USD/IDR 予報: 明日, 週, 月, 5年

更新されました: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC

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▲ +21.09%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Macro + technical

予測の概要

時間枠	予想価格	過去	歴史的	洞察力
明日	16,927.8098 ▲ +0.52%	昨日	16,809.0000 ▲ +0.09%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.24%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.24%).
週	17,072.5913 ▲ +1.38%	先週	16,800.0000 ▲ +0.39%	7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
月	17,322.3336 ▲ +2.86%	先月	16,683.0000 ▼ -0.02%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
年	17,530.2240 ▲ +4.10%	去年	16,245.0996 ▲ +3.04%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年	17,936.6578 ▲ +6.51%	5年前	14,558.0000 ▼ -10.39%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

明日16,927.8098▲ +0.52%

昨日16,809.0000▲ +0.09%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.24%).

週17,072.5913▲ +1.38%

先週16,800.0000▲ +0.39%

7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.

月17,322.3336▲ +2.86%

先月16,683.0000▼ -0.02%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

年17,530.2240▲ +4.10%

去年16,245.0996▲ +3.04%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5年17,936.6578▲ +6.51%

5年前14,558.0000▼ -10.39%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気

テクニカル分析

Bullish

強気

中性

弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ	価値	信号
RSI 14	61.4	Bullish
MACD	-122.12	Bearish
SMA 50	16,759.8120	Above
SMA 200	16,507.4959	Above
EMA 20	14,141.9900	Above

過去のデータ

Open16,835.0000

Start Date

Day Range16,835.0000 – 16,840.0000

Market Cap

Monthly Range16,674.6992 – 16,960.0996

24h Volume

90D Range16,150.0000 – 16,960.0996

Circulating

52W Range15,598.5000 – 17,051.9004

Max Supply

Open	16,835.0000	Start Date
Day Range	16,835.0000 – 16,840.0000	Market Cap
Monthly Range	16,674.6992 – 16,960.0996	24h Volume
90D Range	16,150.0000 – 16,960.0996	Circulating
52W Range	15,598.5000 – 17,051.9004	Max Supply

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

17,193.6400R3 — upper range

17,058.9200R2 — swing high

16,957.8800R1 — near-term cap

16,840.0000現在の価格USD

16,722.1200S1 — short-term supportSupport

16,621.0800S2 — trend support

16,486.3600S3 — range low

↑

Nearest resistance is 16,957.8800; break above may accelerate momentum.

↓

Nearest support sits near 16,722.1200; watch reaction around this zone.

⚖

Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.24%.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景

Recent16,840.0000Current

Current reference level.

90D High16,960.0996Range High

Highest close in recent lookback window.

90D Low16,150.0000Range Low

Lowest close in recent lookback window.

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス

74%

指向性

Forecast Accuracy

Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.

📊

当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。

Tomorrow

78%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

75%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

72%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

67%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±14%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を USD に投資した場合

Bullish Case

$1,228.36

+22.84% from current

目標価格20,685.6643

シナリオBreakout continuation

確率25%

Base Case

$1,040.99

+4.10% from current

目標価格17,530.2240

シナリオTrend-following baseline

確率50%

Bearish Case

$880.00

-12.00% from current

目標価格14,819.2000

シナリオVolatility drawdown

確率25%

基礎: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.03% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.24% daily).

相関行列

30 日ローリング · USD が他の資産とどのように移動するか

	USD
USD	1.00

予測要因

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Balanced · 56/100

24H drift+0.52%

7D drift+1.38%

30D drift+2.86%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 63/100

RSI61.3 · Bullish

MACD-122.13 · Bearish

MA stack3/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 54/100

1M outlook+2.86%

1Y outlook+4.10%

5Y outlook+6.51%

よくある質問

Q What is the USD/IDR forecast for tomorrow?

USD/IDR is projected near 16927.8098 versus the latest reference around 16840.0000. That implies a modeled move of +0.52% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/IDR?

The weekly model points to 17072.5913, which maps to an expected drift of +1.38% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 17322.3336 (+2.86%), while the 1-year target is 17530.2240 (+4.10%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 17936.6578 with a modeled change of +6.51%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 16,957.8800, while nearest support is around 16,722.1200. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

USD/IDR 予報: 明日, 週, 月, 5年

予測の概要

価格表

テクニカル分析

主要な指標

過去のデータ

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

価格マイルストーン

予測精度

投資シナリオ

相関行列

予測要因

よくある質問

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