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USD/CNH 明日、週、月、5年 の予測

更新されました: 2026 年 2 月 16 日 21:36 UTC
▼ -0.19%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Macro + technical

予測の概要

時間枠予想価格過去歴史的洞察力
明日6.9114 +0.39%昨日6.8704 +0.22%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.25%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.25%).
6.9546 +1.01%先週6.7477 +2.51%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7.0344 +2.17%先月6.6419 -3.25%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
6.9325 +0.69%去年6.8150 0.00%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年6.9560 +1.03%5年前6.8150 0.00%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
明日6.9114 +0.39%
昨日6.8704 +0.22%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.25%).
6.9546 +1.01%
先週6.7477 +2.51%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7.0344 +2.17%
先月6.6419 -3.25%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
6.9325 +0.69%
去年6.8150 0.00%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年6.9560 +1.03%
5年前6.8150 0.00%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気
7.04806.99066.93316.87566.81821W AgoNow7D F

テクニカル分析

売る中性買う
Bullish
3
強気
2
中性
0
弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ価値信号
RSI 1499.1 Bullish
MACD0.01 Neutral
SMA 506.7321 Above
SMA 200-- Mid
EMA 206.7151 Above

過去のデータ

Open6.8991
Start Date
Day Range6.8804 – 6.9045
Market Cap
Monthly Range6.5089 – 6.8848
24h Volume
90D Range6.5089 – 6.9913
Circulating
52W Range6.5089 – 6.9913
Max Supply
Open6.8991Start Date
Day Range6.8804 – 6.9045Market Cap
Monthly Range6.5089 – 6.884824h Volume
90D Range6.5089 – 6.9913Circulating
52W Range6.5089 – 6.9913Max Supply

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

7.0294R3 — upper range
6.9743R2 — swing high
6.9330R1 — near-term cap
6.8848現在の価格USD
6.8366S1 — short-term supportSupport
6.7953S2 — trend support
6.7402S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 6.9330; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 6.8366; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.25%.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景
Recent6.8848Current
Current reference level.
90D High6.9913Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low6.5089Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス
74%
指向性
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を USD に投資した場合
Bullish Case
$1,188.17
+18.82% from current
目標価格8.1803
シナリオBreakout continuation
確率25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
目標価格7.1602
シナリオTrend-following baseline
確率50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
目標価格6.0586
シナリオVolatility drawdown
確率25%
基礎: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.12% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.25% daily).

相関行列

30 日ローリング · USD が他の資産とどのように移動するか
USD
USD1.00

予測要因

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 55/100
24H drift+0.39%
7D drift+1.01%
30D drift+2.17%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 58/100
RSI99.0 · Bullish
MACD-0.00 · Bearish
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 52/100
1M outlook+2.17%
1Y outlook+0.69%
5Y outlook+1.03%

よくある質問

Q What is the USD/CNH forecast for tomorrow?
USD/CNH is projected near 6.9114 versus the latest reference around 6.8848. That implies a modeled move of +0.39% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/CNH?
The weekly model points to 6.9546, which maps to an expected drift of +1.01% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 7.0344 (+2.17%), while the 1-year target is 6.9325 (+0.69%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 6.9560 with a modeled change of +1.03%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 6.9330, while nearest support is around 6.8366. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.