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USD/MXN Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: February 25, 2026 at 17:18 UTC

From

▼ -0.66%TA Bearish · Focus Macro + technical

Forecast Summary

Timeframe	Predicted Price	Past	Historical	Insight
Tomorrow	17.0506 ▼ -0.58%	Yesterday	17.2596 ▼ -0.66%	Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Week	16.8953 ▼ -1.48%	Last Week	17.1184 ▲ +0.16%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month	16.5106 ▼ -3.73%	Last Month	17.3705 ▼ -1.29%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year	16.1912 ▼ -5.59%	Last Year	20.4811 ▼ -16.28%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years	15.5046 ▼ -9.59%	5 Years Ago	20.9109 ▼ -18.00%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Tomorrow17.0506▼ -0.58%

Yesterday17.2596▼ -0.66%

Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.55%).

Week16.8953▼ -1.48%

Last Week17.1184▲ +0.16%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Month16.5106▼ -3.73%

Last Month17.3705▼ -1.29%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Year16.1912▼ -5.59%

Last Year20.4811▼ -16.28%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 Years15.5046▼ -9.59%

5 Years Ago20.9109▼ -18.00%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish

Technical Analysis

Bearish

Bullish

Neutral

Bearish

Key Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
RSI 14	17.8	Bearish
MACD	-0.01	Neutral
SMA 50	16.9968	Above
SMA 200	17.8604	Below
EMA 20	17.7574	Below

Historical Data

Open17.2596

Start Date2003-12-01

Day Range17.1305 – 17.2250

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range17.0983 – 17.7855

24h Volumen/a

90D Range17.0983 – 18.6755

Circulatingn/a

52W Range17.0983 – 21.1694

Max Supplyn/a

Open	17.2596	Start Date	2003-12-01
Day Range	17.1305 – 17.2250	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	17.0983 – 17.7855	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	17.0983 – 18.6755	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	17.0983 – 21.1694	Max Supply	n/a

Support & Resistance Levels

18.7687R3 — major ceiling

18.3252R2 — swing resistance

17.5685R1 — near-term resistance

17.1464Current PriceUSD

16.8035S1 — near-term supportSupport

16.2891S2 — structure support

15.7747S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near 17.5685; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around 16.8035; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.63% daily realized volatility.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context

Recent17.1464Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High17.2250Local High+0.46%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low17.1305Local Low-0.09%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target16.5106Model 1M-3.71%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target16.1912Model 1Y-5.57%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario15.5046Model 5Y-9.58%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed

83%

Directional

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (0.63% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.

Tomorrow

86%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

84%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

81%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

76%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±2.5%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in USD today

Bullish Case

$1120.00

+12.00% from current

Target Price19.2040

ScenarioBreakout continuation

Probability32%

Base Case

$962.92

-3.71% from current

Target Price16.5106

ScenarioTrend-following baseline

Probability40%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

Target Price15.7747

ScenarioVolatility drawdown

Probability28%

Basis: Scenario engine blends live drift (-3.73% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.63% daily).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how USD moves with other assets

	USD	USDMXN	USDJPY	EURCAD	AUDNZD	EURNZD
USD	1.00	0.95	-0.94	-0.92	-0.88	-0.75
USDMXN	0.95	1.00	-0.88	-0.89	-0.73	-0.53
USDJPY	-0.94	-0.88	1.00	0.94	0.81	0.76
EURCAD	-0.92	-0.89	0.94	1.00	0.83	0.77
AUDNZD	-0.88	-0.73	0.81	0.83	1.00	0.93
EURNZD	-0.75	-0.53	0.76	0.77	0.93	1.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 42/100

24H drift-0.58%

7D drift-1.48%

30D drift-3.73%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 31/100

RSI17.9 · Bearish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack1/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-Off Caution · 40/100

1M outlook-3.73%

1Y outlook-5.59%

5Y outlook-9.59%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the USD forecast for tomorrow?

USD is projected near 17.0506 versus the latest reference around 17.1464. That implies a modeled move of -0.58% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD?

The weekly model points to 16.8953, which maps to an expected drift of -1.48% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 16.5106 (-3.73%), while the 1-year target is 16.1912 (-5.59%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 15.5046 with a modeled change of -9.59%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 17.5685, while nearest support is around 16.8035. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly 17.1305 to 17.2250. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.