Home » All » ETF Forecast » SPDR S&P 500 ETF Forecast

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +73.63%Technical analysis Neutral · Focus area Macro + technical

Forecast Summary

TimeframePredicted PricePastHistoricalInsight
Tomorrow$693.02 ▲ +1.65%Yesterday$681.27 ▼ -1.54%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Week$711.62 ▲ +4.38%Last Week$686.19 ▼ -0.94%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month$743.79 ▲ +9.10%Last Month$681.92 ▲ +2.44%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year$753.97 ▲ +10.59%Last Year$603.36 ▲ +20.38%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years$791.72 ▲ +16.13%5 Years Ago$392.30 ▼ -34.98%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Tomorrow$693.02▲ +1.65%
Yesterday$681.27▼ -1.54%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Week$711.62▲ +4.38%
Last Week$686.19▼ -0.94%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month$743.79▲ +9.10%
Last Month$681.92▲ +2.44%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year$753.97▲ +10.59%
Last Year$603.36▲ +20.38%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years$791.72▲ +16.13%
5 Years Ago$392.30▼ -34.98%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish
$724.11$713.62$703.13$692.64$682.161W AgoNow7D F

Technical Analysis

SellNeutralBuy
Bearish
2
Bullish
0
Neutral
3
Bearish

Key Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
RSI 1440.7 Bearish
MACD-1.60 Bearish
SMA 50$687.36 Below
SMA 200$648.65 Above
EMA 20$389.61 Above

Historical Data

Open$681.69
Start Date
Day Range$677.52 – $686.28
Market Cap
Monthly Range$677.58 – $695.49
24h Volume
90D Range$652.53 – $695.49
Circulating
52W Range$496.48 – $695.49
Max Supply
Open$681.69Start Date
Day Range$677.52 – $686.28Market Cap
Monthly Range$677.58 – $695.4924h Volume
90D Range$652.53 – $695.49Circulating
52W Range$496.48 – $695.49Max Supply

Support & Resistance Levels

$705.59R3 — upper range
$696.51R2 — swing high
$689.70R1 — near-term cap
$681.75Current PriceSPY
$673.80S1 — short-term supportSupport
$666.99S2 — trend support
$657.91S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is $689.70; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near $673.80; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.76%.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context
Recent$681.75Current
Current reference level.
90D High$695.49Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low$652.53Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed
73%
Directional
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.
Tomorrow
77%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
74%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
71%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
66%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in SPY today
Bullish Case
$1,305.00
+30.50% from current
Target Price$889.68
ScenarioBreakout continuation
Probability25%
Base Case
$1,105.93
+10.59% from current
Target Price$753.97
ScenarioTrend-following baseline
Probability50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
Target Price$599.94
ScenarioVolatility drawdown
Probability25%
Basis: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.00% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.76% daily).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how SPY moves with other assets
SPY
SPY1.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 70/100
24H drift+1.65%
7D drift+4.38%
30D drift+9.10%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 40/100
RSI40.4 · Neutral
MACD-1.64 · Bearish
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 62/100
1M outlook+9.10%
1Y outlook+10.59%
5Y outlook+16.13%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the SPDR S&P 500 ETF forecast for tomorrow?
SPDR S&P 500 ETF is projected near $693.02 versus the latest reference around $681.75. That implies a modeled move of +1.65% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for SPDR S&P 500 ETF?
The weekly model points to $711.62, which maps to an expected drift of +4.38% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $743.79 (+9.10%), while the 1-year target is $753.97 (+10.59%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $791.72 with a modeled change of +16.13%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $689.70, while nearest support is around $673.80. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

Recommended Forecasts

Related ideas for internal navigation, grouped by stronger upside and weaker downside setups in the same market.

Stronger Bullish Ideas

Tomorrow
Energy Select Sector SPDRXLE+2.41%$54.35SPDR Gold SharesGLD+2.34%$462.62Financial Select Sector SPDRXLF+2.18%$51.65
7 Days
Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ+5.78%$601.92SPDR Dow Jones ETFDIA+4.94%$495.28iShares Silver TrustSLV+4.47%$69.72
1 Month
iShares Russell 2000 ETFIWM+9.45%$262.96

Weaker Bearish Ideas

5 Years
ARK Innovation ETFARKK-23.93%$70.25iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFTLT-6.40%$89.70