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GBP/CHF 明日、週、月、5年 の予測

更新されました: 2026 年 2 月 16 日 21:36 UTC
▼ -15.31%テクニカル分析 弱気 · 重点領域 マクロ+テクニカル

予測の概要

時間枠予想価格過去歴史的洞察力
明日1.0404 -0.78%昨日1.0476 -0.27%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.39%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.39%).
1.0279 -1.96%先週1.0605 -0.24%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
1.0000 -4.63%先月1.0661 +1.35%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
1.0023 -4.41%去年1.1378 +1.30%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年0.9761 -6.91%5年前1.2687 +11.50%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
明日1.0404 -0.78%
昨日1.0476 -0.27%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.39%).
1.0279 -1.96%
先週1.0605 -0.24%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
1.0000 -4.63%
先月1.0661 +1.35%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
1.0023 -4.41%
去年1.1378 +1.30%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年0.9761 -6.91%
5年前1.2687 +11.50%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
リスク通知:この予測は情報提供のみを目的としており、財務上のアドバイスではありません。精度はボラティリティ、流動性、マクロイベント、その他の外部要因に依存します。

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気
1.05291.04321.03351.02381.0141先週7日間

テクニカル分析

売る中性買う
弱気
0
強気
1
中性
4
弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ価値信号
相対強度指数 (RSI 14)37.1 弱気
移動平均収束発散 (MACD)-0.03 中性
単純移動平均 (SMA 50)1.0646 下に
単純移動平均 (SMA 200)1.0765 下に
指数移動平均 (EMA 20)1.2665 下に

過去のデータ

開ける1.0484
開始日
日範囲1.0463 – 1.0510
時価総額
月次範囲1.0476 – 1.0754
24 時間量
90 日範囲1.0432 – 1.0754
循環
52 週の範囲1.0432 – 1.1481
最大供給量
開ける1.0484開始日
日範囲1.0463 – 1.0510時価総額
月次範囲1.0476 – 1.075424 時間量
90 日範囲1.0432 – 1.0754循環
52 週の範囲1.0432 – 1.1481最大供給量

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

1.0705R3 — upper range
1.0621R2 — swing high
1.0558R1 — near-term cap
1.0485現在の価格GBP
1.0412S1 — short-term supportSupport
1.0349S2 — trend support
1.0265S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 1.0558; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 1.0412; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is bear-leaning with daily volatility around 0.39%.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景
最近の1.0485現在
現在の基準レベル。
90D高1.0754レンジ高
最近のルックバック ウィンドウの終値の最高値。
90D ロー1.0432範囲が低い
最近のルックバック ウィンドウの終値の最低値。

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス
74%
指向性
予測精度
モデルの信頼性は、安定したボラティリティと一貫したトレンドシグナルによって支えられています。
📊
当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。
明日
78%
方向命中率
7日間
75%
方向命中率
30日
72%
方向命中率
1年
67%
方向命中率
平均価格エラー (30D)
±14%
平均絶対偏差
最後の正しい呼び出し
最近の
直接通話 ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を GBP に投資した場合
Bullish Case
$1,127.99
+12.80% from current
目標価格1.1827
シナリオBreakout continuation
確率25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
目標価格1.0904
シナリオTrend-following baseline
確率50%
Bearish Case
$858.37
-14.16% from current
目標価格0.9000
シナリオVolatility drawdown
確率25%
基礎: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.05% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.39% daily).

相関行列

30 日ローリング · GBP が他の資産とどのように移動するか
GBP
GBP1.00

予測要因

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 40/100
24H drift-0.78%
7D drift-1.96%
30D drift-4.63%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 8/100
RSI37.2 · Bearish
MACD-0.01 · Bearish
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 41/100
1M outlook-4.63%
1Y outlook-4.41%
5Y outlook-6.91%

よくある質問

Q What is the GBP/CHF forecast for tomorrow?
GBP/CHF is projected near 1.0404 versus the latest reference around 1.0485. That implies a modeled move of -0.78% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for GBP/CHF?
The weekly model points to 1.0279, which maps to an expected drift of -1.96% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 1.0000 (-4.63%), while the 1-year target is 1.0023 (-4.41%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 0.9761 with a modeled change of -6.91%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 1.0558, while nearest support is around 1.0412. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.