» 全て » 外国為替予測 » EUR/NZD 予報

EUR/NZD 予報: 明日, 週, 月, 5年

更新されました: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +17.10%Technical analysis Neutral · Focus area Macro + technical

予測の概要

時間枠予想価格過去歴史的洞察力
明日1.9792 +0.76%昨日1.9673 +0.20%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.42%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.42%).
2.0023 +1.93%先週1.9673 -1.09%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
2.0575 +4.74%先月2.0335 -1.02%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
1.9857 +1.09%去年1.8216 +2.31%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年1.9920 +1.41%5年前1.6902 -7.21%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
明日1.9792 +0.76%
昨日1.9673 +0.20%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.42%).
2.0023 +1.93%
先週1.9673 -1.09%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
2.0575 +4.74%
先月2.0335 -1.02%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
1.9857 +1.09%
去年1.8216 +2.31%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年1.9920 +1.41%
5年前1.6902 -7.21%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気
2.02922.01081.99231.97391.95551W AgoNow7D F

テクニカル分析

売る中性買う
Bearish
1
強気
1
中性
3
弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ価値信号
RSI 1439.2 Bearish
MACD0.02 Neutral
SMA 502.0057 Below
SMA 2001.9811 Below
EMA 201.6656 Above

過去のデータ

Open1.9710
Start Date
Day Range1.9612 – 1.9713
Market Cap
Monthly Range1.9554 – 2.0286
24h Volume
90D Range1.9554 – 2.0626
Circulating
52W Range1.8212 – 2.0626
Max Supply
Open1.9710Start Date
Day Range1.9612 – 1.9713Market Cap
Monthly Range1.9554 – 2.028624h Volume
90D Range1.9554 – 2.0626Circulating
52W Range1.8212 – 2.0626Max Supply

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

2.0056R3 — upper range
1.9898R2 — swing high
1.9781R1 — near-term cap
1.9643現在の価格EUR
1.9505S1 — short-term supportSupport
1.9388S2 — trend support
1.9230S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 1.9781; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 1.9505; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.42%.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景
Recent1.9643Current
Current reference level.
90D High2.0626Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low1.9554Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス
74%
指向性
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を EUR に投資した場合
Bullish Case
$1,192.83
+19.28% from current
目標価格2.3431
シナリオBreakout continuation
確率25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
目標価格2.0429
シナリオTrend-following baseline
確率50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
目標価格1.7286
シナリオVolatility drawdown
確率25%
基礎: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.11% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.42% daily).

相関行列

30 日ローリング · EUR が他の資産とどのように移動するか
EUR
EUR1.00

予測要因

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 60/100
24H drift+0.76%
7D drift+1.93%
30D drift+4.74%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Mixed — Watching · 46/100
RSI39.1 · Bearish
MACD0.00 · Bullish
MA stack1/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 53/100
1M outlook+4.74%
1Y outlook+1.09%
5Y outlook+1.41%

よくある質問

Q What is the EUR/NZD forecast for tomorrow?
EUR/NZD is projected near 1.9792 versus the latest reference around 1.9643. That implies a modeled move of +0.76% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for EUR/NZD?
The weekly model points to 2.0023, which maps to an expected drift of +1.93% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 2.0575 (+4.74%), while the 1-year target is 1.9857 (+1.09%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 1.9920 with a modeled change of +1.41%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 1.9781, while nearest support is around 1.9505. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.