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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: February 25, 2026 at 15:17 UTC
▼ -0.07%TA Bullish · Focus Macro + technical

Forecast Summary

TimeframePredicted PricePastHistoricalInsight
Tomorrow$88.67 ▼ -1.26%Yesterday$89.90 ▼ -0.07%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.60%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.60%).
Week$86.89 ▼ -3.25%Last Week$89.53 ▲ +0.34%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month$83.89 ▼ -6.58%Last Month$88.35 ▲ +1.68%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year$85.84 ▼ -4.42%Last Year$91.42 ▼ -1.73%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years$84.03 ▼ -6.43%5 Years Ago$143.12 ▼ -37.23%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Tomorrow$88.67▼ -1.26%
Yesterday$89.90▼ -0.07%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.60%).
Week$86.89▼ -3.25%
Last Week$89.53▲ +0.34%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month$83.89▼ -6.58%
Last Month$88.35▲ +1.68%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year$85.84▼ -4.42%
Last Year$91.42▼ -1.73%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years$84.03▼ -6.43%
5 Years Ago$143.12▼ -37.23%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish
$89.90$88.86$87.81$86.77$85.721W AgoNow7D F

Technical Analysis

SellNeutralBuy
Bearish
1
Bullish
1
Neutral
3
Bearish

Key Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
RSI 146.9 Bearish
MACD-0.03 Neutral
SMA 50$88.12 Above
SMA 200$94.62 Below
EMA 20$96.94 Below

Historical Data

Open$89.90
Start Date2002-08-01
Day Range$89.71 – $89.84
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$86.54 – $89.90
24h Volumen/a
90D Range$86.54 – $92.06
Circulatingn/a
52W Range$83.97 – $101.33
Max Supplyn/a
Open$89.90Start Date2002-08-01
Day Range$89.71 – $89.84Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$86.54 – $89.9024h Volumen/a
90D Range$86.54 – $92.06Circulatingn/a
52W Range$83.97 – $101.33Max Supplyn/a

Support & Resistance Levels

$92.19R3 — major ceiling
$90.53R2 — swing resistance
$90.12R1 — near-term resistance
$89.84Current PriceTLT
$88.04S1 — near-term supportSupport
$85.34S2 — structure support
$82.65S3 — deep support
↑
Nearest resistance sits near $90.12; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
↓
Nearest support is around $88.04; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
⚖
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.58% daily realized volatility.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context
Recent$89.84Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High$89.84Local High+0.01%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low$89.71Local Low-0.14%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target$83.89Model 1M-6.62%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target$85.84Model 1Y-4.45%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario$84.03Model 5Y-6.46%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed
83%
Directional
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.58% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in TLT today
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Target Price$100.62
ScenarioBreakout continuation
Probability32%
Base Case
$933.82
-6.62% from current
Target Price$83.89
ScenarioTrend-following baseline
Probability37%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Target Price$82.65
ScenarioVolatility drawdown
Probability31%
Basis: Scenario engine blends live drift (-6.58% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.58% daily).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how TLT moves with other assets
TLTXLFDIASPYQQQXLE
TLT1.00-1.00-0.99-0.98-0.98-0.96
XLF-1.001.000.990.990.990.96
DIA-0.990.991.001.000.990.96
SPY-0.980.991.001.001.000.94
QQQ-0.980.990.991.001.000.92
XLE-0.960.960.960.940.921.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 35/100
24H drift-1.26%
7D drift-3.25%
30D drift-6.58%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 31/100
RSI7.1 · Bearish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack1/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 39/100
1M outlook-6.58%
1Y outlook-4.42%
5Y outlook-6.43%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the TLT forecast for tomorrow?
TLT is projected near $88.67 versus the latest reference around $89.84. That implies a modeled move of -1.26% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for TLT?
The weekly model points to $86.89, which maps to an expected drift of -3.25% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $83.89 (-6.58%), while the 1-year target is $85.84 (-4.42%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $84.03 with a modeled change of -6.43%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $90.12, while nearest support is around $88.04. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly $89.71 to $89.84. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.