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US 10Y Treasury Yield Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: May 14, 2026 at 14:20 UTC
▲ +6.48%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Rates + macro

Forecast Summary

TimeframePredicted PricePastHistoricalInsight
Tomorrow4.398% -1.19%Yesterday4.180% +6.48%Tomorrow's US 10Y Treasury Yield (US10Y) setup is anchored to 4.451% and targets 4.398% (-1.19%). The near-term read is downside; watch 4.574% / 4.328% because daily realized volatility is about 2.87%.
Tomorrow's US 10Y Treasury Yield (US10Y) setup is anchored to 4.451% and targets 4.398% (-1.19%). The near-term read is downside; watch 4.574% / 4.328% because daily realized volatility is about 2.87%.
Week4.318% -2.99%Last Week4.280% +4.00%The 7-day US 10Y Treasury Yield model moves from 4.280% to 4.318% (-2.99%). It gives downside momentum context for this bond yield, so breaks around 4.574% / 4.328% matter more than a single tick.
The 7-day US 10Y Treasury Yield model moves from 4.280% to 4.318% (-2.99%). It gives downside momentum context for this bond yield, so breaks around 4.574% / 4.328% matter more than a single tick.
Month4.204% -5.55%Last Month4.140% +7.51%The 1-month US 10Y Treasury Yield target is 4.204% (-5.55%), compared with the live reference near 4.451%. This horizon blends current trend pressure with yield momentum, rate expectations, and duration risk.
The 1-month US 10Y Treasury Yield target is 4.204% (-5.55%), compared with the live reference near 4.451%. This horizon blends current trend pressure with yield momentum, rate expectations, and duration risk.
Year4.115% -7.55%Last Year4.490% -0.87%The 1-year US 10Y Treasury Yield scenario points to 4.115% (-7.55%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
The 1-year US 10Y Treasury Yield scenario points to 4.115% (-7.55%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
5 Years4.057% -8.85%5 Years Ago4.280% +4.00%The 5-year US 10Y Treasury Yield view is 4.057% (-8.85%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
The 5-year US 10Y Treasury Yield view is 4.057% (-8.85%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
Tomorrow4.398% -1.19%
Yesterday4.180% +6.48%
Tomorrow's US 10Y Treasury Yield (US10Y) setup is anchored to 4.451% and targets 4.398% (-1.19%). The near-term read is downside; watch 4.574% / 4.328% because daily realized volatility is about 2.87%.
Week4.318% -2.99%
Last Week4.280% +4.00%
The 7-day US 10Y Treasury Yield model moves from 4.280% to 4.318% (-2.99%). It gives downside momentum context for this bond yield, so breaks around 4.574% / 4.328% matter more than a single tick.
Month4.204% -5.55%
Last Month4.140% +7.51%
The 1-month US 10Y Treasury Yield target is 4.204% (-5.55%), compared with the live reference near 4.451%. This horizon blends current trend pressure with yield momentum, rate expectations, and duration risk.
Year4.115% -7.55%
Last Year4.490% -0.87%
The 1-year US 10Y Treasury Yield scenario points to 4.115% (-7.55%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
5 Years4.057% -8.85%
5 Years Ago4.280% +4.00%
The 5-year US 10Y Treasury Yield view is 4.057% (-8.85%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish
4.512%4.429%4.346%4.263%4.180%1W AgoNow7D F

Technical Analysis

SellNeutralBuy
Bullish
4
Bullish
1
Neutral
0
Bearish

Key Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
RSI 1459.6 Bullish
MACD-0.03 Neutral
SMA 504.305% Above
SMA 2004.305% Above
EMA 204.297% Above

Historical Data

Opening Price4.180%
Start Date2021-05-14
Day Range4.102% – 4.534%
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range3.997% – 4.605%
24h Volumen/a
90D Range3.950% – 4.656%
Circulatingn/a
52W Range3.867% – 4.761%
Max Supplyn/a
Opening Price4.180%Start Date2021-05-14
Day Range4.102% – 4.534%Market Capn/a
Monthly Range3.997% – 4.605%24h Volumen/a
90D Range3.950% – 4.656%Circulatingn/a
52W Range3.867% – 4.761%Max Supplyn/a

Support & Resistance Levels

4.758%R3 — major ceiling
4.666%R2 — swing resistance
4.574%R1 — near-term resistance
4.451%Current PriceUS10Y
4.328%S1 — near-term supportSupport
4.236%S2 — structure support
4.144%S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near 4.574%; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around 4.328%; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 2.87% daily realized volatility.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context
Recent4.451%Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High4.534%Local High+1.87%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low4.102%Local Low-7.84%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target4.204%Model 1M-5.55%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target4.115%Model 1Y-7.55%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario4.057%Model 5Y-8.85%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed
81%
Directional
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (2.87% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.
Tomorrow
84%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
82%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
79%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
74%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±4.7%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Signal
Recent
Directional signal ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in US10Y today
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Target Price4.985%
ScenarioBreakout continuation
Probability32%
Base Case
$944.51
-5.55% from current
Target Price4.204%
ScenarioTrend-following baseline
Probability37%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Target Price4.095%
ScenarioVolatility drawdown
Probability31%
Basis: Scenario model combines current 30-day drift (-5.55%) and realized daily volatility (2.87%).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how US10Y moves with other assets
US10YUS2YUS30YUK10YDE10Y
US10Y1.000.730.52-0.300.22
US2Y0.731.00-0.050.330.76
US30Y0.52-0.051.00-0.56-0.59
UK10Y-0.300.33-0.561.000.75
DE10Y0.220.76-0.590.751.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 37/100
24H drift-1.19%
7D drift-2.99%
30D drift-5.55%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 77/100
RSI59.8 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 37/100
1M outlook-5.55%
1Y outlook-7.55%
5Y outlook-8.85%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the US 10Y Treasury Yield (US10Y) forecast for tomorrow?
Using the latest BeCoin market snapshot (May 14, 2026 at 14:20 UTC), US 10Y Treasury Yield is projected near 4.398% versus the current reference around 4.451%. That implies a modeled move of -1.19% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day bond yield outlook suggest for US10Y?
The weekly US 10Y Treasury Yield model points to 4.318%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.99% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so support/resistance breaks can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the US 10Y Treasury Yield 1-month and 1-year targets?
The US 10Y Treasury Yield 1-month target is 4.204% (-5.55%), while the 1-year target is 4.115% (-7.55%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions shaped by yield momentum, rate expectations, and duration risk.
Q Why does the US 10Y Treasury Yield 5-year scenario differ from short-term rows?
The US 10Y Treasury Yield long-horizon scenario sits near 4.057% with a modeled change of -8.85%. It compounds cycle-continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are US10Y support and resistance zones right now?
For US 10Y Treasury Yield, nearest resistance is around 4.574%, while nearest support is around 4.328%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh is the US 10Y Treasury Yield market snapshot?
The displayed bond yield snapshot is labeled May 14, 2026 at 14:20 UTC; the latest observed session range is roughly 4.102% to 4.534%. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the market feed so the FAQ, milestones, and support/resistance context stay tied to the same data refresh.

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