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USD/KRW 明日、週、月、5年 の予測

更新されました: 2026年4月28日 19:37 UTC
▼ -0.10%テクニカル分析 中性 · 重点領域 マクロ+テクニカル

予測の概要

時間枠予想価格過去歴史的洞察力
明日1462.2480 -0.70%昨日1473.9800 -0.10%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.56%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.56%).
1472.9152 +0.03%先週1469.2600 +0.22%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
1511.7012 +2.66%先月1508.3600 -2.38%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
1518.0292 +3.09%去年1437.3600 +2.45%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年1559.6442 +5.92%5年前1108.6600 +32.82%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
明日1462.2480 -0.70%
昨日1473.9800 -0.10%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.56%).
1472.9152 +0.03%
先週1469.2600 +0.22%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
1511.7012 +2.66%
先月1508.3600 -2.38%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
1518.0292 +3.09%
去年1437.3600 +2.45%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年1559.6442 +5.92%
5年前1108.6600 +32.82%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
リスク通知:この予測は情報提供のみを目的としており、財務上のアドバイスではありません。精度はボラティリティ、流動性、マクロイベント、その他の外部要因に依存します。

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気
1492.71121480.70861468.70611456.70361444.7010先週7日間

テクニカル分析

売る中性買う
強気
3
強気
1
中性
1
弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ価値信号
相対強度指数 (RSI 14)84.2 強気
移動平均収束発散 (MACD)-0.02 中性
単純移動平均 (SMA 50)1477.1057 下に
単純移動平均 (SMA 200)1435.2238 その上
指数移動平均 (EMA 20)1418.3704 その上

過去のデータ

始値1473.9800
開始日2003-12-01
日範囲1470.7800 – 1478.4600
時価総額n/a
月次範囲1465.1500 – 1516.1300
24 時間量n/a
90 日範囲1426.9301 – 1516.1300
循環n/a
52 週の範囲1348.5000 – 1516.1300
最大供給量n/a
始値1473.9800開始日2003-12-01
日範囲1470.7800 – 1478.4600時価総額n/a
月次範囲1465.1500 – 1516.130024 時間量n/a
90 日範囲1426.9301 – 1516.1300循環n/a
52 週の範囲1348.5000 – 1516.1300最大供給量n/a

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

1496.9328R3 — major ceiling
1489.6119R2 — swing resistance
1482.2911R1 — near-term resistance
1472.5300現在の価格USD
1453.6300S1 — near-term supportSupport
1411.5300S2 — structure support
1322.4200S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near 1482.2911; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around 1453.6300; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.69% daily realized volatility.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景
最近の1472.5300現在
ライブ市場フィードからの現在の参照レベル。
24時間高1478.4600ローカルハイ+0.40%
最新の市場セッションで観測されたこの日の最高値。
24時間低1470.7800ローカルロー-0.12%
最新の市場セッションで観測された日の安値。
30Dターゲット1511.7012モデル1M+2.66%
予測エンジンの中地平線投影。
1年目標1518.0292モデル1Y+3.09%
予測エンジンの長期予測。
5Yシナリオ1559.6442モデル5Y+5.92%
長期サイクルの継続シナリオ。保証されたパスではありません。

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス
83%
指向性
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.69% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Signal
Recent
Directional signal ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を USD に投資した場合
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
目標価格1649.2336
シナリオBreakout continuation
確率32%
Base Case
$1026.60
+2.66% from current
目標価格1511.7012
シナリオTrend-following baseline
確率40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
目標価格1354.7276
シナリオVolatility drawdown
確率28%
基礎: Scenario model combines current 30-day drift (+2.66%) and realized daily volatility (0.69%).

相関行列

30 日ローリング · USD が他の資産とどのように移動するか
USD
USD1.00

予測要因

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 51/100
24H drift-0.70%
7D drift+0.03%
30D drift+2.66%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 69/100
RSI84.3 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 54/100
1M outlook+2.66%
1Y outlook+3.09%
5Y outlook+5.92%

よくある質問

Q What is the USD/KRW forecast for tomorrow?
USD/KRW is projected near 1462.2480 versus the latest reference around 1472.5300. That implies a modeled move of -0.70% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/KRW?
The weekly model points to 1472.9152, which maps to an expected drift of +0.03% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 1511.7012 (+2.66%), while the 1-year target is 1518.0292 (+3.09%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 1559.6442 with a modeled change of +5.92%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 1482.2911, while nearest support is around 1453.6300. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 1470.7800 to 1478.4600. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.