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EUR/USD 予報: 明日, 週, 月, 5年

更新されました: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -0.01%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Macro + technical

予測の概要

時間枠予想価格過去歴史的洞察力
明日1.1919 +0.55%昨日1.1854 -0.14%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.36%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.36%).
1.2031 +1.50%先週1.1902 +0.73%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
1.2279 +3.60%先月1.1579 -1.53%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
1.2201 +2.94%去年1.1327 +1.82%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年1.2398 +4.60%5年前1.1125 -1.79%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
明日1.1919 +0.55%
昨日1.1854 -0.14%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.36%).
1.2031 +1.50%
先週1.1902 +0.73%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
1.2279 +3.60%
先月1.1579 -1.53%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
1.2201 +2.94%
去年1.1327 +1.82%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年1.2398 +4.60%
5年前1.1125 -1.79%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気
1.21931.20891.19841.18801.17761W AgoNow7D F

テクニカル分析

売る中性買う
Bullish
4
強気
1
中性
0
弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ価値信号
RSI 1457.6 Bullish
MACD0.01 Neutral
SMA 501.1772 Above
SMA 2001.1686 Above
EMA 201.1071 Above

過去のデータ

Open1.1854
Start Date
Day Range1.1853 – 1.1856
Market Cap
Monthly Range1.1644 – 1.1977
24h Volume
90D Range1.1513 – 1.1977
Circulating
52W Range1.1096 – 1.1977
Max Supply
Open1.1854Start Date
Day Range1.1853 – 1.1856Market Cap
Monthly Range1.1644 – 1.197724h Volume
90D Range1.1513 – 1.1977Circulating
52W Range1.1096 – 1.1977Max Supply

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

1.2102R3 — upper range
1.2007R2 — swing high
1.1936R1 — near-term cap
1.1853現在の価格EUR
1.1770S1 — short-term supportSupport
1.1699S2 — trend support
1.1604S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 1.1936; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 1.1770; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.36%.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景
Recent1.1853Current
Current reference level.
90D High1.1977Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low1.1513Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス
74%
指向性
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を EUR に投資した場合
Bullish Case
$1,214.63
+21.46% from current
目標価格1.4397
シナリオBreakout continuation
確率25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
目標価格1.2327
シナリオTrend-following baseline
確率50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
目標価格1.0431
シナリオVolatility drawdown
確率25%
基礎: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.08% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.36% daily).

相関行列

30 日ローリング · EUR が他の資産とどのように移動するか
EUR
EUR1.00

予測要因

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 57/100
24H drift+0.55%
7D drift+1.50%
30D drift+3.60%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 77/100
RSI57.5 · Neutral
MACD0.00 · Bullish
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 54/100
1M outlook+3.60%
1Y outlook+2.94%
5Y outlook+4.60%

よくある質問

Q What is the EUR/USD forecast for tomorrow?
EUR/USD is projected near 1.1919 versus the latest reference around 1.1853. That implies a modeled move of +0.55% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for EUR/USD?
The weekly model points to 1.2031, which maps to an expected drift of +1.50% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 1.2279 (+3.60%), while the 1-year target is 1.2201 (+2.94%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 1.2398 with a modeled change of +4.60%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 1.1936, while nearest support is around 1.1770. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.