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SPDR Dow Jones ETF Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: February 25, 2026 at 16:51 UTC

From

▲ +0.51%TA Bullish · Focus Macro + technical

Forecast Summary

Timeframe	Predicted Price	Past	Historical	Insight
Tomorrow	$502.66 ▲ +1.70%	Yesterday	$491.79 ▲ +0.51%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.86%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.86%).
Week	$515.96 ▲ +4.39%	Last Week	$497.00 ▼ -0.54%	7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month	$537.28 ▲ +8.70%	Last Month	$494.06 ▲ +0.05%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year	$548.71 ▲ +11.01%	Last Year	$436.13 ▲ +13.34%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years	$580.77 ▲ +17.50%	5 Years Ago	$309.45 ▲ +59.74%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Tomorrow$502.66▲ +1.70%

Yesterday$491.79▲ +0.51%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.86%).

Week$515.96▲ +4.39%

Last Week$497.00▼ -0.54%

7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Month$537.28▲ +8.70%

Last Month$494.06▲ +0.05%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Year$548.71▲ +11.01%

Last Year$436.13▲ +13.34%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 Years$580.77▲ +17.50%

5 Years Ago$309.45▲ +59.74%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish

Technical Analysis

Bullish

Neutral

Bearish

Key Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
RSI 14	86.8	Bullish
MACD	0.04	Neutral
SMA 50	$506.50	Below
SMA 200	$475.40	Above
EMA 20	$473.94	Above

Historical Data

Open$491.79

Start Date1998-02-01

Day Range$491.90 – $494.34

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range$484.88 – $501.90

24h Volumen/a

90D Range$458.10 – $501.90

Circulatingn/a

52W Range$376.48 – $501.90

Max Supplyn/a

Open	$491.79	Start Date	1998-02-01
Day Range	$491.90 – $494.34	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	$484.88 – $501.90	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	$458.10 – $501.90	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	$376.48 – $501.90	Max Supply	n/a

Support & Resistance Levels

$504.64R3 — major ceiling

$501.54R2 — swing resistance

$498.44R1 — near-term resistance

$494.30Current PriceDIA

$484.56S1 — near-term supportSupport

$472.95S2 — structure support

$452.56S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near $498.44; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around $484.56; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.87% daily realized volatility.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context

Recent$494.30Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High$494.34Local High+0.01%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low$491.90Local Low-0.49%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target$537.28Model 1M+8.70%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target$548.71Model 1Y+11.01%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario$580.77Model 5Y+17.49%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed

83%

Directional

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (0.87% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.

Tomorrow

86%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

84%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

81%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

76%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±2.5%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in DIA today

Bullish Case

$1174.93

+17.49% from current

Target Price$580.77

ScenarioBreakout continuation

Probability35%

Base Case

$1086.95

+8.70% from current

Target Price$537.28

ScenarioTrend-following baseline

Probability37%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

Target Price$454.76

ScenarioVolatility drawdown

Probability28%

Basis: Scenario engine blends live drift (+8.70% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.87% daily).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how DIA moves with other assets

	DIA	SPY	QQQ	XLF	TLT	XLE
DIA	1.00	1.00	1.00	0.98	-0.95	0.92
SPY	1.00	1.00	1.00	0.99	-0.97	0.94
QQQ	1.00	1.00	1.00	0.99	-0.96	0.92
XLF	0.98	0.99	0.99	1.00	-0.99	0.96
TLT	-0.95	-0.97	-0.96	-0.99	1.00	-0.98
XLE	0.92	0.94	0.92	0.96	-0.98	1.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bullish · 70/100

24H drift+1.70%

7D drift+4.39%

30D drift+8.70%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 69/100

RSI86.5 · Bullish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack2/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-On Tentative · 62/100

1M outlook+8.70%

1Y outlook+11.01%

5Y outlook+17.50%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the DIA forecast for tomorrow?

DIA is projected near $502.66 versus the latest reference around $494.30. That implies a modeled move of +1.70% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for DIA?

The weekly model points to $515.96, which maps to an expected drift of +4.39% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is $537.28 (+8.70%), while the 1-year target is $548.71 (+11.01%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near $580.77 with a modeled change of +17.50%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around $498.44, while nearest support is around $484.56. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly $491.90 to $494.34. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.