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EUR/JPY Utabiri: Kesho, Wiki, Mwezi, Miaka 5

Imesasishwa: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +42.28%Technical analysis Neutral · Focus area Macro + technical

Muhtasari wa Utabiri

Muda uliopangwaBei IliyotabiriwaZamaniKihistoriaMaarifa
Kesho183.3736 +0.80%Jana181.3720 -0.36%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.52%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.52%).
Wiki185.5567 +2.00%Wiki Iliyopita185.1830 +1.04%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mwezi191.0126 +5.00%Mwezi uliopita183.7470 +1.43%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Mwaka194.6313 +6.99%Mwaka jana156.8790 -3.94%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Miaka 5202.6741 +11.41%Miaka 5 Iliyopita130.5100 -16.81%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Kesho183.3736 +0.80%
Jana181.3720 -0.36%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.52%).
Wiki185.5567 +2.00%
Wiki Iliyopita185.1830 +1.04%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mwezi191.0126 +5.00%
Mwezi uliopita183.7470 +1.43%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Mwaka194.6313 +6.99%
Mwaka jana156.8790 -3.94%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Miaka 5202.6741 +11.41%
Miaka 5 Iliyopita130.5100 -16.81%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Chati ya Bei

KihistoriaUtabiriBullishBearish
188.0506186.3312184.6118182.8924181.17311W AgoNow7D F

Uchambuzi wa Kiufundi

UzaSi upande wowoteNunua
Bearish
2
Bullish
0
Si upande wowote
3
Bearish

Viashiria Muhimu

KiashiriaThamaniMawimbi
RSI 1443.5 Bearish
MACD-0.50 Bearish
SMA 50183.5290 Below
SMA 200175.0727 Above
EMA 20128.5918 Above

Data ya Kihistoria

Open181.0650
Start Date
Day Range181.0590 – 182.2970
Market Cap
Monthly Range181.3720 – 186.2900
24h Volume
90D Range175.5560 – 186.2900
Circulating
52W Range155.9280 – 186.2900
Max Supply
Open181.0650Start Date
Day Range181.0590 – 182.2970Market Cap
Monthly Range181.3720 – 186.290024h Volume
90D Range175.5560 – 186.2900Circulating
52W Range155.9280 – 186.2900Max Supply

Usaidizi & Viwango vya Upinzani

186.2623R3 — upper range
184.6077R2 — swing high
183.3668R1 — near-term cap
181.9190Bei ya SasaEUR
180.4712S1 — short-term supportSupport
179.2303S2 — trend support
177.5757S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 183.3668; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 180.4712; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.52%.

Bei Milestones

Viwango muhimu na muktadha wa kihistoria
Recent181.9190Current
Current reference level.
90D High186.2900Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low175.5560Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Usahihi wa Utabiri

Jinsi mtindo wetu umefanya
74%
Mwelekeo
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Kanuni zetu husawazishwa upya kila wiki kwa kutumia hatua ya hivi punde ya bei, hali tete na viashiria vya viashirio. Usahihi hutofautiana kulingana na muda - kasi ya muda mfupi inaaminika zaidi kuliko makadirio ya muda mrefu.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Matukio ya Uwekezaji

Ikiwa utawekeza $1,000 katika EUR leo
Bullish Case
$1,262.46
+26.25% from current
Bei Lengwa229.6649
MazingiraBreakout continuation
Uwezekano25%
Base Case
$1,069.88
+6.99% from current
Bei Lengwa194.6313
MazingiraTrend-following baseline
Uwezekano50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
Bei Lengwa160.0887
MazingiraVolatility drawdown
Uwezekano25%
Msingi: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.03% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.52% daily).

Matrix ya Uwiano

Muda wa siku 30 · jinsi EUR inavyosonga na vipengee vingine
EUR
EUR1.00

Mambo ya Utabiri

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 60/100
24H drift+0.80%
7D drift+2.00%
30D drift+5.00%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 40/100
RSI43.4 · Neutral
MACD-0.52 · Bearish
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 57/100
1M outlook+5.00%
1Y outlook+6.99%
5Y outlook+11.41%

Maswali Yanayoulizwa Mara Kwa Mara

Q What is the EUR/JPY forecast for tomorrow?
EUR/JPY is projected near 183.3736 versus the latest reference around 181.9190. That implies a modeled move of +0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for EUR/JPY?
The weekly model points to 185.5567, which maps to an expected drift of +2.00% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 191.0126 (+5.00%), while the 1-year target is 194.6313 (+6.99%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 202.6741 with a modeled change of +11.41%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 183.3668, while nearest support is around 180.4712. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.