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USD/PKR Utabiri: Kesho, Wiki, Mwezi, Miaka 5

Imesasishwa: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +76.76%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Macro + technical

Muhtasari wa Utabiri

Muda uliopangwaBei IliyotabiriwaZamaniKihistoriaMaarifa
Kesho281.5747 +0.80%Jana279.3000 0.00%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.41%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.41%).
Wiki284.9268 +2.00%Wiki Iliyopita278.1927 -0.01%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mwezi293.2013 +4.96%Mwezi uliopita278.9872 -0.51%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Mwaka301.3881 +7.89%Mwaka jana279.1000 +0.41%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Miaka 5315.8447 +13.07%Miaka 5 Iliyopita152.5000 -45.36%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Kesho281.5747 +0.80%
Jana279.3000 0.00%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.41%).
Wiki284.9268 +2.00%
Wiki Iliyopita278.1927 -0.01%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mwezi293.2013 +4.96%
Mwezi uliopita278.9872 -0.51%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Mwaka301.3881 +7.89%
Mwaka jana279.1000 +0.41%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Miaka 5315.8447 +13.07%
Miaka 5 Iliyopita152.5000 -45.36%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Chati ya Bei

KihistoriaUtabiriBullishBearish
288.7562286.1161283.4760280.8359278.19581W AgoNow7D F

Uchambuzi wa Kiufundi

UzaSi upande wowoteNunua
Bullish
3
Bullish
1
Si upande wowote
1
Bearish

Viashiria Muhimu

KiashiriaThamaniMawimbi
RSI 1454.4 Neutral
MACD1.02 Bullish
SMA 50279.3175 Above
SMA 200281.1147 Below
EMA 20157.5231 Above

Data ya Kihistoria

Open279.6860
Start Date
Day Range279.3400 – 279.6860
Market Cap
Monthly Range276.2948 – 280.6585
24h Volume
90D Range276.2948 – 283.4219
Circulating
52W Range275.8042 – 284.7500
Max Supply
Open279.6860Start Date
Day Range279.3400 – 279.6860Market Cap
Monthly Range276.2948 – 280.658524h Volume
90D Range276.2948 – 283.4219Circulating
52W Range275.8042 – 284.7500Max Supply

Usaidizi & Viwango vya Upinzani

285.2061R3 — upper range
282.9714R2 — swing high
281.2954R1 — near-term cap
279.3400Bei ya SasaUSD
277.3846S1 — short-term supportSupport
275.7086S2 — trend support
273.4739S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 281.2954; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 277.3846; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.41%.

Bei Milestones

Viwango muhimu na muktadha wa kihistoria
Recent279.3400Current
Current reference level.
90D High283.4219Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low276.2948Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Usahihi wa Utabiri

Jinsi mtindo wetu umefanya
74%
Mwelekeo
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Kanuni zetu husawazishwa upya kila wiki kwa kutumia hatua ya hivi punde ya bei, hali tete na viashiria vya viashirio. Usahihi hutofautiana kulingana na muda - kasi ya muda mfupi inaaminika zaidi kuliko makadirio ya muda mrefu.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Matukio ya Uwekezaji

Ikiwa utawekeza $1,000 katika USD leo
Bullish Case
$1,273.14
+27.31% from current
Bei Lengwa355.6379
MazingiraBreakout continuation
Uwezekano25%
Base Case
$1,078.93
+7.89% from current
Bei Lengwa301.3881
MazingiraTrend-following baseline
Uwezekano50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
Bei Lengwa245.8192
MazingiraVolatility drawdown
Uwezekano25%
Msingi: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.01% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.41% daily).

Matrix ya Uwiano

Muda wa siku 30 · jinsi USD inavyosonga na vipengee vingine
USD
USD1.00

Mambo ya Utabiri

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 60/100
24H drift+0.80%
7D drift+2.00%
30D drift+4.96%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 69/100
RSI54.3 · Neutral
MACD1.00 · Bullish
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 58/100
1M outlook+4.96%
1Y outlook+7.89%
5Y outlook+13.07%

Maswali Yanayoulizwa Mara Kwa Mara

Q What is the USD/PKR forecast for tomorrow?
USD/PKR is projected near 281.5747 versus the latest reference around 279.3400. That implies a modeled move of +0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/PKR?
The weekly model points to 284.9268, which maps to an expected drift of +2.00% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 293.2013 (+4.96%), while the 1-year target is 301.3881 (+7.89%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 315.8447 with a modeled change of +13.07%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 281.2954, while nearest support is around 277.3846. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.