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USD/ILS Utabiri: Kesho, Wiki, Mwezi, Miaka 5

Imesasishwa: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC

From

▼ -4.63%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Macro + technical

Muhtasari wa Utabiri

Muda uliopangwa	Bei Iliyotabiriwa	Zamani	Kihistoria	Maarifa
Kesho	3.0766 ▼ -0.47%	Jana	3.0630 ▼ -0.42%	Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.45%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.45%).
Wiki	3.0516 ▼ -1.29%	Wiki Iliyopita	3.0942 ▼ -0.68%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mwezi	2.9870 ▼ -3.37%	Mwezi uliopita	3.1856 ▼ -2.77%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Mwaka	2.9428 ▼ -4.80%	Mwaka jana	3.5452 ▼ -0.86%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Miaka 5	2.8501 ▼ -7.80%	Miaka 5 Iliyopita	3.2892 ▼ -7.22%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Kesho3.0766▼ -0.47%

Jana3.0630▼ -0.42%

Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.45%).

Wiki3.0516▼ -1.29%

Wiki Iliyopita3.0942▼ -0.68%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Mwezi2.9870▼ -3.37%

Mwezi uliopita3.1856▼ -2.77%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Mwaka2.9428▼ -4.80%

Mwaka jana3.5452▼ -0.86%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

Miaka 52.8501▼ -7.80%

Miaka 5 Iliyopita3.2892▼ -7.22%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Chati ya Bei

KihistoriaUtabiriBullishBearish

Uchambuzi wa Kiufundi

Bearish

Bullish

Si upande wowote

Bearish

Viashiria Muhimu

Kiashiria	Thamani	Mawimbi
RSI 14	43.1	Bearish
MACD	-0.02	Neutral
SMA 50	3.1562	Below
SMA 200	3.3164	Below
EMA 20	3.2799	Below

Data ya Kihistoria

Open3.0897

Start Date

Day Range3.0754 – 3.0950

Market Cap

Monthly Range3.0630 – 3.1686

24h Volume

90D Range3.0630 – 3.3177

Circulating

52W Range3.0630 – 3.8205

Max Supply

Open	3.0897	Start Date
Day Range	3.0754 – 3.0950	Market Cap
Monthly Range	3.0630 – 3.1686	24h Volume
90D Range	3.0630 – 3.3177	Circulating
52W Range	3.0630 – 3.8205	Max Supply

Usaidizi & Viwango vya Upinzani

3.1563R3 — upper range

3.1315R2 — swing high

3.1130R1 — near-term cap

3.0913Bei ya SasaUSD

3.0696S1 — short-term supportSupport

3.0511S2 — trend support

3.0263S3 — range low

↑

Nearest resistance is 3.1130; break above may accelerate momentum.

↓

Nearest support sits near 3.0696; watch reaction around this zone.

⚖

Current structure is bear-leaning with daily volatility around 0.45%.

Bei Milestones

Viwango muhimu na muktadha wa kihistoria

Recent3.0913Current

Current reference level.

90D High3.3177Range High

Highest close in recent lookback window.

90D Low3.0630Range Low

Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Usahihi wa Utabiri

Jinsi mtindo wetu umefanya

74%

Mwelekeo

Forecast Accuracy

Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.

📊

Kanuni zetu husawazishwa upya kila wiki kwa kutumia hatua ya hivi punde ya bei, hali tete na viashiria vya viashirio. Usahihi hutofautiana kulingana na muda - kasi ya muda mfupi inaaminika zaidi kuliko makadirio ya muda mrefu.

Tomorrow

78%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

75%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

72%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

67%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±14%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Matukio ya Uwekezaji

Ikiwa utawekeza $1,000 katika USD leo

Bullish Case

$1,123.31

+12.33% from current

Bei Lengwa3.4725

MazingiraBreakout continuation

Uwezekano25%

Base Case

$1,040.00

+4.00% from current

Bei Lengwa3.2150

MazingiraTrend-following baseline

Uwezekano50%

Bearish Case

$869.65

-13.04% from current

Bei Lengwa2.6883

MazingiraVolatility drawdown

Uwezekano25%

Msingi: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.10% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.45% daily).

Matrix ya Uwiano

Muda wa siku 30 · jinsi USD inavyosonga na vipengee vingine

	USD
USD	1.00

Mambo ya Utabiri

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Balanced · 43/100

24H drift-0.47%

7D drift-1.29%

30D drift-3.37%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 23/100

RSI43.2 · Neutral

MACD-0.01 · Bearish

MA stack0/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-Off Caution · 41/100

1M outlook-3.37%

1Y outlook-4.80%

5Y outlook-7.80%

Maswali Yanayoulizwa Mara Kwa Mara

Q What is the USD/ILS forecast for tomorrow?

USD/ILS is projected near 3.0766 versus the latest reference around 3.0913. That implies a modeled move of -0.47% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/ILS?

The weekly model points to 3.0516, which maps to an expected drift of -1.29% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 2.9870 (-3.37%), while the 1-year target is 2.9428 (-4.80%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 2.8501 with a modeled change of -7.80%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 3.1130, while nearest support is around 3.0696. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

USD/ILS Utabiri: Kesho, Wiki, Mwezi, Miaka 5

Muhtasari wa Utabiri

Chati ya Bei

Uchambuzi wa Kiufundi

Viashiria Muhimu

Data ya Kihistoria

Usaidizi & Viwango vya Upinzani

Bei Milestones

Usahihi wa Utabiri

Matukio ya Uwekezaji

Matrix ya Uwiano

Mambo ya Utabiri

Maswali Yanayoulizwa Mara Kwa Mara

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