Home » All » ETF Forecast » SPDR S&P 500 ETF Forecast

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: March 18, 2026 at 15:05 UTC
▼ -0.50%TA Neutral · Focus Macro + technical

Forecast Summary

Saved locally for this browser. Sign in to sync on your account page.
TimeframePredicted PricePastHistoricalInsight
Tomorrow$682.68 ▲ +2.28%Yesterday$670.79 ▼ -0.50%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Week$701.94 ▲ +5.16%Last Week$676.33 ▼ -1.31%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month$728.76 ▲ +9.18%Last Month$681.75 ▼ -2.10%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year$743.61 ▲ +11.40%Last Year$561.02 ▲ +18.97%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years$781.20 ▲ +17.04%5 Years Ago$389.48 ▲ +71.37%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Tomorrow$682.68▲ +2.28%
Yesterday$670.79▼ -0.50%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Week$701.94▲ +5.16%
Last Week$676.33▼ -1.31%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month$728.76▲ +9.18%
Last Month$681.75▼ -2.10%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year$743.61▲ +11.40%
Last Year$561.02▲ +18.97%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years$781.20▲ +17.04%
5 Years Ago$389.48▲ +71.37%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish
$711.37$700.39$689.41$678.43$667.451W AgoNow7D F

Technical Analysis

SellNeutralBuy
Bullish
4
Bullish
0
Neutral
1
Bearish

Key Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
RSI 1494.1 Bullish
MACD0.05 Bullish
SMA 50$687.99 Below
SMA 200$640.02 Above
EMA 20$637.69 Above

Historical Data

Open$670.79
Start Date1993-02-01
Day Range$665.66 – $669.72
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$662.29 – $693.95
24h Volumen/a
90D Range$652.53 – $695.49
Circulatingn/a
52W Range$496.48 – $695.49
Max Supplyn/a
Open$670.79Start Date1993-02-01
Day Range$665.66 – $669.72Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$662.29 – $693.9524h Volumen/a
90D Range$652.53 – $695.49Circulatingn/a
52W Range$496.48 – $695.49Max Supplyn/a

Support & Resistance Levels

$680.62R3 — major ceiling
$676.67R2 — swing resistance
$672.72R1 — near-term resistance
$667.45Current PriceSPY
$654.10S1 — near-term supportSupport
$634.07S2 — structure support
$614.05S3 — deep support
↑
Nearest resistance sits near $672.72; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
↓
Nearest support is around $654.10; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
⚖
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.82% daily realized volatility.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context
Recent$667.45Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High$669.72Local High+0.34%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low$665.66Local Low-0.27%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target$728.76Model 1M+9.19%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target$743.61Model 1Y+11.41%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario$781.20Model 5Y+17.04%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed
83%
Directional
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.82% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in SPY today
Bullish Case
$1170.43
+17.04% from current
Target Price$781.20
ScenarioBreakout continuation
Probability35%
Base Case
$1091.87
+9.19% from current
Target Price$728.76
ScenarioTrend-following baseline
Probability37%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Target Price$614.05
ScenarioVolatility drawdown
Probability28%
Basis: Scenario engine blends live drift (+9.18% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.82% daily).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how SPY moves with other assets
SPYQQQDIAGLDXLFTLT
SPY1.000.980.940.940.94-0.89
QQQ0.981.000.970.870.98-0.96
DIA0.940.971.000.830.99-0.96
GLD0.940.870.831.000.80-0.73
XLF0.940.980.990.801.00-0.99
TLT-0.89-0.96-0.96-0.73-0.991.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 73/100
24H drift+2.28%
7D drift+5.16%
30D drift+9.18%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 69/100
RSI93.7 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 62/100
1M outlook+9.18%
1Y outlook+11.40%
5Y outlook+17.04%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the SPY forecast for tomorrow?
SPY is projected near $682.68 versus the latest reference around $667.45. That implies a modeled move of +2.28% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for SPY?
The weekly model points to $701.94, which maps to an expected drift of +5.16% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $728.76 (+9.18%), while the 1-year target is $743.61 (+11.40%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $781.20 with a modeled change of +17.04%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $672.72, while nearest support is around $654.10. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly $665.66 to $669.72. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.