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NZD/CHF 予報: 明日, 週, 月, 5年

更新されました: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -27.86%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Macro + technical

予測の概要

時間枠予想価格過去歴史的洞察力
明日0.4605 -0.80%昨日0.4639 -0.52%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.54%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.54%).
0.4549 -2.00%先週0.4661 +0.47%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
0.4411 -4.98%先月0.4565 +0.99%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
0.4448 -4.18%去年0.5175 -4.09%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年0.4348 -6.34%5年前0.6512 +25.83%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
明日0.4605 -0.80%
昨日0.4639 -0.52%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.54%).
0.4549 -2.00%
先週0.4661 +0.47%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
0.4411 -4.98%
先月0.4565 +0.99%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
0.4448 -4.18%
去年0.5175 -4.09%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年0.4348 -6.34%
5年前0.6512 +25.83%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気
0.46630.46190.45760.45320.44881W AgoNow7D F

テクニカル分析

売る中性買う
Bearish
1
強気
2
中性
2
弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ価値信号
RSI 1450.3 Neutral
MACD-0.02 Neutral
SMA 500.4619 Above
SMA 2000.4706 Below
EMA 200.6571 Below

過去のデータ

Open0.4630
Start Date
Day Range0.4595 – 0.4655
Market Cap
Monthly Range0.4578 – 0.4686
24h Volume
90D Range0.4478 – 0.4686
Circulating
52W Range0.4478 – 0.5166
Max Supply
Open0.4630Start Date
Day Range0.4595 – 0.4655Market Cap
Monthly Range0.4578 – 0.468624h Volume
90D Range0.4478 – 0.4686Circulating
52W Range0.4478 – 0.5166Max Supply

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

0.4757R3 — upper range
0.4713R2 — swing high
0.4680R1 — near-term cap
0.4642現在の価格NZD
0.4604S1 — short-term supportSupport
0.4571S2 — trend support
0.4527S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 0.4680; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 0.4604; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is bear-leaning with daily volatility around 0.54%.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景
Recent0.4642Current
Current reference level.
90D High0.4686Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low0.4478Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス
74%
指向性
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を NZD に投資した場合
Bullish Case
$1,130.66
+13.07% from current
目標価格0.5249
シナリオBreakout continuation
確率25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
目標価格0.4828
シナリオTrend-following baseline
確率50%
Bearish Case
$855.15
-14.48% from current
目標価格0.3970
シナリオVolatility drawdown
確率25%
基礎: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.06% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.54% daily).

相関行列

30 日ローリング · NZD が他の資産とどのように移動するか
NZD
NZD1.00

予測要因

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 40/100
24H drift-0.80%
7D drift-2.00%
30D drift-4.98%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 31/100
RSI50.4 · Neutral
MACD-0.00 · Bearish
MA stack1/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 41/100
1M outlook-4.98%
1Y outlook-4.18%
5Y outlook-6.34%

よくある質問

Q What is the NZD/CHF forecast for tomorrow?
NZD/CHF is projected near 0.4605 versus the latest reference around 0.4642. That implies a modeled move of -0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for NZD/CHF?
The weekly model points to 0.4549, which maps to an expected drift of -2.00% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 0.4411 (-4.98%), while the 1-year target is 0.4448 (-4.18%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 0.4348 with a modeled change of -6.34%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 0.4680, while nearest support is around 0.4604. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.