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CHF/JPY 予報: 明日, 週, 月, 5年

更新されました: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +68.44%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Macro + technical

予測の概要

時間枠予想価格過去歴史的洞察力
明日201.0617 ▲ +0.80%昨日198.5590 ▼ -0.09%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
週203.4553 ▲ +2.00%先週201.8496 ▲ +1.67%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
月209.4392 ▲ +5.00%先月197.8420 ▲ +1.49%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
年217.1976 ▲ +8.89%去年166.3360 ▼ -2.13%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年230.8122 ▲ +15.72%5年前118.5343 ▼ -28.74%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
明日201.0617▲ +0.80%
昨日198.5590▼ -0.09%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
週203.4553▲ +2.00%
先週201.8496▲ +1.67%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
月209.4392▲ +5.00%
先月197.8420▲ +1.49%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
年217.1976▲ +8.89%
去年166.3360▼ -2.13%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年230.8122▲ +15.72%
5年前118.5343▼ -28.74%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気
206.1897204.3045202.4194200.5342198.64901W AgoNow7D F

テクニカル分析

売る中性買う
Bullish
4
強気
1
中性
0
弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ価値信号
RSI 1453.5 Neutral
MACD0.21 Bullish
SMA 50198.0225 Above
SMA 200187.8576 Above
EMA 20117.4471 Above

過去のデータ

Open198.6320
Start Date
Day Range198.4640 – 199.7140
Market Cap
Monthly Range196.2641 – 203.4987
24h Volume
90D Range189.2807 – 203.4987
Circulating
52W Range166.2490 – 203.4987
Max Supply
Open198.6320Start Date
Day Range198.4640 – 199.7140Market Cap
Monthly Range196.2641 – 203.498724h Volume
90D Range189.2807 – 203.4987Circulating
52W Range166.2490 – 203.4987Max Supply

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

204.5734R3 — upper range
202.6277R2 — swing high
201.1685R1 — near-term cap
199.4660現在の価格CHF
197.7635S1 — short-term supportSupport
196.3043S2 — trend support
194.3586S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is 201.1685; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near 197.7635; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.55%.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景
Recent199.4660Current
Current reference level.
90D High203.4987Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low189.2807Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス
74%
指向性
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を CHF に投資した場合
Bullish Case
$1,284.90
+28.49% from current
目標価格256.2931
シナリオBreakout continuation
確率25%
Base Case
$1,088.90
+8.89% from current
目標価格217.1976
シナリオTrend-following baseline
確率50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
目標価格175.5301
シナリオVolatility drawdown
確率25%
基礎: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.03% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.55% daily).

相関行列

30 日ローリング · CHF が他の資産とどのように移動するか
CHF
CHF1.00

予測要因

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 60/100
24H drift+0.80%
7D drift+2.00%
30D drift+5.00%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 77/100
RSI53.4 · Neutral
MACD0.19 · Bullish
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 59/100
1M outlook+5.00%
1Y outlook+8.89%
5Y outlook+15.72%

よくある質問

Q What is the CHF/JPY forecast for tomorrow?
CHF/JPY is projected near 201.0617 versus the latest reference around 199.4660. That implies a modeled move of +0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for CHF/JPY?
The weekly model points to 203.4553, which maps to an expected drift of +2.00% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 209.4392 (+5.00%), while the 1-year target is 217.1976 (+8.89%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 230.8122 with a modeled change of +15.72%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 201.1685, while nearest support is around 197.7635. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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