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GBP/USD 予報: 明日, 週, 月, 5年

更新されました: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -0.02%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Macro + technical

予測の概要

時間枠予想価格過去歴史的洞察力
明日1.3680 +0.37%昨日1.3633 -0.09%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.37%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.37%).
1.3769 +1.02%先週1.3656 -0.24%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
1.3998 +2.70%先月1.3355 -0.53%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
1.4063 +3.18%去年1.3369 +2.52%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年1.4320 +5.07%5年前1.3040 -2.46%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
明日1.3680 +0.37%
昨日1.3633 -0.09%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.37%).
1.3769 +1.02%
先週1.3656 -0.24%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
1.3998 +2.70%
先月1.3355 -0.53%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
1.4063 +3.18%
去年1.3369 +2.52%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年1.4320 +5.07%
5年前1.3040 -2.46%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気
1.39541.38441.37351.36251.35161W AgoNow7D F

テクニカル分析

売る中性買う
Bullish
3
強気
1
中性
1
弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ価値信号
RSI 1443.2 Bearish
MACD0.01 Neutral
SMA 501.3557 Above
SMA 2001.3426 Above
EMA 201.3186 Above

過去のデータ

Open1.3632
Start Date
Day Range1.3629 – 1.3633
Market Cap
Monthly Range1.3425 – 1.3795
24h Volume
90D Range1.3045 – 1.3795
Circulating
52W Range1.3015 – 1.3795
Max Supply
Open1.3632Start Date
Day Range1.3629 – 1.3633Market Cap
Monthly Range1.3425 – 1.379524h Volume
90D Range1.3045 – 1.3795Circulating
52W Range1.3015 – 1.3795Max Supply

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

1.3916R3 — upper range
1.3807R2 — swing high
1.3725R1 — near-term cap
1.3630現在の価格GBP
1.3534S1 — short-term supportSupport
1.3452S2 — trend support
1.3343S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 1.3725; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 1.3534; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.37%.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景
Recent1.3630Current
Current reference level.
90D High1.3795Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low1.3045Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス
74%
指向性
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を GBP に投資した場合
Bullish Case
$1,217.50
+21.75% from current
目標価格1.6594
シナリオBreakout continuation
確率25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
目標価格1.4175
シナリオTrend-following baseline
確率50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
目標価格1.1994
シナリオVolatility drawdown
確率25%
基礎: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.07% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.37% daily).

相関行列

30 日ローリング · GBP が他の資産とどのように移動するか
GBP
GBP1.00

予測要因

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 55/100
24H drift+0.37%
7D drift+1.02%
30D drift+2.70%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 77/100
RSI43.1 · Neutral
MACD0.00 · Bullish
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 54/100
1M outlook+2.70%
1Y outlook+3.18%
5Y outlook+5.07%

よくある質問

Q What is the GBP/USD forecast for tomorrow?
GBP/USD is projected near 1.3680 versus the latest reference around 1.3630. That implies a modeled move of +0.37% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for GBP/USD?
The weekly model points to 1.3769, which maps to an expected drift of +1.02% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 1.3998 (+2.70%), while the 1-year target is 1.4063 (+3.18%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 1.4320 with a modeled change of +5.07%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 1.3725, while nearest support is around 1.3534. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.