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USD/JPY Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

更新されました: March 13, 2026 at 11:47 UTC

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▲ +0.15%TA 中性 · Focus マクロ+テクニカル

予測の概要

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時間枠	予想価格	過去	歴史的	洞察力
明日	158.0319 ▼ -0.80%	昨日	159.0750 ▲ +0.15%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
週	156.3376 ▼ -1.86%	先週	157.5340 ▲ +1.12%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
月	154.8171 ▼ -2.82%	先月	154.4820 ▲ +3.12%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
年	153.8488 ▼ -3.43%	去年	148.2790 ▲ +7.44%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年	153.6740 ▼ -3.54%	5年前	108.5550 ▲ +46.75%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

明日158.0319▼ -0.80%

昨日159.0750▲ +0.15%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).

週156.3376▼ -1.86%

先週157.5340▲ +1.12%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

月154.8171▼ -2.82%

先月154.4820▲ +3.12%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

年153.8488▼ -3.43%

去年148.2790▲ +7.44%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5年153.6740▼ -3.54%

5年前108.5550▲ +46.75%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気

テクニカル分析

Bullish

強気

中性

弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ	価値	信号
RSI 14	87.1	Bullish
MACD	-0.02	Neutral
SMA 50	157.5169	Above
SMA 200	150.7131	Above
EMA 20	148.4051	Above

過去のデータ

Open159.0750

Start Date1996-11-01

Day Range159.0010 – 159.6840

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range152.7790 – 159.3060

24h Volumen/a

90D Range152.4530 – 159.3060

Circulatingn/a

52W Range140.8760 – 159.3060

Max Supplyn/a

Open	159.0750	Start Date	1996-11-01
Day Range	159.0010 – 159.6840	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	152.7790 – 159.3060	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	152.4530 – 159.3060	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	140.8760 – 159.3060	Max Supply	n/a

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

161.3832R3 — major ceiling

160.7601R2 — swing resistance

160.1369R1 — near-term resistance

159.3060現在の価格USD

152.7010S1 — near-term supportSupport

152.2780S2 — structure support

146.6090S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near 160.1369; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around 152.7010; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.54% daily realized volatility.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景

Recent159.3060Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High159.6840Local High+0.24%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low159.0010Local Low-0.19%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target154.8171Model 1M-2.82%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target153.8488Model 1Y-3.43%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario153.6740Model 5Y-3.54%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス

83%

指向性

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (0.54% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。

Tomorrow

86%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

84%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

81%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

76%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±2.5%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を USD に投資した場合

Bullish Case

$1120.00

+12.00% from current

目標価格178.4227

シナリオBreakout continuation

確率32%

Base Case

$971.82

-2.82% from current

目標価格154.8171

シナリオTrend-following baseline

確率40%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

目標価格146.5615

シナリオVolatility drawdown

確率28%

基礎: Scenario engine blends live drift (-2.82% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.54% daily).

相関行列

30 日ローリング · USD が他の資産とどのように移動するか

	USD	USDTRY	USDARS	USDPKR	EURCHF	SGDJPY
USD	1.00	0.99	0.99	0.98	-0.98	0.98
USDTRY	0.99	1.00	1.00	1.00	-0.99	0.98
USDARS	0.99	1.00	1.00	1.00	-0.99	0.98
USDPKR	0.98	1.00	1.00	1.00	-0.99	0.97
EURCHF	-0.98	-0.99	-0.99	-0.99	1.00	-0.98
SGDJPY	0.98	0.98	0.98	0.97	-0.98	1.00

予測要因

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 42/100

24H drift-0.80%

7D drift-1.86%

30D drift-2.82%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 77/100

RSI87.2 · Bullish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack3/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 44/100

1M outlook-2.82%

1Y outlook-3.43%

5Y outlook-3.54%

よくある質問

Q What is the USD forecast for tomorrow?

USD is projected near 158.0319 versus the latest reference around 159.3060. That implies a modeled move of -0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD?

The weekly model points to 156.3376, which maps to an expected drift of -1.86% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 154.8171 (-2.82%), while the 1-year target is 153.8488 (-3.43%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 153.6740 with a modeled change of -3.54%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 160.1369, while nearest support is around 152.7010. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly 159.0010 to 159.6840. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.