Home » All » Bond Forecast » US 10Y Treasury Yield Forecast

US 10Y Treasury Yield Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: May 19, 2026 at 02:54 UTC

From

▼ -2.15%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Rates + macro

Forecast Summary

Timeframe	Predicted Price	Past	Historical	Insight
Tomorrow	4.542% ▼ -1.20%	Yesterday	4.180% ▲ +9.98%	Tomorrow's US 10Y Treasury Yield (US10Y) setup is anchored to 4.597% and targets 4.542% (-1.20%). The near-term read is downside; watch 4.744% / 4.450% because daily realized volatility is about 3.33%.
Tomorrow's US 10Y Treasury Yield (US10Y) setup is anchored to 4.597% and targets 4.542% (-1.20%). The near-term read is downside; watch 4.744% / 4.450% because daily realized volatility is about 3.33%.
Week	4.459% ▼ -3.00%	Last Week	4.280% ▲ +7.41%	The 7-day US 10Y Treasury Yield model moves from 4.280% to 4.459% (-3.00%). It gives downside momentum context for this bond yield, so breaks around 4.744% / 4.450% matter more than a single tick.
The 7-day US 10Y Treasury Yield model moves from 4.280% to 4.459% (-3.00%). It gives downside momentum context for this bond yield, so breaks around 4.744% / 4.450% matter more than a single tick.
Month	4.329% ▼ -5.83%	Last Month	4.140% ▲ +11.04%	The 1-month US 10Y Treasury Yield target is 4.329% (-5.83%), compared with the live reference near 4.597%. This horizon blends current trend pressure with yield momentum, rate expectations, and duration risk.
The 1-month US 10Y Treasury Yield target is 4.329% (-5.83%), compared with the live reference near 4.597%. This horizon blends current trend pressure with yield momentum, rate expectations, and duration risk.
Year	4.181% ▼ -9.05%	Last Year	4.490% ▲ +2.38%	The 1-year US 10Y Treasury Yield scenario points to 4.181% (-9.05%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
The 1-year US 10Y Treasury Yield scenario points to 4.181% (-9.05%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
5 Years	4.081% ▼ -11.22%	5 Years Ago	4.280% ▲ +7.41%	The 5-year US 10Y Treasury Yield view is 4.081% (-11.22%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
The 5-year US 10Y Treasury Yield view is 4.081% (-11.22%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.

Tomorrow4.542%▼ -1.20%

Yesterday4.180%▲ +9.98%

Tomorrow's US 10Y Treasury Yield (US10Y) setup is anchored to 4.597% and targets 4.542% (-1.20%). The near-term read is downside; watch 4.744% / 4.450% because daily realized volatility is about 3.33%.

Week4.459%▼ -3.00%

Last Week4.280%▲ +7.41%

The 7-day US 10Y Treasury Yield model moves from 4.280% to 4.459% (-3.00%). It gives downside momentum context for this bond yield, so breaks around 4.744% / 4.450% matter more than a single tick.

Month4.329%▼ -5.83%

Last Month4.140%▲ +11.04%

The 1-month US 10Y Treasury Yield target is 4.329% (-5.83%), compared with the live reference near 4.597%. This horizon blends current trend pressure with yield momentum, rate expectations, and duration risk.

Year4.181%▼ -9.05%

Last Year4.490%▲ +2.38%

The 1-year US 10Y Treasury Yield scenario points to 4.181% (-9.05%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.

5 Years4.081%▼ -11.22%

5 Years Ago4.280%▲ +7.41%

The 5-year US 10Y Treasury Yield view is 4.081% (-11.22%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.

Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish

Technical Analysis

Bullish

Neutral

Bearish

Key Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
RSI 14	63.8	Bullish
MACD	-0.03	Neutral
SMA 50	4.398%	Above
SMA 200	4.366%	Above
EMA 20	4.378%	Above

Historical Data

Opening Price4.180%

Start Date2021-05-19

Day Range4.089% – 4.697%

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range3.974% – 4.781%

24h Volumen/a

90D Range3.919% – 4.842%

Circulatingn/a

52W Range3.888% – 4.919%

Max Supplyn/a

Opening Price	4.180%	Start Date	2021-05-19
Day Range	4.089% – 4.697%	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	3.974% – 4.781%	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	3.919% – 4.842%	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	3.888% – 4.919%	Max Supply	n/a

Support & Resistance Levels

4.965%R3 — major ceiling

4.854%R2 — swing resistance

4.744%R1 — near-term resistance

4.597%Current PriceUS10Y

4.450%S1 — near-term supportSupport

4.340%S2 — structure support

4.229%S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near 4.744%; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around 4.450%; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 3.33% daily realized volatility.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context

Recent4.597%Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High4.697%Local High+2.17%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low4.089%Local Low-11.04%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target4.329%Model 1M-5.83%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target4.181%Model 1Y-9.05%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario4.081%Model 5Y-11.22%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed

80%

Directional

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (3.33% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.

Tomorrow

83%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

81%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

78%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

73%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±5.5%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Signal

Recent

Directional signal ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in US10Y today

Bullish Case

$1120.00

+12.00% from current

Target Price5.149%

ScenarioBreakout continuation

Probability32%

Base Case

$941.70

-5.83% from current

Target Price4.329%

ScenarioTrend-following baseline

Probability37%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

Target Price4.229%

ScenarioVolatility drawdown

Probability31%

Basis: Scenario model combines current 30-day drift (-5.83%) and realized daily volatility (3.33%).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how US10Y moves with other assets

	US10Y	US2Y	US30Y	DE10Y	UK10Y
US10Y	1.00	0.78	0.68	0.26	-0.18
US2Y	0.78	1.00	0.21	0.76	0.35
US30Y	0.68	0.21	1.00	-0.37	-0.36
DE10Y	0.26	0.76	-0.37	1.00	0.76
UK10Y	-0.18	0.35	-0.36	0.76	1.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 36/100

24H drift-1.20%

7D drift-3.00%

30D drift-5.83%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 77/100

RSI64.0 · Bullish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack3/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-Off Caution · 36/100

1M outlook-5.83%

1Y outlook-9.05%

5Y outlook-11.22%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the US 10Y Treasury Yield (US10Y) forecast for tomorrow?

Using the latest BeCoin market snapshot (May 19, 2026 at 02:54 UTC), US 10Y Treasury Yield is projected near 4.542% versus the current reference around 4.597%. That implies a modeled move of -1.20% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day bond yield outlook suggest for US10Y?

The weekly US 10Y Treasury Yield model points to 4.459%, which maps to an expected drift of -3.00% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so support/resistance breaks can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the US 10Y Treasury Yield 1-month and 1-year targets?

The US 10Y Treasury Yield 1-month target is 4.329% (-5.83%), while the 1-year target is 4.181% (-9.05%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions shaped by yield momentum, rate expectations, and duration risk.

Q Why does the US 10Y Treasury Yield 5-year scenario differ from short-term rows?

The US 10Y Treasury Yield long-horizon scenario sits near 4.081% with a modeled change of -11.22%. It compounds cycle-continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are US10Y support and resistance zones right now?

For US 10Y Treasury Yield, nearest resistance is around 4.744%, while nearest support is around 4.450%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh is the US 10Y Treasury Yield market snapshot?

The displayed bond yield snapshot is labeled May 19, 2026 at 02:54 UTC; the latest observed session range is roughly 4.089% to 4.697%. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the market feed so the FAQ, milestones, and support/resistance context stay tied to the same data refresh.

US 10Y Treasury Yield Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Forecast Summary

Price Chart

Technical Analysis

Key Indicators

Historical Data

Support & Resistance Levels

Price Milestones

Forecast Accuracy

Investment Scenarios

Correlation Matrix

Forecast Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

Recommended Forecasts

Stronger Bullish Ideas

Weaker Bearish Ideas