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ARK Innovation ETF Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: February 25, 2026 at 16:00 UTC
▲ +1.81%TA Bearish · Focus Macro + technical

Forecast Summary

TimeframePredicted PricePastHistoricalInsight
Tomorrow$71.61 ▼ -2.47%Yesterday$72.07 ▲ +1.81%Short-term bias is down with moderate daily volatility (~2.49%).
Short-term bias is down with moderate daily volatility (~2.49%).
Week$68.88 ▼ -6.18%Last Week$71.39 ▲ +2.78%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month$65.45 ▼ -10.85%Last Month$79.92 ▼ -8.19%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year$62.78 ▼ -14.49%Last Year$56.00 ▲ +31.03%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years$56.68 ▼ -22.79%5 Years Ago$130.36 ▼ -43.71%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Tomorrow$71.61▼ -2.47%
Yesterday$72.07▲ +1.81%
Short-term bias is down with moderate daily volatility (~2.49%).
Week$68.88▼ -6.18%
Last Week$71.39▲ +2.78%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month$65.45▼ -10.85%
Last Month$79.92▼ -8.19%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year$62.78▼ -14.49%
Last Year$56.00▲ +31.03%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years$56.68▼ -22.79%
5 Years Ago$130.36▼ -43.71%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish
$73.38$71.82$70.27$68.71$67.161W AgoNow7D F

Technical Analysis

SellNeutralBuy
Bearish
0
Bullish
1
Neutral
4
Bearish

Key Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
RSI 1431.8 Bearish
MACD-0.06 Bearish
SMA 50$70.46 Mid
SMA 200$76.56 Below
EMA 20$79.78 Below

Historical Data

Open$72.07
Start Date2014-11-01
Day Range$73.04 – $73.96
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$66.33 – $83.21
24h Volumen/a
90D Range$66.33 – $90.25
Circulatingn/a
52W Range$40.51 – $92.53
Max Supplyn/a
Open$72.07Start Date2014-11-01
Day Range$73.04 – $73.96Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$66.33 – $83.2124h Volumen/a
90D Range$66.33 – $90.25Circulatingn/a
52W Range$40.51 – $92.53Max Supplyn/a

Support & Resistance Levels

$92.65R3 — major ceiling
$84.02R2 — swing resistance
$80.42R1 — near-term resistance
$73.38Current PriceARKK
$71.91S1 — near-term supportSupport
$69.71S2 — structure support
$67.51S3 — deep support
↑
Nearest resistance sits near $80.42; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
↓
Nearest support is around $71.91; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
⚖
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 2.48% daily realized volatility.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context
Recent$73.38Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High$73.96Local High+0.80%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low$73.04Local Low-0.46%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target$65.45Model 1M-10.80%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target$62.78Model 1Y-14.44%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario$56.68Model 5Y-22.75%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed
81%
Directional
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (2.48% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.
Tomorrow
84%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
82%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
79%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
74%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±4.1%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in ARKK today
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Target Price$82.18
ScenarioBreakout continuation
Probability32%
Base Case
$891.99
-10.80% from current
Target Price$65.45
ScenarioTrend-following baseline
Probability37%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Target Price$67.51
ScenarioVolatility drawdown
Probability31%
Basis: Scenario engine blends live drift (-10.85% / 30D) and realized volatility (2.48% daily).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how ARKK moves with other assets
ARKKXLETLTXLFIWMDIA
ARKK1.00-0.820.78-0.700.68-0.68
XLE-0.821.00-0.980.96-0.370.96
TLT0.78-0.981.00-0.990.34-0.98
XLF-0.700.96-0.991.00-0.280.99
IWM0.68-0.370.34-0.281.00-0.25
DIA-0.680.96-0.980.99-0.251.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 23/100
24H drift-2.47%
7D drift-6.18%
30D drift-10.85%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 31/100
RSI32.2 · Bearish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack1/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 24/100
1M outlook-10.85%
1Y outlook-14.49%
5Y outlook-22.79%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the ARKK forecast for tomorrow?
ARKK is projected near $71.61 versus the latest reference around $73.38. That implies a modeled move of -2.47% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for ARKK?
The weekly model points to $68.88, which maps to an expected drift of -6.18% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $65.45 (-10.85%), while the 1-year target is $62.78 (-14.49%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $56.68 with a modeled change of -22.79%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $80.42, while nearest support is around $71.91. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly $73.04 to $73.96. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.