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USD/JPY Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: March 17, 2026 at 15:09 UTC

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▼ -0.38%TA Neutral · Focus Macro + technical

Forecast Summary

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Timeframe	Predicted Price	Past	Historical	Insight
Tomorrow	157.6870 ▼ -0.80%	Yesterday	159.5680 ▼ -0.38%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Week	156.0451 ▼ -1.83%	Last Week	157.8480 ▲ +0.71%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month	154.7143 ▼ -2.67%	Last Month	152.8210 ▲ +4.02%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year	153.8110 ▼ -3.24%	Last Year	148.5980 ▲ +6.97%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years	153.6640 ▼ -3.33%	5 Years Ago	108.8910 ▲ +45.98%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Tomorrow157.6870▼ -0.80%

Yesterday159.5680▼ -0.38%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).

Week156.0451▼ -1.83%

Last Week157.8480▲ +0.71%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Month154.7143▼ -2.67%

Last Month152.8210▲ +4.02%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Year153.8110▼ -3.24%

Last Year148.5980▲ +6.97%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 Years153.6640▼ -3.33%

5 Years Ago108.8910▲ +45.98%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish

Technical Analysis

Bullish

Neutral

Bearish

Key Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
RSI 14	91.2	Bullish
MACD	-0.02	Neutral
SMA 50	157.4707	Above
SMA 200	150.5705	Above
EMA 20	148.3020	Above

Historical Data

Open159.5680

Start Date1996-11-01

Day Range158.7150 – 159.4960

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range152.7790 – 159.5680

24h Volumen/a

90D Range152.4530 – 159.5680

Circulatingn/a

52W Range140.8760 – 159.5680

Max Supplyn/a

Open	159.5680	Start Date	1996-11-01
Day Range	158.7150 – 159.4960	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	152.7790 – 159.5680	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	152.4530 – 159.5680	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	140.8760 – 159.5680	Max Supply	n/a

Support & Resistance Levels

160.8756R3 — major ceiling

160.3016R2 — swing resistance

159.7275R1 — near-term resistance

158.9620Current PriceUSD

153.0630S1 — near-term supportSupport

152.2780S2 — structure support

146.6090S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near 159.7275; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around 153.0630; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.50% daily realized volatility.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context

Recent158.9620Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High159.4960Local High+0.34%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low158.7150Local Low-0.16%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target154.7143Model 1M-2.67%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target153.8110Model 1Y-3.24%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario153.6640Model 5Y-3.33%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed

83%

Directional

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (0.50% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.

Tomorrow

86%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

84%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

81%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

76%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±2.5%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in USD today

Bullish Case

$1120.00

+12.00% from current

Target Price178.0374

ScenarioBreakout continuation

Probability32%

Base Case

$973.28

-2.67% from current

Target Price154.7143

ScenarioTrend-following baseline

Probability40%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

Target Price146.2450

ScenarioVolatility drawdown

Probability28%

Basis: Scenario engine blends live drift (-2.67% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.50% daily).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how USD moves with other assets

	USD	USDTRY	USDARS	USDPKR	EURCHF	USDKRW
USD	1.00	0.99	0.99	0.98	-0.98	0.97
USDTRY	0.99	1.00	1.00	1.00	-0.99	0.99
USDARS	0.99	1.00	1.00	1.00	-0.99	0.99
USDPKR	0.98	1.00	1.00	1.00	-0.99	0.99
EURCHF	-0.98	-0.99	-0.99	-0.99	1.00	-0.99
USDKRW	0.97	0.99	0.99	0.99	-0.99	1.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 43/100

24H drift-0.80%

7D drift-1.83%

30D drift-2.67%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 77/100

RSI91.3 · Bullish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack3/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 44/100

1M outlook-2.67%

1Y outlook-3.24%

5Y outlook-3.33%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the USD forecast for tomorrow?

USD is projected near 157.6870 versus the latest reference around 158.9620. That implies a modeled move of -0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD?

The weekly model points to 156.0451, which maps to an expected drift of -1.83% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 154.7143 (-2.67%), while the 1-year target is 153.8110 (-3.24%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 153.6640 with a modeled change of -3.33%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 159.7275, while nearest support is around 153.0630. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly 158.7150 to 159.4960. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.