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USD/ZAR 예측: 내일, 주, 월, 5년

업데이트됨: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +10.64%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Macro + technical

예측 요약

기간예상 가격과거역사적인통찰력
내일16.0518 ▲ +0.51%어제15.9478 ▲ +0.49%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.78%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.78%).
주16.1913 ▲ +1.38%지난주16.0701 ▲ +0.34%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
월16.4723 ▲ +3.14%전달16.4965 ▼ -3.97%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도15.4062 ▼ -3.54%작년18.3190 ▼ -3.74%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년15.0334 ▼ -5.87%5년 전14.5763 ▼ -20.43%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
내일16.0518▲ +0.51%
어제15.9478▲ +0.49%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.78%).
주16.1913▲ +1.38%
지난주16.0701▲ +0.34%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
월16.4723▲ +3.14%
전달16.4965▼ -3.97%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도15.4062▼ -3.54%
작년18.3190▼ -3.74%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년15.0334▼ -5.87%
5년 전14.5763▼ -20.43%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

가격 차트

역사적인예측강세약세
16.485016.311716.138415.965215.79191W AgoNow7D F

기술적 분석

팔다중립적구입하다
Bearish
1
강세
1
중립적
3
약세

주요 지표

지시자값신호
RSI 1448.9 Neutral
MACD-0.06 Bearish
SMA 5016.3978 Below
SMA 20017.2822 Below
EMA 2014.7542 Above

과거 데이터

Open15.9333
Start Date
Day Range15.8688 – 15.9965
Market Cap
Monthly Range15.7100 – 16.5121
24h Volume
90D Range15.7100 – 17.4910
Circulating
52W Range15.7100 – 19.7578
Max Supply
Open15.9333Start Date
Day Range15.8688 – 15.9965Market Cap
Monthly Range15.7100 – 16.512124h Volume
90D Range15.7100 – 17.4910Circulating
52W Range15.7100 – 19.7578Max Supply

지지 및 저항 수준

16.5481R3 — upper range
16.3283R2 — swing high
16.1634R1 — near-term cap
15.9710현재 가격USD
15.7786S1 — short-term supportSupport
15.6137S2 — trend support
15.3939S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is 16.1634; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near 15.7786; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 0.78%.

가격 이정표

주요 수준 및 역사적 맥락
Recent15.9710Current
Current reference level.
90D High17.4910Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low15.7100Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

예측 정확도

우리 모델의 성능
74%
방향성
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
우리의 알고리즘은 최신 가격 조치, 변동성 체제 및 지표 신호를 사용하여 매주 재보정됩니다. 정확도는 기간에 따라 다릅니다. 단기적인 모멘텀이 장기 예측보다 더 안정적입니다.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

투자 시나리오

오늘 USD에 $1,000를 투자한다면
Bullish Case
$1,138.27
+13.83% from current
목표가격18.1793
대본Breakout continuation
개연성25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
목표가격16.6098
대본Trend-following baseline
개연성50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
목표가격14.0545
대본Volatility drawdown
개연성25%
기초: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.10% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.78% daily).

상관 행렬

30일 롤링 · USD가 다른 자산과 함께 이동하는 방법
USD
USD1.00

예측 요인

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 57/100
24H drift+0.51%
7D drift+1.38%
30D drift+3.14%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 31/100
RSI48.8 · Neutral
MACD-0.07 · Bearish
MA stack1/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 47/100
1M outlook+3.14%
1Y outlook-3.54%
5Y outlook-5.87%

자주 묻는 질문

Q What is the USD/ZAR forecast for tomorrow?
USD/ZAR is projected near 16.0518 versus the latest reference around 15.9710. That implies a modeled move of +0.51% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/ZAR?
The weekly model points to 16.1913, which maps to an expected drift of +1.38% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 16.4723 (+3.14%), while the 1-year target is 15.4062 (-3.54%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 15.0334 with a modeled change of -5.87%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 16.1634, while nearest support is around 15.7786. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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