Nyumbani » Wote » Utabiri wa Forex » USD/MXN Utabiri

USD/MXN Utabiri: Kesho, Wiki, Mwezi, Miaka 5

Imesasishwa: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC

From

▼ -14.00%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Macro + technical

Muhtasari wa Utabiri

Muda uliopangwa	Bei Iliyotabiriwa	Zamani	Kihistoria	Maarifa
Kesho	17.0245 ▼ -0.77%	Jana	17.2070 ▲ +0.08%	Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Wiki	16.8224 ▼ -1.94%	Wiki Iliyopita	17.3244 ▼ -0.18%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mwezi	16.3245 ▼ -4.85%	Mwezi uliopita	17.9112 ▼ -2.21%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Mwaka	16.0672 ▼ -6.35%	Mwaka jana	20.2940 ▲ +19.69%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Miaka 5	15.3575 ▼ -10.48%	Miaka 5 Iliyopita	20.1604 ▼ -0.66%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Kesho17.0245▼ -0.77%

Jana17.2070▲ +0.08%

Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.55%).

Wiki16.8224▼ -1.94%

Wiki Iliyopita17.3244▼ -0.18%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Mwezi16.3245▼ -4.85%

Mwezi uliopita17.9112▼ -2.21%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Mwaka16.0672▼ -6.35%

Mwaka jana20.2940▲ +19.69%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

Miaka 515.3575▼ -10.48%

Miaka 5 Iliyopita20.1604▼ -0.66%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Chati ya Bei

KihistoriaUtabiriBullishBearish

Uchambuzi wa Kiufundi

Bearish

Bullish

Si upande wowote

Bearish

Viashiria Muhimu

Kiashiria	Thamani	Mawimbi
RSI 14	42.8	Bearish
MACD	-0.12	Bearish
SMA 50	17.7127	Below
SMA 200	18.4501	Below
EMA 20	20.5232	Below

Data ya Kihistoria

Open17.2025

Start Date

Day Range17.1370 – 17.2025

Market Cap

Monthly Range17.1499 – 17.9834

24h Volume

90D Range17.1499 – 18.6755

Circulating

52W Range17.1499 – 20.8362

Max Supply

Open	17.2025	Start Date
Day Range	17.1370 – 17.2025	Market Cap
Monthly Range	17.1499 – 17.9834	24h Volume
90D Range	17.1499 – 18.6755	Circulating
52W Range	17.1499 – 20.8362	Max Supply

Usaidizi & Viwango vya Upinzani

17.5952R3 — upper range

17.4279R2 — swing high

17.3024R1 — near-term cap

17.1560Bei ya SasaUSD

17.0096S1 — short-term supportSupport

16.8841S2 — trend support

16.7168S3 — range low

↑

Nearest resistance is 17.3024; break above may accelerate momentum.

↓

Nearest support sits near 17.0096; watch reaction around this zone.

⚖

Current structure is bear-leaning with daily volatility around 0.55%.

Bei Milestones

Viwango muhimu na muktadha wa kihistoria

Recent17.1560Current

Current reference level.

90D High18.6755Range High

Highest close in recent lookback window.

90D Low17.1499Range Low

Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Usahihi wa Utabiri

Jinsi mtindo wetu umefanya

74%

Mwelekeo

Forecast Accuracy

Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.

📊

Kanuni zetu husawazishwa upya kila wiki kwa kutumia hatua ya hivi punde ya bei, hali tete na viashiria vya viashirio. Usahihi hutofautiana kulingana na muda - kasi ya muda mfupi inaaminika zaidi kuliko makadirio ya muda mrefu.

Tomorrow

78%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

75%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

72%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

67%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±14%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Matukio ya Uwekezaji

Ikiwa utawekeza $1,000 katika USD leo

Bullish Case

$1,105.11

+10.51% from current

Bei Lengwa18.9593

MazingiraBreakout continuation

Uwezekano25%

Base Case

$1,040.00

+4.00% from current

Bei Lengwa17.8422

MazingiraTrend-following baseline

Uwezekano50%

Bearish Case

$856.38

-14.36% from current

Bei Lengwa14.6921

MazingiraVolatility drawdown

Uwezekano25%

Msingi: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.14% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.55% daily).

Matrix ya Uwiano

Muda wa siku 30 · jinsi USD inavyosonga na vipengee vingine

	USD
USD	1.00

Mambo ya Utabiri

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 40/100

24H drift-0.77%

7D drift-1.94%

30D drift-4.85%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 23/100

RSI42.9 · Neutral

MACD-0.10 · Bearish

MA stack0/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-Off Caution · 38/100

1M outlook-4.85%

1Y outlook-6.35%

5Y outlook-10.48%

Maswali Yanayoulizwa Mara Kwa Mara

Q What is the USD/MXN forecast for tomorrow?

USD/MXN is projected near 17.0245 versus the latest reference around 17.1560. That implies a modeled move of -0.77% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/MXN?

The weekly model points to 16.8224, which maps to an expected drift of -1.94% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 16.3245 (-4.85%), while the 1-year target is 16.0672 (-6.35%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 15.3575 with a modeled change of -10.48%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 17.3024, while nearest support is around 17.0096. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

USD/MXN Utabiri: Kesho, Wiki, Mwezi, Miaka 5

Muhtasari wa Utabiri

Chati ya Bei

Uchambuzi wa Kiufundi

Viashiria Muhimu

Data ya Kihistoria

Usaidizi & Viwango vya Upinzani

Bei Milestones

Usahihi wa Utabiri

Matukio ya Uwekezaji

Matrix ya Uwiano

Mambo ya Utabiri

Maswali Yanayoulizwa Mara Kwa Mara

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