USD/TRY 예측: 내일, 주, 월, 5년

업데이트됨: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC

From

▲ +527.95%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Macro + technical

예측 요약

기간	예상 가격	과거	역사적인	통찰력
내일	43.8085 ▲ +0.28%	어제	43.7281 ▲ +0.21%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.11%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.11%).
주	43.9920 ▲ +0.70%	지난주	43.5195 ▲ +0.32%	7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
월	44.4507 ▲ +1.75%	전달	43.0112 ▲ +1.58%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도	45.3797 ▲ +3.88%	작년	36.3856 ▲ +15.25%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년	47.4325 ▲ +8.58%	5년 전	8.1710 ▼ -77.54%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

내일43.8085▲ +0.28%

어제43.7281▲ +0.21%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.11%).

주43.9920▲ +0.70%

지난주43.5195▲ +0.32%

7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.

월44.4507▲ +1.75%

전달43.0112▲ +1.58%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

년도45.3797▲ +3.88%

작년36.3856▲ +15.25%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5년47.4325▲ +8.58%

5년 전8.1710▼ -77.54%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

가격 차트

역사적인예측강세약세

기술적 분석

Bullish

강세

중립적

약세

주요 지표

지시자	값	신호
RSI 14	71.8	Bullish
MACD	-0.22	Bearish
SMA 50	43.1198	Above
SMA 200	41.3832	Above
EMA 20	7.2612	Above

과거 데이터

Open43.6705

Start Date

Day Range43.5966 – 43.7294

Market Cap

Monthly Range43.0366 – 43.7281

24h Volume

90D Range41.8123 – 43.7281

Circulating

52W Range36.4115 – 43.7281

Max Supply

Open	43.6705	Start Date
Day Range	43.5966 – 43.7294	Market Cap
Monthly Range	43.0366 – 43.7281	24h Volume
90D Range	41.8123 – 43.7281	Circulating
52W Range	36.4115 – 43.7281	Max Supply

지지 및 저항 수준

44.6036R3 — upper range

44.2541R2 — swing high

43.9920R1 — near-term cap

43.6862현재 가격USD

43.3804S1 — short-term supportSupport

43.1183S2 — trend support

42.7688S3 — range low

↑

Nearest resistance is 43.9920; break above may accelerate momentum.

↓

Nearest support sits near 43.3804; watch reaction around this zone.

⚖

Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 0.11%.

가격 이정표

주요 수준 및 역사적 맥락

Recent43.6862Current

Current reference level.

90D High43.7281Range High

Highest close in recent lookback window.

90D Low41.8123Range Low

Lowest close in recent lookback window.

예측 정확도

우리 모델의 성능

74%

방향성

Forecast Accuracy

Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.

📊

우리의 알고리즘은 최신 가격 조치, 변동성 체제 및 지표 신호를 사용하여 매주 재보정됩니다. 정확도는 기간에 따라 다릅니다. 단기적인 모멘텀이 장기 예측보다 더 안정적입니다.

Tomorrow

78%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

75%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

72%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

67%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±14%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

투자 시나리오

오늘 USD에 $1,000를 투자한다면

Bullish Case

$1,225.74

+22.57% from current

목표가격53.5481

대본Breakout continuation

개연성25%

Base Case

$1,040.00

+4.00% from current

목표가격45.4336

대본Trend-following baseline

개연성50%

Bearish Case

$880.00

-12.00% from current

목표가격38.4439

대본Volatility drawdown

개연성25%

기초: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.05% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.11% daily).

상관 행렬

30일 롤링 · USD가 다른 자산과 함께 이동하는 방법

	USD
USD	1.00

예측 요인

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Balanced · 54/100

24H drift+0.28%

7D drift+0.70%

30D drift+1.75%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 63/100

RSI71.8 · Bullish

MACD-0.23 · Bearish

MA stack3/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 54/100

1M outlook+1.75%

1Y outlook+3.88%

5Y outlook+8.58%

자주 묻는 질문

Q What is the USD/TRY forecast for tomorrow?

USD/TRY is projected near 43.8085 versus the latest reference around 43.6862. That implies a modeled move of +0.28% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/TRY?

The weekly model points to 43.9920, which maps to an expected drift of +0.70% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 44.4507 (+1.75%), while the 1-year target is 45.3797 (+3.88%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 47.4325 with a modeled change of +8.58%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 43.9920, while nearest support is around 43.3804. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

USD/TRY 예측: 내일, 주, 월, 5년

예측 요약

가격 차트

기술적 분석

주요 지표

과거 데이터

지지 및 저항 수준

가격 이정표

예측 정확도

투자 시나리오

상관 행렬

예측 요인

자주 묻는 질문

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