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USD/CZK Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

更新されました: March 13, 2026 at 11:52 UTC
▲ +1.03%TA 弱気 · Focus マクロ+テクニカル

予測の概要

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時間枠予想価格過去歴史的洞察力
明日21.1456 -0.80%昨日21.0995 +1.03%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.49%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.49%).
20.8940 -1.98%先週20.9935 +1.54%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
20.3745 -4.42%先月20.3716 +4.64%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
20.1089 -5.66%去年22.9582 -7.15%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年19.7368 -7.41%5年前21.8318 -2.36%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
明日21.1456 -0.80%
昨日21.0995 +1.03%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.49%).
20.8940 -1.98%
先週20.9935 +1.54%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
20.3745 -4.42%
先月20.3716 +4.64%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
20.1089 -5.66%
去年22.9582 -7.15%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年19.7368 -7.41%
5年前21.8318 -2.36%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気
21.399321.202821.006320.809720.61321W AgoNow7D F

テクニカル分析

売る中性買う
Bullish
3
強気
1
中性
1
弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ価値信号
RSI 1436.9 Bearish
MACD-0.02 Neutral
SMA 5020.9705 Above
SMA 20021.2205 Above
EMA 2021.1054 Above

過去のデータ

Open21.0995
Start Date2003-12-01
Day Range21.1605 – 21.3928
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range20.3224 – 21.3161
24h Volumen/a
90D Range20.1542 – 21.3161
Circulatingn/a
52W Range20.1542 – 24.5682
Max Supplyn/a
Open21.0995Start Date2003-12-01
Day Range21.1605 – 21.3928Market Capn/a
Monthly Range20.3224 – 21.316124h Volumen/a
90D Range20.1542 – 21.3161Circulatingn/a
52W Range20.1542 – 24.5682Max Supplyn/a

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

21.5819R3 — major ceiling
21.5022R2 — swing resistance
21.4224R1 — near-term resistance
21.3161現在の価格USD
20.8898S1 — near-term supportSupport
20.2503S2 — structure support
19.6108S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near 21.4224; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around 20.8898; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.52% daily realized volatility.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景
Recent21.3161Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High21.3928Local High+0.36%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low21.1605Local Low-0.73%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target20.3745Model 1M-4.42%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target20.1089Model 1Y-5.66%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario19.7368Model 5Y-7.41%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス
83%
指向性
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.52% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を USD に投資した場合
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
目標価格23.8740
シナリオBreakout continuation
確率32%
Base Case
$955.83
-4.42% from current
目標価格20.3745
シナリオTrend-following baseline
確率40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
目標価格19.6108
シナリオVolatility drawdown
確率28%
基礎: Scenario engine blends live drift (-4.42% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.52% daily).

相関行列

30 日ローリング · USD が他の資産とどのように移動するか
USDUSDCZKUSDPENUSDPLNUSDILSEURCAD
USD1.000.940.910.890.86-0.85
USDCZK0.941.000.890.970.97-0.85
USDPEN0.910.891.000.920.82-0.96
USDPLN0.890.970.921.000.92-0.90
USDILS0.860.970.820.921.00-0.75
EURCAD-0.85-0.85-0.96-0.90-0.751.00

予測要因

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 40/100
24H drift-0.80%
7D drift-1.98%
30D drift-4.42%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Mixed — Watching · 48/100
RSI37.0 · Bearish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 40/100
1M outlook-4.42%
1Y outlook-5.66%
5Y outlook-7.41%

よくある質問

Q What is the USD forecast for tomorrow?
USD is projected near 21.1456 versus the latest reference around 21.3161. That implies a modeled move of -0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD?
The weekly model points to 20.8940, which maps to an expected drift of -1.98% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 20.3745 (-4.42%), while the 1-year target is 20.1089 (-5.66%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 19.7368 with a modeled change of -7.41%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 21.4224, while nearest support is around 20.8898. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 21.1605 to 21.3928. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.