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USD/ARS Utabiri: Kesho, Wiki, Mwezi, Miaka 5

Imesasishwa: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC

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▲ +1481.80%Technical analysis Neutral · Focus area Macro + technical

Muhtasari wa Utabiri

Muda uliopangwa	Bei Iliyotabiriwa	Zamani	Kihistoria	Maarifa
Kesho	1,410.1916 ▲ +0.80%	Jana	1,397.1127 ▼ -0.52%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.42%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.42%).
Wiki	1,426.9798 ▲ +2.00%	Wiki Iliyopita	1,447.7563 ▲ +0.71%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mwezi	1,468.9490 ▲ +5.00%	Mwezi uliopita	1,474.7455 ▲ +4.82%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Mwaka	1,501.0863 ▲ +7.30%	Mwaka jana	1,058.8801 ▲ +25.42%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Miaka 5	1,562.9518 ▲ +11.72%	Miaka 5 Iliyopita	92.1686 ▼ -91.30%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Kesho1,410.1916▲ +0.80%

Jana1,397.1127▼ -0.52%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.42%).

Wiki1,426.9798▲ +2.00%

Wiki Iliyopita1,447.7563▲ +0.71%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Mwezi1,468.9490▲ +5.00%

Mwezi uliopita1,474.7455▲ +4.82%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Mwaka1,501.0863▲ +7.30%

Mwaka jana1,058.8801▲ +25.42%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

Miaka 51,562.9518▲ +11.72%

Miaka 5 Iliyopita92.1686▼ -91.30%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Chati ya Bei

KihistoriaUtabiriBullishBearish

Uchambuzi wa Kiufundi

Bearish

Bullish

Si upande wowote

Bearish

Viashiria Muhimu

Kiashiria	Thamani	Mawimbi
RSI 14	25.5	Bearish
MACD	-0.72	Bearish
SMA 50	1,442.7770	Below
SMA 200	1,350.4091	Above
EMA 20	89.7197	Above

Data ya Kihistoria

Open1,399.0000

Start Date

Day Range1,399.0000 – 1,399.0000

Market Cap

Monthly Range1,397.1127 – 1,469.7388

24h Volume

90D Range1,348.4193 – 1,490.2386

Circulating

52W Range1,058.2578 – 1,490.2386

Max Supply

Open	1,399.0000	Start Date
Day Range	1,399.0000 – 1,399.0000	Market Cap
Monthly Range	1,397.1127 – 1,469.7388	24h Volume
90D Range	1,348.4193 – 1,490.2386	Circulating
52W Range	1,058.2578 – 1,490.2386	Max Supply

Usaidizi & Viwango vya Upinzani

1,428.3790R3 — upper range

1,417.1870R2 — swing high

1,408.7930R1 — near-term cap

1,399.0000Bei ya SasaUSD

1,389.2070S1 — short-term supportSupport

1,380.8130S2 — trend support

1,369.6210S3 — range low

↑

Nearest resistance is 1,408.7930; break above may accelerate momentum.

↓

Nearest support sits near 1,389.2070; watch reaction around this zone.

⚖

Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.42%.

Bei Milestones

Viwango muhimu na muktadha wa kihistoria

Recent1,399.0000Current

Current reference level.

90D High1,490.2386Range High

Highest close in recent lookback window.

90D Low1,348.4193Range Low

Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Usahihi wa Utabiri

Jinsi mtindo wetu umefanya

75%

Mwelekeo

Forecast Accuracy

Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.

📊

Kanuni zetu husawazishwa upya kila wiki kwa kutumia hatua ya hivi punde ya bei, hali tete na viashiria vya viashirio. Usahihi hutofautiana kulingana na muda - kasi ya muda mfupi inaaminika zaidi kuliko makadirio ya muda mrefu.

Tomorrow

79%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

76%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

73%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

68%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±14%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Matukio ya Uwekezaji

Ikiwa utawekeza $1,000 katika USD leo

Bullish Case

$1,266.11

+26.61% from current

Bei Lengwa1,771.2818

MazingiraBreakout continuation

Uwezekano25%

Base Case

$1,072.97

+7.30% from current

Bei Lengwa1,501.0863

MazingiraTrend-following baseline

Uwezekano50%

Bearish Case

$880.00

-12.00% from current

Bei Lengwa1,231.1200

MazingiraVolatility drawdown

Uwezekano25%

Msingi: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.17% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.42% daily).

Matrix ya Uwiano

Muda wa siku 30 · jinsi USD inavyosonga na vipengee vingine

	USD
USD	1.00

Mambo ya Utabiri

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bullish · 60/100

24H drift+0.80%

7D drift+2.00%

30D drift+5.00%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 25/100

RSI25.4 · Bearish

MACD-0.74 · Bearish

MA stack2/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-On Tentative · 57/100

1M outlook+5.00%

1Y outlook+7.30%

5Y outlook+11.72%

Maswali Yanayoulizwa Mara Kwa Mara

Q What is the USD/ARS forecast for tomorrow?

USD/ARS is projected near 1410.1916 versus the latest reference around 1399.0000. That implies a modeled move of +0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/ARS?

The weekly model points to 1426.9798, which maps to an expected drift of +2.00% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 1468.9490 (+5.00%), while the 1-year target is 1501.0863 (+7.30%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 1562.9518 with a modeled change of +11.72%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 1,408.7930, while nearest support is around 1,389.2070. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

USD/ARS Utabiri: Kesho, Wiki, Mwezi, Miaka 5

Muhtasari wa Utabiri

Chati ya Bei

Uchambuzi wa Kiufundi

Viashiria Muhimu

Data ya Kihistoria

Usaidizi & Viwango vya Upinzani

Bei Milestones

Usahihi wa Utabiri

Matukio ya Uwekezaji

Matrix ya Uwiano

Mambo ya Utabiri

Maswali Yanayoulizwa Mara Kwa Mara

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