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USD/HUF Utabiri: Kesho, Wiki, Mwezi, Miaka 5

Imesasishwa: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC

From

▲ +8.04%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Macro + technical

Muhtasari wa Utabiri

Muda uliopangwa	Bei Iliyotabiriwa	Zamani	Kihistoria	Maarifa
Kesho	319.2847 ▲ +0.28%	Jana	318.9170 ▼ -0.06%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.59%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.59%).
Wiki	320.9936 ▲ +0.82%	Wiki Iliyopita	321.4810 ▲ +0.13%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mwezi	324.4118 ▲ +1.89%	Mwezi uliopita	326.9410 ▼ -1.14%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Mwaka	308.8912 ▼ -2.98%	Mwaka jana	382.9700 ▲ +5.23%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Miaka 5	302.7406 ▼ -4.91%	Miaka 5 Iliyopita	300.1700 ▼ -21.62%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Kesho319.2847▲ +0.28%

Jana318.9170▼ -0.06%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.59%).

Wiki320.9936▲ +0.82%

Wiki Iliyopita321.4810▲ +0.13%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Mwezi324.4118▲ +1.89%

Mwezi uliopita326.9410▼ -1.14%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Mwaka308.8912▼ -2.98%

Mwaka jana382.9700▲ +5.23%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

Miaka 5302.7406▼ -4.91%

Miaka 5 Iliyopita300.1700▼ -21.62%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Chati ya Bei

KihistoriaUtabiriBullishBearish

Uchambuzi wa Kiufundi

Bearish

Bullish

Si upande wowote

Bearish

Viashiria Muhimu

Kiashiria	Thamani	Mawimbi
RSI 14	44.5	Bearish
MACD	-2.57	Bearish
SMA 50	325.9760	Below
SMA 200	336.7222	Below
EMA 20	299.4714	Above

Data ya Kihistoria

Open319.6700

Start Date

Day Range317.6700 – 319.6700

Market Cap

Monthly Range315.6100 – 331.4940

24h Volume

90D Range315.6100 – 338.5210

Circulating

52W Range315.6100 – 385.4140

Max Supply

Open	319.6700	Start Date
Day Range	317.6700 – 319.6700	Market Cap
Monthly Range	315.6100 – 331.4940	24h Volume
90D Range	315.6100 – 338.5210	Circulating
52W Range	315.6100 – 385.4140	Max Supply

Usaidizi & Viwango vya Upinzani

327.0457R3 — upper range

323.7445R2 — swing high

321.2686R1 — near-term cap

318.3800Bei ya SasaUSD

315.4914S1 — short-term supportSupport

313.0155S2 — trend support

309.7143S3 — range low

↑

Nearest resistance is 321.2686; break above may accelerate momentum.

↓

Nearest support sits near 315.4914; watch reaction around this zone.

⚖

Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 0.59%.

Bei Milestones

Viwango muhimu na muktadha wa kihistoria

Recent318.3800Current

Current reference level.

90D High338.5210Range High

Highest close in recent lookback window.

90D Low315.6100Range Low

Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Usahihi wa Utabiri

Jinsi mtindo wetu umefanya

74%

Mwelekeo

Forecast Accuracy

Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.

📊

Kanuni zetu husawazishwa upya kila wiki kwa kutumia hatua ya hivi punde ya bei, hali tete na viashiria vya viashirio. Usahihi hutofautiana kulingana na muda - kasi ya muda mfupi inaaminika zaidi kuliko makadirio ya muda mrefu.

Tomorrow

78%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

75%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

72%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

67%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±14%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Matukio ya Uwekezaji

Ikiwa utawekeza $1,000 katika USD leo

Bullish Case

$1,144.83

+14.48% from current

Bei Lengwa364.4916

MazingiraBreakout continuation

Uwezekano25%

Base Case

$1,040.00

+4.00% from current

Bei Lengwa331.1152

MazingiraTrend-following baseline

Uwezekano50%

Bearish Case

$880.00

-12.00% from current

Bei Lengwa280.1744

MazingiraVolatility drawdown

Uwezekano25%

Msingi: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.09% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.59% daily).

Matrix ya Uwiano

Muda wa siku 30 · jinsi USD inavyosonga na vipengee vingine

	USD
USD	1.00

Mambo ya Utabiri

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Balanced · 54/100

24H drift+0.28%

7D drift+0.82%

30D drift+1.89%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 31/100

RSI44.5 · Neutral

MACD-2.58 · Bearish

MA stack1/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 47/100

1M outlook+1.89%

1Y outlook-2.98%

5Y outlook-4.91%

Maswali Yanayoulizwa Mara Kwa Mara

Q What is the USD/HUF forecast for tomorrow?

USD/HUF is projected near 319.2847 versus the latest reference around 318.3800. That implies a modeled move of +0.28% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/HUF?

The weekly model points to 320.9936, which maps to an expected drift of +0.82% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 324.4118 (+1.89%), while the 1-year target is 308.8912 (-2.98%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 302.7406 with a modeled change of -4.91%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 321.2686, while nearest support is around 315.4914. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

USD/HUF Utabiri: Kesho, Wiki, Mwezi, Miaka 5

Muhtasari wa Utabiri

Chati ya Bei

Uchambuzi wa Kiufundi

Viashiria Muhimu

Data ya Kihistoria

Usaidizi & Viwango vya Upinzani

Bei Milestones

Usahihi wa Utabiri

Matukio ya Uwekezaji

Matrix ya Uwiano

Mambo ya Utabiri

Maswali Yanayoulizwa Mara Kwa Mara

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