US 10Y Treasury Yield Price History

Explore verified provider history, source dates, quoted units and observed annual values.

5.220%-6.00 bp vs prior observationUS10Y · Yield (%)

Daily Treasury constant-maturity yield observation; not a live traded bond price.

Previous observation
5.280%
Previous completed session
Latest yield observation
5.220%
Not a traded bond price
52-week observed range
3.970% – 5.310%
Daily observations over the last 365 days
Source history
16,178 observations
DGS10 · daily

US 10Y Treasury Yield Price History

4.554.935.31 2026-07-102026-10-08

64 observations · 2026-07-10 – 2026-10-08 · Yield (%)

Daily provider candles; missing sessions are omitted.

Performance Across Horizons

1 day
-6.00 bp
From 2026-10-07
7 days
-2.00 bp
From 2026-10-01
1 month
+42.00 bp
From 2026-09-08
3 months
+66.00 bp
From 2026-07-10
6 months
+91.00 bp
From 2026-04-10
1 year
+109.00 bp
From 2025-10-08

Historical Records & Performance

Observed source coverage: 1962-01-02 – 2026-10-08. Records apply to this available series; they do not establish the instrument’s lifetime records. Price returns exclude distributions and fees. Yield changes use basis points.

Observed high
15.84%
1981-09-30
Observed low
0.52%
2020-08-04
Largest annual rise
+236.00 bp
2022
Largest annual fall
-362.00 bp
1982

Annual Yield Levels & Changes

YearOpenHighLowLastMove (bp)Coverage
20264.19%5.31%3.97%5.22%+104.00 bpYTD · 194 observations
20254.57%4.79%3.97%4.18%-40.00 bp249 observations
20243.95%4.7%3.63%4.58%+70.00 bp250 observations
20233.79%4.98%3.3%3.88%+0.00 bp250 observations
20221.63%4.25%1.63%3.88%+236.00 bp249 observations
20210.93%1.74%0.93%1.52%+59.00 bp251 observations
20201.88%1.88%0.52%0.93%-99.00 bp251 observations
20192.66%2.79%1.47%1.92%-77.00 bp250 observations
20182.46%3.24%2.44%2.69%+29.00 bp249 observations
20172.45%2.62%2.05%2.4%-5.00 bp250 observations
20162.24%2.6%1.37%2.45%+18.00 bp250 observations
20152.12%2.5%1.68%2.27%+10.00 bp251 observations
20143%3.01%2.07%2.17%-87.00 bp250 observations
20131.86%3.04%1.66%3.04%+126.00 bp250 observations
20121.97%2.39%1.43%1.78%-11.00 bp250 observations
20113.36%3.75%1.72%1.89%-141.00 bp250 observations
20103.85%4.01%2.41%3.3%-55.00 bp251 observations
20092.46%3.98%2.23%3.85%+160.00 bp250 observations
20083.91%4.27%2.08%2.25%-179.00 bp251 observations
20074.68%5.26%3.83%4.04%-67.00 bp251 observations
20064.37%5.25%4.34%4.71%+32.00 bp250 observations
20054.23%4.66%3.89%4.39%+15.00 bp250 observations
20044.38%4.89%3.7%4.24%-3.00 bp250 observations
20034.07%4.61%3.13%4.27%+44.00 bp250 observations
20025.2%5.44%3.61%3.83%-124.00 bp250 observations
20014.92%5.54%4.22%5.07%-5.00 bp248 observations
20006.58%6.79%5.02%5.12%-133.00 bp251 observations
19994.69%6.45%4.63%6.45%+180.00 bp251 observations
19985.67%5.81%4.16%4.65%-110.00 bp250 observations
19976.54%6.98%5.72%5.75%-68.00 bp250 observations
19965.6%7.06%5.53%6.43%+85.00 bp252 observations
19957.88%7.89%5.58%5.58%-226.00 bp250 observations
19945.92%8.05%5.6%7.84%+201.00 bp249 observations
19936.6%6.76%5.19%5.83%-87.00 bp250 observations
19926.78%7.71%6.23%6.7%-1.00 bp251 observations
19917.97%8.36%6.71%6.71%-137.00 bp250 observations
19907.94%9.09%7.91%8.08%+15.00 bp250 observations
19899.23%9.53%7.74%7.93%-121.00 bp250 observations
19888.83%9.41%8.11%9.14%+31.00 bp250 observations
19877.18%10.23%7.01%8.83%+160.00 bp250 observations
19869.04%9.49%6.95%7.23%-177.00 bp250 observations
198511.7%12.02%8.99%9%-255.00 bp248 observations
198411.86%13.99%11.24%11.55%-27.00 bp249 observations
198310.32%12.2%10.12%11.82%+146.00 bp250 observations
198214.19%14.95%10.36%10.36%-362.00 bp249 observations
198112.42%15.84%12.11%13.98%+155.00 bp249 observations
198010.5%13.65%9.47%12.43%+210.00 bp250 observations
19799.18%11.02%8.76%10.33%+118.00 bp248 observations
19787.83%9.16%7.82%9.15%+137.00 bp248 observations
19776.84%7.82%6.84%7.78%+97.00 bp249 observations
19767.77%8%6.8%6.81%-95.00 bp250 observations
19757.42%8.59%7.22%7.76%+36.00 bp249 observations
19746.94%8.16%6.93%7.4%+50.00 bp249 observations
19736.43%7.58%6.4%6.9%+49.00 bp248 observations
19725.94%6.62%5.85%6.41%+52.00 bp250 observations
19716.46%6.95%5.38%5.89%-61.00 bp249 observations
19707.86%8.22%6.21%6.5%-138.00 bp250 observations
19696.04%8.05%5.95%7.88%+172.00 bp248 observations
19685.63%6.27%5.34%6.16%+46.00 bp250 observations
19674.69%5.87%4.45%5.7%+106.00 bp249 observations
19664.63%5.51%4.56%4.64%-1.00 bp250 observations
19654.2%4.67%4.17%4.65%+44.00 bp249 observations
19644.14%4.26%4.12%4.21%+7.00 bp250 observations
19633.82%4.17%3.8%4.14%+29.00 bp249 observations
19624.06%4.13%3.78%3.85%-21.00 bpInitial partial period · 249 observations

Changes use the previous period’s last observation; the first partial period uses its first observed opening value. Missing sessions remain missing.

Monthly Seasonality

Historical monthly yield changes in basis points, not a forecast. Median: +1.00 bp. Longest rising streak: 8 months; falling streak: 8 months.

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
2026+8.00 bp-29.00 bp+33.00 bp+10.00 bp+5.00 bp-1.00 bp+31.00 bp+0.00 bp+54.00 bp-7.00 bp——
2025+0.00 bp-34.00 bp-1.00 bp-6.00 bp+24.00 bp-17.00 bp+13.00 bp-14.00 bp-7.00 bp-5.00 bp-9.00 bp+16.00 bp
2024+11.00 bp+26.00 bp-5.00 bp+49.00 bp-18.00 bp-15.00 bp-27.00 bp-18.00 bp-10.00 bp+47.00 bp-10.00 bp+40.00 bp
2023-36.00 bp+40.00 bp-44.00 bp-4.00 bp+20.00 bp+17.00 bp+16.00 bp+12.00 bp+50.00 bp+29.00 bp-51.00 bp-49.00 bp
2022+27.00 bp+4.00 bp+49.00 bp+57.00 bp-4.00 bp+13.00 bp-31.00 bp+48.00 bp+68.00 bp+27.00 bp-42.00 bp+20.00 bp
2021+18.00 bp+33.00 bp+30.00 bp-9.00 bp-7.00 bp-13.00 bp-21.00 bp+6.00 bp+22.00 bp+3.00 bp-12.00 bp+9.00 bp
2020-41.00 bp-38.00 bp-43.00 bp-6.00 bp+1.00 bp+1.00 bp-11.00 bp+17.00 bp-3.00 bp+19.00 bp-4.00 bp+9.00 bp
2019-6.00 bp+10.00 bp-32.00 bp+10.00 bp-37.00 bp-14.00 bp+2.00 bp-52.00 bp+18.00 bp+1.00 bp+9.00 bp+14.00 bp
2018+32.00 bp+15.00 bp-13.00 bp+21.00 bp-12.00 bp+2.00 bp+11.00 bp-10.00 bp+19.00 bp+10.00 bp-14.00 bp-32.00 bp
2017+0.00 bp-9.00 bp+4.00 bp-11.00 bp-8.00 bp+10.00 bp-1.00 bp-18.00 bp+21.00 bp+5.00 bp+4.00 bp-2.00 bp
2016-33.00 bp-20.00 bp+4.00 bp+5.00 bp+1.00 bp-35.00 bp-3.00 bp+12.00 bp+2.00 bp+24.00 bp+53.00 bp+8.00 bp
2015-49.00 bp+32.00 bp-6.00 bp+11.00 bp+7.00 bp+23.00 bp-15.00 bp+1.00 bp-15.00 bp+10.00 bp+5.00 bp+6.00 bp
2014-37.00 bp-1.00 bp+7.00 bp-6.00 bp-19.00 bp+5.00 bp+5.00 bp-23.00 bp+17.00 bp-17.00 bp-17.00 bp-1.00 bp
2013+24.00 bp-13.00 bp-2.00 bp-17.00 bp+46.00 bp+36.00 bp+8.00 bp+18.00 bp-14.00 bp-7.00 bp+18.00 bp+29.00 bp
2012-6.00 bp+15.00 bp+25.00 bp-28.00 bp-36.00 bp+8.00 bp-16.00 bp+6.00 bp+8.00 bp+7.00 bp-10.00 bp+16.00 bp
2011+12.00 bp+0.00 bp+5.00 bp-15.00 bp-27.00 bp+13.00 bp-36.00 bp-59.00 bp-31.00 bp+25.00 bp-9.00 bp-19.00 bp
2010-22.00 bp-2.00 bp+23.00 bp-15.00 bp-38.00 bp-34.00 bp-3.00 bp-47.00 bp+6.00 bp+10.00 bp+18.00 bp+49.00 bp
2009+62.00 bp+15.00 bp-31.00 bp+45.00 bp+31.00 bp+6.00 bp-1.00 bp-12.00 bp-9.00 bp+10.00 bp-20.00 bp+64.00 bp
2008-37.00 bp-14.00 bp-8.00 bp+32.00 bp+29.00 bp-7.00 bp+0.00 bp-16.00 bp+2.00 bp+16.00 bp-108.00 bp-68.00 bp
2007+12.00 bp-27.00 bp+9.00 bp-2.00 bp+27.00 bp+13.00 bp-25.00 bp-24.00 bp+5.00 bp-11.00 bp-51.00 bp+7.00 bp
2006+14.00 bp+2.00 bp+31.00 bp+21.00 bp+5.00 bp+3.00 bp-16.00 bp-25.00 bp-10.00 bp-3.00 bp-15.00 bp+25.00 bp
2005-10.00 bp+22.00 bp+14.00 bp-29.00 bp-21.00 bp-6.00 bp+34.00 bp-26.00 bp+32.00 bp+23.00 bp-8.00 bp-10.00 bp
2004-11.00 bp-17.00 bp-13.00 bp+67.00 bp+13.00 bp-4.00 bp-12.00 bp-37.00 bp+1.00 bp-9.00 bp+31.00 bp-12.00 bp
2003+17.00 bp-29.00 bp+12.00 bp+6.00 bp-52.00 bp+17.00 bp+95.00 bp-4.00 bp-49.00 bp+37.00 bp+1.00 bp-7.00 bp
2002+0.00 bp-19.00 bp+54.00 bp-31.00 bp-3.00 bp-22.00 bp-35.00 bp-37.00 bp-51.00 bp+30.00 bp+29.00 bp-39.00 bp
2001+7.00 bp-27.00 bp+1.00 bp+42.00 bp+8.00 bp-1.00 bp-35.00 bp-22.00 bp-25.00 bp-30.00 bp+48.00 bp+29.00 bp
2000+23.00 bp-26.00 bp-39.00 bp+20.00 bp+6.00 bp-26.00 bp+1.00 bp-31.00 bp+7.00 bp-3.00 bp-29.00 bp-36.00 bp
1999+1.00 bp+63.00 bp-4.00 bp+11.00 bp+28.00 bp+17.00 bp+11.00 bp+6.00 bp-8.00 bp+12.00 bp+16.00 bp+27.00 bp
1998-22.00 bp+9.00 bp+5.00 bp+1.00 bp-12.00 bp-12.00 bp+6.00 bp-45.00 bp-61.00 bp+20.00 bp+10.00 bp-9.00 bp
1997+10.00 bp+3.00 bp+36.00 bp-20.00 bp-5.00 bp-16.00 bp-49.00 bp+32.00 bp-22.00 bp-28.00 bp+2.00 bp-11.00 bp
1996+2.00 bp+53.00 bp+21.00 bp+32.00 bp+19.00 bp-12.00 bp+7.00 bp+16.00 bp-24.00 bp-35.00 bp-31.00 bp+37.00 bp
1995-24.00 bp-38.00 bp-2.00 bp-13.00 bp-77.00 bp-9.00 bp+24.00 bp-17.00 bp-11.00 bp-14.00 bp-27.00 bp-18.00 bp
1994-13.00 bp+45.00 bp+62.00 bp+29.00 bp+11.00 bp+17.00 bp-22.00 bp+7.00 bp+43.00 bp+19.00 bp+10.00 bp-7.00 bp
1993-31.00 bp-36.00 bp+0.00 bp+2.00 bp+11.00 bp-36.00 bp+3.00 bp-38.00 bp-5.00 bp+3.00 bp+40.00 bp+0.00 bp
1992+60.00 bp-4.00 bp+27.00 bp+7.00 bp-28.00 bp-19.00 bp-42.00 bp-10.00 bp-25.00 bp+43.00 bp+15.00 bp-25.00 bp
1991-5.00 bp-1.00 bp+3.00 bp-3.00 bp+4.00 bp+18.00 bp-4.00 bp-38.00 bp-35.00 bp+0.00 bp-9.00 bp-67.00 bp
1990+50.00 bp+8.00 bp+14.00 bp+39.00 bp-44.00 bp-17.00 bp-7.00 bp+50.00 bp-4.00 bp-17.00 bp-39.00 bp-18.00 bp
1989-13.00 bp+31.00 bp-2.00 bp-28.00 bp-42.00 bp-50.00 bp-28.00 bp+44.00 bp+5.00 bp-39.00 bp-8.00 bp+9.00 bp
1988-57.00 bp-10.00 bp+41.00 bp+30.00 bp+33.00 bp-38.00 bp+30.00 bp+13.00 bp-38.00 bp-22.00 bp+41.00 bp+8.00 bp
1987-5.00 bp+1.00 bp+32.00 bp+70.00 bp+28.00 bp-11.00 bp+28.00 bp+34.00 bp+63.00 bp-75.00 bp+11.00 bp-16.00 bp
1986+8.00 bp-95.00 bp-74.00 bp-1.00 bp+67.00 bp-70.00 bp-1.00 bp-39.00 bp+50.00 bp-11.00 bp-19.00 bp+8.00 bp
1985-38.00 bp+74.00 bp-26.00 bp-24.00 bp-113.00 bp-3.00 bp+32.00 bp-29.00 bp+3.00 bp-30.00 bp-42.00 bp-59.00 bp
1984-15.00 bp+37.00 bp+49.00 bp+29.00 bp+109.00 bp-7.00 bp-93.00 bp-12.00 bp-32.00 bp-68.00 bp-21.00 bp-3.00 bp
1983+44.00 bp-53.00 bp+35.00 bp-35.00 bp+54.00 bp+15.00 bp+80.00 bp+22.00 bp-54.00 bp+30.00 bp-11.00 bp+19.00 bp
1982+16.00 bp-11.00 bp+15.00 bp-31.00 bp-16.00 bp+73.00 bp-76.00 bp-87.00 bp-108.00 bp-102.00 bp+8.00 bp-43.00 bp
1981+25.00 bp+75.00 bp-30.00 bp+98.00 bp-61.00 bp+36.00 bp+81.00 bp+74.00 bp+43.00 bp-121.00 bp-150.00 bp+85.00 bp
1980+80.00 bp+159.00 bp-8.00 bp-188.00 bp-51.00 bp-16.00 bp+67.00 bp+79.00 bp+31.00 bp+60.00 bp+26.00 bp-29.00 bp
1979-20.00 bp+22.00 bp-6.00 bp+24.00 bp-29.00 bp-25.00 bp+20.00 bp+23.00 bp+20.00 bp+128.00 bp-34.00 bp-5.00 bp
1978+16.00 bp+10.00 bp+11.00 bp+9.00 bp+18.00 bp+20.00 bp-6.00 bp-17.00 bp+17.00 bp+40.00 bp-10.00 bp+29.00 bp
1977+59.00 bp+5.00 bp-3.00 bp+3.00 bp-7.00 bp-18.00 bp+22.00 bp-14.00 bp+13.00 bp+21.00 bp-7.00 bp+23.00 bp
1976+4.00 bp-3.00 bp-11.00 bp+1.00 bp+29.00 bp-10.00 bp+0.00 bp-20.00 bp-11.00 bp-13.00 bp-41.00 bp-20.00 bp
1975+13.00 bp-7.00 bp+55.00 bp+30.00 bp-27.00 bp-8.00 bp+24.00 bp+2.00 bp+26.00 bp-57.00 bp+23.00 bp-38.00 bp
1974+10.00 bp+1.00 bp+40.00 bp+25.00 bp-14.00 bp+12.00 bp+25.00 bp+22.00 bp-17.00 bp-15.00 bp-15.00 bp-24.00 bp
1973+13.00 bp+10.00 bp+9.00 bp-3.00 bp+23.00 bp+1.00 bp+49.00 bp-18.00 bp-35.00 bp-19.00 bp-2.00 bp+21.00 bp
1972+20.00 bp-5.00 bp+8.00 bp+2.00 bp-9.00 bp+10.00 bp-3.00 bp+30.00 bp+12.00 bp-13.00 bp-13.00 bp+13.00 bp
1971-41.00 bp+5.00 bp-61.00 bp+55.00 bp+30.00 bp+32.00 bp+15.00 bp-57.00 bp-28.00 bp-13.00 bp+6.00 bp-4.00 bp
1970-13.00 bp-85.00 bp+18.00 bp+74.00 bp+13.00 bp-27.00 bp-30.00 bp+11.00 bp-20.00 bp+4.00 bp-84.00 bp+1.00 bp
1969+3.00 bp+7.00 bp+4.00 bp-10.00 bp+36.00 bp+17.00 bp-7.00 bp+17.00 bp+68.00 bp-57.00 bp+35.00 bp+59.00 bp
1968-16.00 bp+2.00 bp+20.00 bp-2.00 bp+12.00 bp-22.00 bp-25.00 bp+3.00 bp+7.00 bp+12.00 bp+17.00 bp+38.00 bp
1967-12.00 bp+20.00 bp-22.00 bp+28.00 bp+3.00 bp+41.00 bp-6.00 bp+11.00 bp+4.00 bp+33.00 bp+10.00 bp-4.00 bp
1966+4.00 bp+33.00 bp-31.00 bp+8.00 bp+1.00 bp+17.00 bp+8.00 bp+31.00 bp-34.00 bp-5.00 bp+15.00 bp-48.00 bp
1965-2.00 bp+3.00 bp-2.00 bp+1.00 bp+2.00 bp-3.00 bp+2.00 bp+5.00 bp+8.00 bp+6.00 bp+7.00 bp+17.00 bp
1964+1.00 bp+3.00 bp+5.00 bp-1.00 bp-3.00 bp-4.00 bp+4.00 bp+2.00 bp-3.00 bp-2.00 bp+4.00 bp+1.00 bp
1963+2.00 bp+7.00 bp+1.00 bp+0.00 bp+1.00 bp+4.00 bp+0.00 bp+2.00 bp+5.00 bp+8.00 bp-7.00 bp+6.00 bp
1962+4.00 bp-10.00 bp-14.00 bp+0.00 bp+4.00 bp+10.00 bp+4.00 bp-8.00 bp-2.00 bp-2.00 bp+0.00 bp-7.00 bp
Median+1.50 bp+2.00 bp+4.00 bp+2.00 bp+1.00 bp-3.00 bp+0.00 bp-4.00 bp+1.00 bp+2.00 bp-7.00 bp+0.50 bp

Observed History Timeline

Milestones are calculated from this instrument’s source series. They are not claims about news causing a price move.

  • 1962-01-02: first available daily observation.
  • 1981-09-30: highest observed yield of 15.84%.
  • 2020-08-04: lowest observed yield of 0.52%.
  • 2022: largest available annual rise, +236.00 bp.
  • 1982: largest available annual fall, -362.00 bp.

Historical Data — Search & Download

Download full CSV

Yield (%). Daily published yield observation dates.

DateYieldChange
2026-10-085.22%-6.00 bp
2026-10-075.28%+1.00 bp
2026-10-065.27%-4.00 bp
2026-10-055.31%+3.00 bp
2026-10-025.28%+4.00 bp
2026-10-015.24%-5.00 bp
2026-09-305.29%+3.00 bp
2026-09-295.26%+2.00 bp
2026-09-285.24%+7.00 bp
2026-09-255.17%-1.00 bp
2026-09-245.18%+7.00 bp
2026-09-235.11%+15.00 bp
2026-09-224.96%+0.00 bp
2026-09-214.96%-5.00 bp
2026-09-185.01%+7.00 bp
2026-09-174.94%-7.00 bp
2026-09-165.01%+1.00 bp
2026-09-155%+3.00 bp
2026-09-144.97%+1.00 bp
2026-09-114.96%+1.00 bp
2026-09-104.95%+12.00 bp
2026-09-094.83%+3.00 bp
2026-09-084.8%+2.00 bp
2026-09-044.78%+1.00 bp
2026-09-034.77%-2.00 bp
2026-09-024.79%+0.00 bp
2026-09-014.79%+4.00 bp
2026-08-314.75%+2.00 bp
2026-08-284.73%+6.00 bp
2026-08-274.67%+1.00 bp
Page 1 / 540 · 16178 observations

Historical Yield Comparison

Reference at 1962-01-02: 4.06%. Change to latest yield: +116.00 bp.

Uses the last observation on or before the chosen date. A yield comparison is not a bond investment return.

Verified market data

Data & Forecast Methodology

How the source reference becomes the displayed data, indicators and planning scenarios.

Market data + short-term model
1

One reference across every page

Quote, history, forecast and calculators use the same FRED / DGS10 snapshot. Source observation time and automated check time are shown separately. Price changes use the previous completed observation. Bond moves are basis points; index values are points.

2

Source boundaries

US yields are daily Treasury constant-maturity series via FRED. German and UK yields use monthly OECD long-term government bond series via FRED and are explicitly not live quotes. No placeholder catalogue prices, synthetic candles, or fabricated fundamentals are used.

3

Short-term statistical model

Additive yield model: 25%-shrunk 60/40 mean daily yield-change drift; normal central 80% model interval. Changes are percentage points, not bond returns. Intervals are not calibrated empirical coverage; jumps, fat tails and parameter uncertainty are excluded.

4

Signals and refresh

Indicators use completed daily observations and require 200 samples. Composite = (Buy − Sell) / rule count: Strong Buy above 0.55; Buy above 0.15; Neutral above −0.15; Sell above −0.55; otherwise Strong Sell. Each browser checks every 60 seconds; provider snapshots are cached for up to five minutes. Failed refreshes are visibly marked.

Long-term scenarios + controls
5

One scenario anchor

Every planning band uses the same timestamped reference displayed above. Changing the annual assumption updates the scenario chart, yearly bands and regular-contribution calculations.

6

Explicit planning assumptions

Lower and upper paths apply the selected annual change in opposite directions. The base path keeps the reference unchanged. These paths have no assigned probabilities and are separate from the short-term statistical model.

7

Market-specific interpretation

Prices use the instrument’s quoted units; indices use points and yield moves use basis points. Fees, taxes and distributions are excluded. A yield path cannot estimate a bond investment return.

Read as a range: short-term estimates and long-term planning scenarios can fall outside every displayed band. Source gaps and unsupported calculations are withheld.

US 10Y Treasury Yield Price History FAQ

How much history is available?

The source span and observation count are shown above. Missing dates are omitted. Records refer to available source coverage, not the instrument’s entire lifetime.

How are changes and conversions calculated?

Price changes compare observed reference values. Yield moves use basis points. Conversion amounts use the same timestamped source rate; spreads, fees and distributions are excluded.

US 10Y Treasury Yield on becoin

About US 10Y Treasury Yield

This series is a government-bond yield observation, not the price of an individual bond. Coupon, maturity and discount assumptions determine a bond valuation. The source instrument is DGS10, quoted as Yield (%), with daily history.

Source quality: Published yield series with its stated observation cadence. The displayed check time is separate from the market observation time. Missing fundamentals are not estimated.

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For educational purposes only. Forecasts and scenarios can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.