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EUR/JPY 予報: 明日, 週, 月, 5年

更新されました: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +42.28%Technical analysis Neutral · Focus area Macro + technical

予測の概要

時間枠予想価格過去歴史的洞察力
明日183.3736 ▲ +0.80%昨日181.3720 ▼ -0.36%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.52%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.52%).
週185.5567 ▲ +2.00%先週185.1830 ▲ +1.04%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
月191.0126 ▲ +5.00%先月183.7470 ▲ +1.43%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
年194.6313 ▲ +6.99%去年156.8790 ▼ -3.94%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年202.6741 ▲ +11.41%5年前130.5100 ▼ -16.81%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
明日183.3736▲ +0.80%
昨日181.3720▼ -0.36%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.52%).
週185.5567▲ +2.00%
先週185.1830▲ +1.04%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
月191.0126▲ +5.00%
先月183.7470▲ +1.43%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
年194.6313▲ +6.99%
去年156.8790▼ -3.94%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年202.6741▲ +11.41%
5年前130.5100▼ -16.81%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気
188.0506186.3312184.6118182.8924181.17311W AgoNow7D F

テクニカル分析

売る中性買う
Bearish
2
強気
0
中性
3
弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ価値信号
RSI 1443.5 Bearish
MACD-0.50 Bearish
SMA 50183.5290 Below
SMA 200175.0727 Above
EMA 20128.5918 Above

過去のデータ

Open181.0650
Start Date
Day Range181.0590 – 182.2970
Market Cap
Monthly Range181.3720 – 186.2900
24h Volume
90D Range175.5560 – 186.2900
Circulating
52W Range155.9280 – 186.2900
Max Supply
Open181.0650Start Date
Day Range181.0590 – 182.2970Market Cap
Monthly Range181.3720 – 186.290024h Volume
90D Range175.5560 – 186.2900Circulating
52W Range155.9280 – 186.2900Max Supply

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

186.2623R3 — upper range
184.6077R2 — swing high
183.3668R1 — near-term cap
181.9190現在の価格EUR
180.4712S1 — short-term supportSupport
179.2303S2 — trend support
177.5757S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is 183.3668; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near 180.4712; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.52%.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景
Recent181.9190Current
Current reference level.
90D High186.2900Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low175.5560Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス
74%
指向性
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を EUR に投資した場合
Bullish Case
$1,262.46
+26.25% from current
目標価格229.6649
シナリオBreakout continuation
確率25%
Base Case
$1,069.88
+6.99% from current
目標価格194.6313
シナリオTrend-following baseline
確率50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
目標価格160.0887
シナリオVolatility drawdown
確率25%
基礎: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.03% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.52% daily).

相関行列

30 日ローリング · EUR が他の資産とどのように移動するか
EUR
EUR1.00

予測要因

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 60/100
24H drift+0.80%
7D drift+2.00%
30D drift+5.00%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 40/100
RSI43.4 · Neutral
MACD-0.52 · Bearish
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 57/100
1M outlook+5.00%
1Y outlook+6.99%
5Y outlook+11.41%

よくある質問

Q What is the EUR/JPY forecast for tomorrow?
EUR/JPY is projected near 183.3736 versus the latest reference around 181.9190. That implies a modeled move of +0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for EUR/JPY?
The weekly model points to 185.5567, which maps to an expected drift of +2.00% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 191.0126 (+5.00%), while the 1-year target is 194.6313 (+6.99%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 202.6741 with a modeled change of +11.41%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 183.3668, while nearest support is around 180.4712. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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