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GBP/JPY 예측: 내일, 주, 월, 5년

업데이트됨: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +42.68%Technical analysis Neutral · Focus area Macro + technical

예측 요약

기간예상 가격과거역사적인통찰력
내일210.8611 +0.80%어제208.1060 -0.33%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.54%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.54%).
213.3715 +2.00%지난주214.0900 +1.43%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
219.6447 +5.00%전달210.9570 +2.89%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도223.2241 +6.71%작년189.2700 -0.87%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년231.9237 +10.87%5년 전150.3990 -20.54%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
내일210.8611 +0.80%
어제208.1060 -0.33%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.54%).
213.3715 +2.00%
지난주214.0900 +1.43%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
219.6447 +5.00%
전달210.9570 +2.89%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도223.2241 +6.71%
작년189.2700 -0.87%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년231.9237 +10.87%
5년 전150.3990 -20.54%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

가격 차트

역사적인예측강세약세
216.2392214.2621212.2850210.3079208.33081W AgoNow7D F

기술적 분석

팔다중립적구입하다
Bearish
2
강세
0
중립적
3
약세

주요 지표

지시자신호
RSI 1443.8 Bearish
MACD-1.02 Bearish
SMA 50210.8327 Below
SMA 200202.1555 Above
EMA 20148.7661 Above

과거 데이터

Open208.3490
Start Date
Day Range208.1880 – 209.6830
Market Cap
Monthly Range208.1060 – 214.0900
24h Volume
90D Range199.9200 – 214.0900
Circulating
52W Range186.5150 – 214.0900
Max Supply
Open208.3490Start Date
Day Range208.1880 – 209.6830Market Cap
Monthly Range208.1060 – 214.090024h Volume
90D Range199.9200 – 214.0900Circulating
52W Range186.5150 – 214.0900Max Supply

지지 및 저항 수준

214.4329R3 — upper range
212.4352R2 — swing high
210.9370R1 — near-term cap
209.1890현재 가격GBP
207.4410S1 — short-term supportSupport
205.9428S2 — trend support
203.9451S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 210.9370; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 207.4410; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.54%.

가격 이정표

주요 수준 및 역사적 맥락
Recent209.1890Current
Current reference level.
90D High214.0900Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low199.9200Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

예측 정확도

우리 모델의 성능
74%
방향성
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
우리의 알고리즘은 최신 가격 조치, 변동성 체제 및 지표 신호를 사용하여 매주 재보정됩니다. 정확도는 기간에 따라 다릅니다. 단기적인 모멘텀이 장기 예측보다 더 안정적입니다.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

투자 시나리오

오늘 GBP에 $1,000를 투자한다면
Bullish Case
$1,259.17
+25.92% from current
목표가격263.4044
대본Breakout continuation
개연성25%
Base Case
$1,067.09
+6.71% from current
목표가격223.2241
대본Trend-following baseline
개연성50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
목표가격184.0863
대본Volatility drawdown
개연성25%
기초: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.03% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.54% daily).

상관 행렬

30일 롤링 · GBP가 다른 자산과 함께 이동하는 방법
GBP
GBP1.00

예측 요인

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 60/100
24H drift+0.80%
7D drift+2.00%
30D drift+5.00%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 40/100
RSI43.7 · Neutral
MACD-1.04 · Bearish
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 57/100
1M outlook+5.00%
1Y outlook+6.71%
5Y outlook+10.87%

자주 묻는 질문

Q What is the GBP/JPY forecast for tomorrow?
GBP/JPY is projected near 210.8611 versus the latest reference around 209.1890. That implies a modeled move of +0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for GBP/JPY?
The weekly model points to 213.3715, which maps to an expected drift of +2.00% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 219.6447 (+5.00%), while the 1-year target is 223.2241 (+6.71%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 231.9237 with a modeled change of +10.87%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 210.9370, while nearest support is around 207.4410. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.