指向性

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (1.74% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。

Tomorrow

85%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

83%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

80%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

75%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±2.9%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を USD に投資した場合

Bullish Case

$1120.00

+12.00% from current

目標価格3.8610

シナリオBreakout continuation

確率32%

Base Case

$956.89

-4.31% from current

目標価格3.2987

シナリオTrend-following baseline

確率40%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

目標価格3.1715

シナリオVolatility drawdown

確率28%

基礎: Scenario engine blends live drift (-4.31% / 30D) and realized volatility (1.74% daily).

相関行列

30 日ローリング · USD が他の資産とどのように移動するか

	USD	USDPEN	EURCAD	USDMXN	USDJPY	USDPLN
USD	1.00	0.96	-0.91	0.84	-0.80	0.77
USDPEN	0.96	1.00	-0.96	0.93	-0.78	0.92
EURCAD	-0.91	-0.96	1.00	-0.90	0.74	-0.90
USDMXN	0.84	0.93	-0.90	1.00	-0.63	0.95
USDJPY	-0.80	-0.78	0.74	-0.63	1.00	-0.59
USDPLN	0.77	0.92	-0.90	0.95	-0.59	1.00

予測要因

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 41/100

24H drift-0.80%

7D drift-1.95%

30D drift-4.31%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 40/100

RSI38.8 · Bearish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack1/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-Off Caution · 41/100

1M outlook-4.31%

1Y outlook-4.90%

5Y outlook-6.47%

よくある質問

Q What is the USD forecast for tomorrow?

USD is projected near 3.4197 versus the latest reference around 3.4473. That implies a modeled move of -0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD?

The weekly model points to 3.3801, which maps to an expected drift of -1.95% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 3.2987 (-4.31%), while the 1-year target is 3.2782 (-4.90%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 3.2242 with a modeled change of -6.47%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 3.5049, while nearest support is around 3.3784. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly 3.4473 to 3.4473. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.