USD/HUF 予報: 明日, 週, 月, 5年

更新されました: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC

From

▲ +8.04%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Macro + technical

予測の概要

時間枠	予想価格	過去	歴史的	洞察力
明日	319.2847 ▲ +0.28%	昨日	318.9170 ▼ -0.06%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.59%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.59%).
週	320.9936 ▲ +0.82%	先週	321.4810 ▲ +0.13%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
月	324.4118 ▲ +1.89%	先月	326.9410 ▼ -1.14%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
年	308.8912 ▼ -2.98%	去年	382.9700 ▲ +5.23%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年	302.7406 ▼ -4.91%	5年前	300.1700 ▼ -21.62%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

明日319.2847▲ +0.28%

昨日318.9170▼ -0.06%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.59%).

週320.9936▲ +0.82%

先週321.4810▲ +0.13%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

月324.4118▲ +1.89%

先月326.9410▼ -1.14%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

年308.8912▼ -2.98%

去年382.9700▲ +5.23%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5年302.7406▼ -4.91%

5年前300.1700▼ -21.62%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気

テクニカル分析

Bearish

強気

中性

弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ	価値	信号
RSI 14	44.5	Bearish
MACD	-2.57	Bearish
SMA 50	325.9760	Below
SMA 200	336.7222	Below
EMA 20	299.4714	Above

過去のデータ

Open319.6700

Start Date

Day Range317.6700 – 319.6700

Market Cap

Monthly Range315.6100 – 331.4940

24h Volume

90D Range315.6100 – 338.5210

Circulating

52W Range315.6100 – 385.4140

Max Supply

Open	319.6700	Start Date
Day Range	317.6700 – 319.6700	Market Cap
Monthly Range	315.6100 – 331.4940	24h Volume
90D Range	315.6100 – 338.5210	Circulating
52W Range	315.6100 – 385.4140	Max Supply

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

327.0457R3 — upper range

323.7445R2 — swing high

321.2686R1 — near-term cap

318.3800現在の価格USD

315.4914S1 — short-term supportSupport

313.0155S2 — trend support

309.7143S3 — range low

↑

Nearest resistance is 321.2686; break above may accelerate momentum.

↓

Nearest support sits near 315.4914; watch reaction around this zone.

⚖

Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 0.59%.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景

Recent318.3800Current

Current reference level.

90D High338.5210Range High

Highest close in recent lookback window.

90D Low315.6100Range Low

Lowest close in recent lookback window.

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス

74%

指向性

Forecast Accuracy

Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.

📊

当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。

Tomorrow

78%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

75%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

72%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

67%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±14%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を USD に投資した場合

Bullish Case

$1,144.83

+14.48% from current

目標価格364.4916

シナリオBreakout continuation

確率25%

Base Case

$1,040.00

+4.00% from current

目標価格331.1152

シナリオTrend-following baseline

確率50%

Bearish Case

$880.00

-12.00% from current

目標価格280.1744

シナリオVolatility drawdown

確率25%

基礎: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.09% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.59% daily).

相関行列

30 日ローリング · USD が他の資産とどのように移動するか

	USD
USD	1.00

予測要因

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Balanced · 54/100

24H drift+0.28%

7D drift+0.82%

30D drift+1.89%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 31/100

RSI44.5 · Neutral

MACD-2.58 · Bearish

MA stack1/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 47/100

1M outlook+1.89%

1Y outlook-2.98%

5Y outlook-4.91%

よくある質問

Q What is the USD/HUF forecast for tomorrow?

USD/HUF is projected near 319.2847 versus the latest reference around 318.3800. That implies a modeled move of +0.28% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/HUF?

The weekly model points to 320.9936, which maps to an expected drift of +0.82% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 324.4118 (+1.89%), while the 1-year target is 308.8912 (-2.98%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 302.7406 with a modeled change of -4.91%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 321.2686, while nearest support is around 315.4914. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

USD/HUF 予報: 明日, 週, 月, 5年

予測の概要

価格表

テクニカル分析

主要な指標

過去のデータ

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

価格マイルストーン

予測精度

投資シナリオ

相関行列

予測要因

よくある質問

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