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USD/CZK 予報: 明日, 週, 月, 5年

更新されました: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -3.24%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Macro + technical

予測の概要

時間枠予想価格過去歴史的洞察力
明日20.3557 -0.50%昨日20.4023 -0.02%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.49%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.49%).
20.1858 -1.33%先週20.6397 +1.17%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
19.8334 -3.05%先月20.6210 -1.44%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
19.9474 -2.50%去年23.8439 +2.11%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年19.6579 -3.91%5年前21.8456 -8.38%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
明日20.3557 -0.50%
昨日20.4023 -0.02%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.49%).
20.1858 -1.33%
先週20.6397 +1.17%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
19.8334 -3.05%
先月20.6210 -1.44%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
19.9474 -2.50%
去年23.8439 +2.11%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年19.6579 -3.91%
5年前21.8456 -8.38%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気
20.600020.428620.257220.085819.91451W AgoNow7D F

テクニカル分析

売る中性買う
Bearish
0
強気
1
中性
4
弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ価値信号
RSI 1452.2 Neutral
MACD-0.17 Bearish
SMA 5020.6316 Below
SMA 20021.0079 Below
EMA 2021.5487 Below

過去のデータ

Open20.3980
Start Date
Day Range20.3767 – 20.4777
Market Cap
Monthly Range20.1542 – 20.9037
24h Volume
90D Range20.1542 – 21.2051
Circulating
52W Range20.1542 – 24.0700
Max Supply
Open20.3980Start Date
Day Range20.3767 – 20.4777Market Cap
Monthly Range20.1542 – 20.903724h Volume
90D Range20.1542 – 21.2051Circulating
52W Range20.1542 – 24.0700Max Supply

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

20.9257R3 — upper range
20.7475R2 — swing high
20.6139R1 — near-term cap
20.4580現在の価格USD
20.3021S1 — short-term supportSupport
20.1685S2 — trend support
19.9903S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 20.6139; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 20.3021; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is bear-leaning with daily volatility around 0.49%.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景
Recent20.4580Current
Current reference level.
90D High21.2051Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low20.1542Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス
74%
指向性
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を USD に投資した場合
Bullish Case
$1,150.55
+15.05% from current
目標価格23.5379
シナリオBreakout continuation
確率25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
目標価格21.2763
シナリオTrend-following baseline
確率50%
Bearish Case
$872.52
-12.75% from current
目標価格17.8500
シナリオVolatility drawdown
確率25%
基礎: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.03% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.49% daily).

相関行列

30 日ローリング · USD が他の資産とどのように移動するか
USD
USD1.00

予測要因

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 44/100
24H drift-0.50%
7D drift-1.33%
30D drift-3.05%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 23/100
RSI52.3 · Neutral
MACD-0.16 · Bearish
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 44/100
1M outlook-3.05%
1Y outlook-2.50%
5Y outlook-3.91%

よくある質問

Q What is the USD/CZK forecast for tomorrow?
USD/CZK is projected near 20.3557 versus the latest reference around 20.4580. That implies a modeled move of -0.50% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/CZK?
The weekly model points to 20.1858, which maps to an expected drift of -1.33% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 19.8334 (-3.05%), while the 1-year target is 19.9474 (-2.50%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 19.6579 with a modeled change of -3.91%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 20.6139, while nearest support is around 20.3021. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.