USD/JPY 予報: 明日, 週, 月, 5年

更新されました: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC

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▲ +0.01%Technical analysis Neutral · Focus area Macro + technical

予測の概要

時間枠	予想価格	過去	歴史的	洞察力
明日	153.6658 ▲ +0.10%	昨日	153.4892 ▲ +0.52%	Tomorrow's USD/JPY (USD) setup is anchored to 153.5081 and targets 153.6658 (+0.10%). The near-term read is upside; watch 154.7983 / 152.2179 because daily realized volatility is about 0.30%.
Tomorrow's USD/JPY (USD) setup is anchored to 153.5081 and targets 153.6658 (+0.10%). The near-term read is upside; watch 154.7983 / 152.2179 because daily realized volatility is about 0.30%.
週	153.9824 ▲ +0.31%	先週	154.3198 ▼ -0.93%	The 7-day USD/JPY model moves from 154.3198 to 153.9824 (+0.31%). It gives upside momentum context for this forex pair, so breaks around 154.7983 / 152.2179 matter more than a single tick.
The 7-day USD/JPY model moves from 154.3198 to 153.9824 (+0.31%). It gives upside momentum context for this forex pair, so breaks around 154.7983 / 152.2179 matter more than a single tick.
月	154.2239 ▲ +0.47%	先月	157.7975 ▲ +2.03%	The 1-month USD/JPY target is 154.2239 (+0.47%), compared with the live reference near 153.5081. This horizon blends current trend pressure with rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.
The 1-month USD/JPY target is 154.2239 (+0.47%), compared with the live reference near 153.5081. This horizon blends current trend pressure with rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.
年	153.6189 ▲ +0.07%	去年	143.4900 ▼ -0.90%	The 1-year USD/JPY scenario points to 153.6189 (+0.07%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
The 1-year USD/JPY scenario points to 153.6189 (+0.07%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
5年	153.6142 ▲ +0.07%	5年前	144.8000 ▲ +0.91%	The 5-year USD/JPY view is 153.6142 (+0.07%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
The 5-year USD/JPY view is 153.6142 (+0.07%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.

明日153.6658▲ +0.10%

昨日153.4892▲ +0.52%

Tomorrow's USD/JPY (USD) setup is anchored to 153.5081 and targets 153.6658 (+0.10%). The near-term read is upside; watch 154.7983 / 152.2179 because daily realized volatility is about 0.30%.

週153.9824▲ +0.31%

先週154.3198▼ -0.93%

The 7-day USD/JPY model moves from 154.3198 to 153.9824 (+0.31%). It gives upside momentum context for this forex pair, so breaks around 154.7983 / 152.2179 matter more than a single tick.

月154.2239▲ +0.47%

先月157.7975▲ +2.03%

The 1-month USD/JPY target is 154.2239 (+0.47%), compared with the live reference near 153.5081. This horizon blends current trend pressure with rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.

年153.6189▲ +0.07%

去年143.4900▼ -0.90%

The 1-year USD/JPY scenario points to 153.6189 (+0.07%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.

5年153.6142▲ +0.07%

5年前144.8000▲ +0.91%

The 5-year USD/JPY view is 153.6142 (+0.07%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.

Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気

テクニカル分析

Bearish

強気

中性

弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ	価値	信号
RSI 14	32.5	Bearish
MACD	-2.07	Bearish
SMA 50	156.0724	Below
SMA 200	152.0104	Above
EMA 20	147.4607	Above

過去のデータ

Open153.4862

Start Date

Day Range153.4495 – 153.5253

Market Cap

Monthly Range152.7024 – 158.4268

24h Volume

90D Range152.7024 – 159.1224

Circulating

52W Range140.8250 – 159.1224

Max Supply

Open	153.4862	Start Date
Day Range	153.4495 – 153.5253	Market Cap
Monthly Range	152.7024 – 158.4268	24h Volume
90D Range	152.7024 – 159.1224	Circulating
52W Range	140.8250 – 159.1224	Max Supply

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

157.3787R3 — upper range

155.9042R2 — swing high

154.7983R1 — near-term cap

153.5081現在の価格USD

152.2179S1 — short-term supportSupport

151.1120S2 — trend support

149.6375S3 — range low

↑

Nearest resistance is 154.7983; break above may accelerate momentum.

↓

Nearest support sits near 152.2179; watch reaction around this zone.

⚖

Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 0.55%.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景

Recent153.5081Current

Current reference level.

90D High159.1224Range High

Highest close in recent lookback window.

90D Low152.7024Range Low

Lowest close in recent lookback window.

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス

74%

指向性

Forecast Accuracy

Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.

📊

当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。

Tomorrow

78%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

75%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

72%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

67%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±14%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を USD に投資した場合

Bullish Case

$1,180.85

+18.09% from current

目標価格181.2704

シナリオBreakout continuation

確率25%

Base Case

$1,040.00

+4.00% from current

目標価格159.6484

シナリオTrend-following baseline

確率50%

Bearish Case

$880.00

-12.00% from current

目標価格135.0871

シナリオVolatility drawdown

確率25%

基礎: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.09% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.55% daily).

予測要因

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Balanced · 51/100

24H drift+0.10%

7D drift+0.31%

30D drift+0.47%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 25/100

RSI32.5 · Bearish

MACD-2.07 · Bearish

MA stack2/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 50/100

1M outlook+0.47%

1Y outlook+0.07%

5Y outlook+0.07%

よくある質問

Q What is the USD/JPY (USD) forecast for tomorrow?

Using the latest BeCoin market snapshot (February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC), USD/JPY is projected near 153.6658 versus the current reference around 153.5081. That implies a modeled move of +0.10% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day forex pair outlook suggest for USD?

The weekly USD/JPY model points to 153.9824, which maps to an expected drift of +0.31% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so support/resistance breaks can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the USD/JPY 1-month and 1-year targets?

The USD/JPY 1-month target is 154.2239 (+0.47%), while the 1-year target is 153.6189 (+0.07%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions shaped by rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.

Q Why does the USD/JPY 5-year scenario differ from short-term rows?

The USD/JPY long-horizon scenario sits near 153.6142 with a modeled change of +0.07%. It compounds cycle-continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are USD support and resistance zones right now?

For USD/JPY, nearest resistance is around 154.7983, while nearest support is around 152.2179. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh is the USD/JPY market snapshot?

The displayed forex pair snapshot is labeled February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC; the latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the market feed so the FAQ, milestones, and support/resistance context stay tied to the same data refresh.

USD/JPY 予報: 明日, 週, 月, 5年

予測の概要

価格表

テクニカル分析

主要な指標

過去のデータ

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

価格マイルストーン

予測精度

投資シナリオ

予測要因

よくある質問

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