Nyumbani » Wote » Utabiri wa Forex » AUD/JPY Utabiri

AUD/JPY Utabiri: Kesho, Wiki, Mwezi, Miaka 5

Imesasishwa: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC

From

▲ +32.33%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Macro + technical

Muhtasari wa Utabiri

Muda uliopangwa	Bei Iliyotabiriwa	Zamani	Kihistoria	Maarifa
Kesho	109.4483 ▲ +0.80%	Jana	108.2990 ▼ -0.83%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.73%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.73%).
Wiki	110.7509 ▲ +2.00%	Wiki Iliyopita	109.7490 ▲ +2.85%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mwezi	114.0029 ▲ +4.99%	Mwezi uliopita	104.9230 ▲ +2.99%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Mwaka	117.0320 ▲ +7.78%	Mwaka jana	95.6480 ▼ -2.31%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Miaka 5	123.0308 ▲ +13.31%	Miaka 5 Iliyopita	83.6350 ▼ -12.56%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Kesho109.4483▲ +0.80%

Jana108.2990▼ -0.83%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.73%).

Wiki110.7509▲ +2.00%

Wiki Iliyopita109.7490▲ +2.85%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Mwezi114.0029▲ +4.99%

Mwezi uliopita104.9230▲ +2.99%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Mwaka117.0320▲ +7.78%

Mwaka jana95.6480▼ -2.31%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

Miaka 5123.0308▲ +13.31%

Miaka 5 Iliyopita83.6350▼ -12.56%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Chati ya Bei

KihistoriaUtabiriBullishBearish

Uchambuzi wa Kiufundi

Bullish

Si upande wowote

Bearish

Viashiria Muhimu

Kiashiria	Thamani	Mawimbi
RSI 14	59.9	Bullish
MACD	-0.42	Bearish
SMA 50	105.9610	Above
SMA 200	99.1624	Above
EMA 20	83.0780	Above

Data ya Kihistoria

Open107.8590

Start Date

Day Range107.6510 – 108.8910

Market Cap

Monthly Range105.0870 – 110.5930

24h Volume

90D Range97.3080 – 110.5930

Circulating

52W Range86.8410 – 110.5930

Max Supply

Open	107.8590	Start Date
Day Range	107.6510 – 108.8910	Market Cap
Monthly Range	105.0870 – 110.5930	24h Volume
90D Range	97.3080 – 110.5930	Circulating
52W Range	86.8410 – 110.5930	Max Supply

Usaidizi & Viwango vya Upinzani

112.2339R3 — upper range

110.8431R2 — swing high

109.8000R1 — near-term cap

108.5830Bei ya SasaAUD

107.3660S1 — short-term supportSupport

106.3229S2 — trend support

104.9321S3 — range low

↑

Nearest resistance is 109.8000; break above may accelerate momentum.

↓

Nearest support sits near 107.3660; watch reaction around this zone.

⚖

Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.73%.

Bei Milestones

Viwango muhimu na muktadha wa kihistoria

Recent108.5830Current

Current reference level.

90D High110.5930Range High

Highest close in recent lookback window.

90D Low97.3080Range Low

Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Usahihi wa Utabiri

Jinsi mtindo wetu umefanya

74%

Mwelekeo

Forecast Accuracy

Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.

📊

Kanuni zetu husawazishwa upya kila wiki kwa kutumia hatua ya hivi punde ya bei, hali tete na viashiria vya viashirio. Usahihi hutofautiana kulingana na muda - kasi ya muda mfupi inaaminika zaidi kuliko makadirio ya muda mrefu.

Tomorrow

78%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

75%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

72%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

67%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±14%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Matukio ya Uwekezaji

Ikiwa utawekeza $1,000 katika AUD leo

Bullish Case

$1,271.82

+27.18% from current

Bei Lengwa138.0977

MazingiraBreakout continuation

Uwezekano25%

Base Case

$1,077.81

+7.78% from current

Bei Lengwa117.0320

MazingiraTrend-following baseline

Uwezekano50%

Bearish Case

$880.00

-12.00% from current

Bei Lengwa95.5530

MazingiraVolatility drawdown

Uwezekano25%

Msingi: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.12% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.73% daily).

Matrix ya Uwiano

Muda wa siku 30 · jinsi AUD inavyosonga na vipengee vingine

	AUD
AUD	1.00

Mambo ya Utabiri

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bullish · 60/100

24H drift+0.80%

7D drift+2.00%

30D drift+4.99%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Mixed — Watching · 48/100

RSI59.8 · Neutral

MACD-0.44 · Bearish

MA stack3/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-On Tentative · 58/100

1M outlook+4.99%

1Y outlook+7.78%

5Y outlook+13.31%

Maswali Yanayoulizwa Mara Kwa Mara

Q What is the AUD/JPY forecast for tomorrow?

AUD/JPY is projected near 109.4483 versus the latest reference around 108.5830. That implies a modeled move of +0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for AUD/JPY?

The weekly model points to 110.7509, which maps to an expected drift of +2.00% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 114.0029 (+4.99%), while the 1-year target is 117.0320 (+7.78%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 123.0308 with a modeled change of +13.31%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 109.8000, while nearest support is around 107.3660. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

AUD/JPY Utabiri: Kesho, Wiki, Mwezi, Miaka 5

Muhtasari wa Utabiri

Chati ya Bei

Uchambuzi wa Kiufundi

Viashiria Muhimu

Data ya Kihistoria

Usaidizi & Viwango vya Upinzani

Bei Milestones

Usahihi wa Utabiri

Matukio ya Uwekezaji

Matrix ya Uwiano

Mambo ya Utabiri

Maswali Yanayoulizwa Mara Kwa Mara

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