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USD/MXN Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: April 16, 2026 at 12:55 UTC
▲ +0.15%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Macro + technical

Forecast Summary

TimeframePredicted PricePastHistoricalInsight
Tomorrow17.1378 ▼ -0.75%Yesterday17.2420 ▲ +0.15%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Week16.9713 ▼ -1.72%Last Week17.4464 ▼ -1.02%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month16.5791 ▼ -3.99%Last Month17.6836 ▼ -2.35%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year16.2294 ▼ -6.01%Last Year20.1254 ▼ -14.20%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years15.5312 ▼ -10.06%5 Years Ago19.9359 ▼ -13.38%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Tomorrow17.1378▼ -0.75%
Yesterday17.2420▲ +0.15%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Week16.9713▼ -1.72%
Last Week17.4464▼ -1.02%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month16.5791▼ -3.99%
Last Month17.6836▼ -2.35%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year16.2294▼ -6.01%
Last Year20.1254▼ -14.20%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years15.5312▼ -10.06%
5 Years Ago19.9359▼ -13.38%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish
17.446417.270617.094816.919016.74321W AgoNow7D F

Technical Analysis

SellNeutralBuy
Bearish
1
Bullish
1
Neutral
3
Bearish

Key Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
RSI 1415.2 Bearish
MACD-0.02 Neutral
SMA 5017.1074 Above
SMA 20017.8211 Below
EMA 2017.6649 Below

Historical Data

Opening Price17.2420
Start Date2003-12-01
Day Range17.2110 – 17.2901
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range17.2540 – 18.1432
24h Volumen/a
90D Range17.0983 – 18.1825
Circulatingn/a
52W Range17.0983 – 21.1694
Max Supplyn/a
Opening Price17.2420Start Date2003-12-01
Day Range17.2110 – 17.2901Market Capn/a
Monthly Range17.2540 – 18.143224h Volumen/a
90D Range17.0983 – 18.1825Circulatingn/a
52W Range17.0983 – 21.1694Max Supplyn/a

Support & Resistance Levels

17.6165R3 — major ceiling
17.5119R2 — swing resistance
17.4074R1 — near-term resistance
17.2680Current PriceUSD
16.9226S1 — near-term supportSupport
16.4046S2 — structure support
15.8866S3 — deep support
↑
Nearest resistance sits near 17.4074; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
↓
Nearest support is around 16.9226; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
⚖
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.84% daily realized volatility.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context
Recent17.2680Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High17.2901Local High+0.13%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low17.2110Local Low-0.33%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target16.5791Model 1M-3.99%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target16.2294Model 1Y-6.01%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario15.5312Model 5Y-10.06%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed
83%
Directional
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.84% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Signal
Recent
Directional signal ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in USD today
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Target Price19.3402
ScenarioBreakout continuation
Probability32%
Base Case
$960.11
-3.99% from current
Target Price16.5791
ScenarioTrend-following baseline
Probability40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Target Price15.8866
ScenarioVolatility drawdown
Probability28%
Basis: Scenario model combines current 30-day drift (-3.99%) and realized daily volatility (0.84%).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how USD moves with other assets
USDUSDMXNAUDNZDUSDHKDBRLUSDUSDMYR
USD1.001.00-0.98-0.960.920.91
USDMXN1.001.00-0.98-0.960.920.91
AUDNZD-0.98-0.981.000.94-0.90-0.82
USDHKD-0.96-0.960.941.00-0.88-0.85
BRLUSD0.920.92-0.90-0.881.000.87
USDMYR0.910.91-0.82-0.850.871.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 41/100
24H drift-0.75%
7D drift-1.72%
30D drift-3.99%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 31/100
RSI15.3 · Bearish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack1/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 39/100
1M outlook-3.99%
1Y outlook-6.01%
5Y outlook-10.06%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the USD/MXN forecast for tomorrow?
USD/MXN is projected near 17.1378 versus the latest reference around 17.2680. That implies a modeled move of -0.75% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/MXN?
The weekly model points to 16.9713, which maps to an expected drift of -1.72% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 16.5791 (-3.99%), while the 1-year target is 16.2294 (-6.01%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 15.5312 with a modeled change of -10.06%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 17.4074, while nearest support is around 16.9226. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 17.2110 to 17.2901. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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