SPDR S&P 500 ETF Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years
Updated: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC1 SPY = 681.75 USD1 USD = 0.0015 SPY
Forecast Summary
| Timeframe | Predicted Price | Past | Historical | Insight |
|---|
| Tomorrow | $693.02 ▲ +1.65% | Yesterday | $681.27 ▼ -1.54% | Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%). |
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%). |
| Week | $711.62 ▲ +4.38% | Last Week | $686.19 ▼ -0.94% | 7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment. |
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment. |
| Month | $743.79 ▲ +9.10% | Last Month | $681.92 ▲ +2.44% | Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility. |
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility. |
| Year | $753.97 ▲ +10.59% | Last Year | $603.36 ▲ +20.38% | Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands. |
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands. |
| 5 Years | $791.72 ▲ +16.13% | 5 Years Ago | $392.30 ▼ -34.98% | 5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path. |
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path. |
HistoricalForecastBullishBearish
Technical Analysis
1D7D1M1Y5YAll
Key Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|
| RSI 14 | 40.4 | Neutral |
| MACD | -1.64 | Bearish |
| SMA 50 | $687.36 | Below |
| SMA 200 | $648.65 | Above |
| EMA 20 | $389.61 | Above |
Performance Summary
📈
SPDR S&P 500 ETF is in a pullback regime with -0.02% over 30 days.
Historical Data
| Open | $681.69 | Start Date | |
| Day Range | $677.52 – $686.28 | Market Cap | |
| Monthly Range | $677.58 – $695.49 | 24h Volume | |
| 90D Range | $652.53 – $695.49 | Circulating | |
| 52W Range | $496.48 – $695.49 | Max Supply | |
Support & Resistance Levels
$689.70R1 — near-term cap $673.80S1 — short-term supportSupport $666.99S2 — trend support ↑
Nearest resistance is $689.70; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near $673.80; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.76%.
Price Milestones
Key levels & historical contextRecent$681.75Current
Current reference level.
90D High$695.49Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low$652.53Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.
Forecast Accuracy
How our model has performedForecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.
Tomorrow
77%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
74%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
71%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
66%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓
Investment Scenarios
If you invest $1,000 in SPY today Bullish Case
$1,305.00
+30.50% from current
Target Price$889.68
ScenarioBreakout continuation
Probability25%
Base Case
$1,105.93
+10.59% from current
Target Price$753.97
ScenarioTrend-following baseline
Probability50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
Target Price$599.94
ScenarioVolatility drawdown
Probability25%
Basis: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.00% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.76% daily).
Correlation Matrix
30-day rolling · how SPY moves with other assetsForecast Factors
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
How to Read the Forecast
01📈
Tomorrow
Short-term momentum
05🎯
5 Year
Long-term thesis
⚠
Forecasts are informational only and not financial advice.
Convert
1 SPY = 681.75 USD
⇄1 USD = 0.0015 SPY
Frequently Asked Questions
Q What is the SPDR S&P 500 ETF forecast for tomorrow?
SPDR S&P 500 ETF is projected near $681.75.
Disclaimer: Forecasts are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. We do not guarantee accuracy or future performance. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.