Home » All » ETF Forecast » Energy Select Sector SPDR Forecast

Energy Select Sector SPDR Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: May 13, 2026 at 16:34 UTC
▼ -0.60%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Macro + technical

Forecast Summary

TimeframePredicted PricePastHistoricalInsight
Tomorrow$56.08 ▼ -2.00%Yesterday$53.98 ▲ +6.01%Tomorrow's Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) setup is anchored to $57.23 and targets $56.08 (-2.00%). The near-term read is downside; watch $59.55 / $54.90 because daily realized volatility is about 4.24%.
Tomorrow's Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) setup is anchored to $57.23 and targets $56.08 (-2.00%). The near-term read is downside; watch $59.55 / $54.90 because daily realized volatility is about 4.24%.
Week$58.00 ▲ +1.35%Last Week$52.83 ▲ +8.32%The 7-day Energy Select Sector SPDR model moves from $52.83 to $58.00 (+1.35%). It gives upside momentum context for this ETF, so breaks around $59.55 / $54.90 matter more than a single tick.
The 7-day Energy Select Sector SPDR model moves from $52.83 to $58.00 (+1.35%). It gives upside momentum context for this ETF, so breaks around $59.55 / $54.90 matter more than a single tick.
Month$60.97 ▲ +6.54%Last Month$44.71 ▲ +27.99%The 1-month Energy Select Sector SPDR target is $60.97 (+6.54%), compared with the live reference near $57.23. This horizon blends current trend pressure with underlying holdings, liquidity, and tracking volatility.
The 1-month Energy Select Sector SPDR target is $60.97 (+6.54%), compared with the live reference near $57.23. This horizon blends current trend pressure with underlying holdings, liquidity, and tracking volatility.
Year$62.86 ▲ +9.85%Last Year$44.52 ▲ +28.54%The 1-year Energy Select Sector SPDR scenario points to $62.86 (+9.85%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
The 1-year Energy Select Sector SPDR scenario points to $62.86 (+9.85%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
5 Years$67.97 ▲ +18.78%5 Years Ago$22.90 ▲ +149.89%The 5-year Energy Select Sector SPDR view is $67.97 (+18.78%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
The 5-year Energy Select Sector SPDR view is $67.97 (+18.78%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
Tomorrow$56.08▼ -2.00%
Yesterday$53.98▲ +6.01%
Tomorrow's Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) setup is anchored to $57.23 and targets $56.08 (-2.00%). The near-term read is downside; watch $59.55 / $54.90 because daily realized volatility is about 4.24%.
Week$58.00▲ +1.35%
Last Week$52.83▲ +8.32%
The 7-day Energy Select Sector SPDR model moves from $52.83 to $58.00 (+1.35%). It gives upside momentum context for this ETF, so breaks around $59.55 / $54.90 matter more than a single tick.
Month$60.97▲ +6.54%
Last Month$44.71▲ +27.99%
The 1-month Energy Select Sector SPDR target is $60.97 (+6.54%), compared with the live reference near $57.23. This horizon blends current trend pressure with underlying holdings, liquidity, and tracking volatility.
Year$62.86▲ +9.85%
Last Year$44.52▲ +28.54%
The 1-year Energy Select Sector SPDR scenario points to $62.86 (+9.85%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
5 Years$67.97▲ +18.78%
5 Years Ago$22.90▲ +149.89%
The 5-year Energy Select Sector SPDR view is $67.97 (+18.78%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish
$60.48$58.57$56.65$54.74$52.831W AgoNow7D F

Technical Analysis

SellNeutralBuy
Bullish
4
Bullish
0
Neutral
1
Bearish

Key Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
RSI 1482.7 Bullish
MACD-0.04 Bearish
SMA 50$56.51 Above
SMA 200$50.13 Above
EMA 20$50.45 Above

Historical Data

Opening Price$53.98
Start Date2021-05-13
Day Range$52.49 – $58.80
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$42.44 – $64.07
24h Volumen/a
90D Range$41.68 – $65.10
Circulatingn/a
52W Range$40.56 – $68.45
Max Supplyn/a
Opening Price$53.98Start Date2021-05-13
Day Range$52.49 – $58.80Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$42.44 – $64.0724h Volumen/a
90D Range$41.68 – $65.10Circulatingn/a
52W Range$40.56 – $68.45Max Supplyn/a

Support & Resistance Levels

$63.04R3 — major ceiling
$61.30R2 — swing resistance
$59.55R1 — near-term resistance
$57.23Current PriceXLE
$54.90S1 — near-term supportSupport
$53.15S2 — structure support
$51.41S3 — deep support
↑
Nearest resistance sits near $59.55; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
↓
Nearest support is around $54.90; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
⚖
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 4.24% daily realized volatility.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context
Recent$57.23Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High$58.80Local High+2.75%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low$52.49Local Low-8.27%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target$60.97Model 1M+6.54%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target$62.86Model 1Y+9.85%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario$67.97Model 5Y+18.78%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed
79%
Directional
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (4.24% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.
Tomorrow
82%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
80%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
77%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
72%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±7.0%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Signal
Recent
Directional signal ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in XLE today
Bullish Case
$1187.77
+18.78% from current
Target Price$67.97
ScenarioBreakout continuation
Probability35%
Base Case
$1065.44
+6.54% from current
Target Price$60.97
ScenarioTrend-following baseline
Probability37%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Target Price$52.65
ScenarioVolatility drawdown
Probability28%
Basis: Scenario model combines current 30-day drift (+6.54%) and realized daily volatility (4.24%).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how XLE moves with other assets
XLETLTDIAXLFSPYQQQ
XLE1.00-0.980.970.960.940.89
TLT-0.981.00-0.98-0.99-0.97-0.94
DIA0.97-0.981.000.990.990.95
XLF0.96-0.990.991.000.990.95
SPY0.94-0.970.990.991.000.98
QQQ0.89-0.940.950.950.981.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 55/100
24H drift-2.00%
7D drift+1.35%
30D drift+6.54%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 77/100
RSI83.0 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 60/100
1M outlook+6.54%
1Y outlook+9.85%
5Y outlook+18.78%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) forecast for tomorrow?
Using the latest BeCoin market snapshot (May 13, 2026 at 16:34 UTC), Energy Select Sector SPDR is projected near $56.08 versus the current reference around $57.23. That implies a modeled move of -2.00% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day ETF outlook suggest for XLE?
The weekly Energy Select Sector SPDR model points to $58.00, which maps to an expected drift of +1.35% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so support/resistance breaks can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the Energy Select Sector SPDR 1-month and 1-year targets?
The Energy Select Sector SPDR 1-month target is $60.97 (+6.54%), while the 1-year target is $62.86 (+9.85%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions shaped by underlying holdings, liquidity, and tracking volatility.
Q Why does the Energy Select Sector SPDR 5-year scenario differ from short-term rows?
The Energy Select Sector SPDR long-horizon scenario sits near $67.97 with a modeled change of +18.78%. It compounds cycle-continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are XLE support and resistance zones right now?
For Energy Select Sector SPDR, nearest resistance is around $59.55, while nearest support is around $54.90. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh is the Energy Select Sector SPDR market snapshot?
The displayed ETF snapshot is labeled May 13, 2026 at 16:34 UTC; the latest observed session range is roughly $52.49 to $58.80. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the market feed so the FAQ, milestones, and support/resistance context stay tied to the same data refresh.

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