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CAD/JPY Utabiri: Kesho, Wiki, Mwezi, Miaka 5

Imesasishwa: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC

From

▲ +34.95%Technical analysis Neutral · Focus area Macro + technical

Muhtasari wa Utabiri

Muda uliopangwa	Bei Iliyotabiriwa	Zamani	Kihistoria	Maarifa
Kesho	113.4467 ▲ +0.80%	Jana	112.2660 ▼ -0.56%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.56%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.56%).
Wiki	114.7967 ▲ +2.00%	Wiki Iliyopita	114.7870 ▲ +2.01%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mwezi	118.1631 ▲ +4.99%	Mwezi uliopita	114.1910 ▲ +2.15%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Mwaka	119.4301 ▲ +6.11%	Mwaka jana	105.3950 ▼ -4.91%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Miaka 5	123.5920 ▲ +9.81%	Miaka 5 Iliyopita	87.5260 ▼ -16.95%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Kesho113.4467▲ +0.80%

Jana112.2660▼ -0.56%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.56%).

Wiki114.7967▲ +2.00%

Wiki Iliyopita114.7870▲ +2.01%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Mwezi118.1631▲ +4.99%

Mwezi uliopita114.1910▲ +2.15%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Mwaka119.4301▲ +6.11%

Mwaka jana105.3950▼ -4.91%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

Miaka 5123.5920▲ +9.81%

Miaka 5 Iliyopita87.5260▼ -16.95%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Chati ya Bei

KihistoriaUtabiriBullishBearish

Uchambuzi wa Kiufundi

Bearish

Bullish

Si upande wowote

Bearish

Viashiria Muhimu

Kiashiria	Thamani	Mawimbi
RSI 14	50.2	Neutral
MACD	-0.92	Bearish
SMA 50	113.5799	Below
SMA 200	108.8755	Above
EMA 20	84.5272	Above

Data ya Kihistoria

Open112.0950

Start Date

Day Range112.0090 – 112.8750

Market Cap

Monthly Range112.1540 – 115.1140

24h Volume

90D Range106.8790 – 115.1140

Circulating

52W Range101.8190 – 115.1140

Max Supply

Open	112.0950	Start Date
Day Range	112.0090 – 112.8750	Market Cap
Monthly Range	112.1540 – 115.1140	24h Volume
90D Range	106.8790 – 115.1140	Circulating
52W Range	101.8190 – 115.1140	Max Supply

Usaidizi & Viwango vya Upinzani

115.4640R3 — upper range

114.3543R2 — swing high

113.5220R1 — near-term cap

112.5510Bei ya SasaCAD

111.5800S1 — short-term supportSupport

110.7477S2 — trend support

109.6380S3 — range low

↑

Nearest resistance is 113.5220; break above may accelerate momentum.

↓

Nearest support sits near 111.5800; watch reaction around this zone.

⚖

Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.56%.

Bei Milestones

Viwango muhimu na muktadha wa kihistoria

Recent112.5510Current

Current reference level.

90D High115.1140Range High

Highest close in recent lookback window.

90D Low106.8790Range Low

Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Usahihi wa Utabiri

Jinsi mtindo wetu umefanya

74%

Mwelekeo

Forecast Accuracy

Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.

📊

Kanuni zetu husawazishwa upya kila wiki kwa kutumia hatua ya hivi punde ya bei, hali tete na viashiria vya viashirio. Usahihi hutofautiana kulingana na muda - kasi ya muda mfupi inaaminika zaidi kuliko makadirio ya muda mrefu.

Tomorrow

78%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

75%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

72%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

67%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±14%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Matukio ya Uwekezaji

Ikiwa utawekeza $1,000 katika CAD leo

Bullish Case

$1,252.12

+25.21% from current

Bei Lengwa140.9276

MazingiraBreakout continuation

Uwezekano25%

Base Case

$1,061.12

+6.11% from current

Bei Lengwa119.4301

MazingiraTrend-following baseline

Uwezekano50%

Bearish Case

$880.00

-12.00% from current

Bei Lengwa99.0449

MazingiraVolatility drawdown

Uwezekano25%

Msingi: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.05% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.56% daily).

Matrix ya Uwiano

Muda wa siku 30 · jinsi CAD inavyosonga na vipengee vingine

	CAD
CAD	1.00

Mambo ya Utabiri

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bullish · 60/100

24H drift+0.80%

7D drift+2.00%

30D drift+4.99%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 40/100

RSI50.1 · Neutral

MACD-0.94 · Bearish

MA stack2/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 57/100

1M outlook+4.99%

1Y outlook+6.11%

5Y outlook+9.81%

Maswali Yanayoulizwa Mara Kwa Mara

Q What is the CAD/JPY forecast for tomorrow?

CAD/JPY is projected near 113.4467 versus the latest reference around 112.5510. That implies a modeled move of +0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for CAD/JPY?

The weekly model points to 114.7967, which maps to an expected drift of +2.00% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 118.1631 (+4.99%), while the 1-year target is 119.4301 (+6.11%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 123.5920 with a modeled change of +9.81%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 113.5220, while nearest support is around 111.5800. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

CAD/JPY Utabiri: Kesho, Wiki, Mwezi, Miaka 5

Muhtasari wa Utabiri

Chati ya Bei

Uchambuzi wa Kiufundi

Viashiria Muhimu

Data ya Kihistoria

Usaidizi & Viwango vya Upinzani

Bei Milestones

Usahihi wa Utabiri

Matukio ya Uwekezaji

Matrix ya Uwiano

Mambo ya Utabiri

Maswali Yanayoulizwa Mara Kwa Mara

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