USD/TWD 예측: 내일, 주, 월, 5년

업데이트됨: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC

From

▲ +12.02%Technical analysis Neutral · Focus area Macro + technical

예측 요약

기간	예상 가격	과거	역사적인	통찰력
내일	31.5613 ▲ +0.65%	어제	31.4169 ▲ +0.25%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.35%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.35%).
주	31.9039 ▲ +1.74%	지난주	31.6571 ▲ +0.69%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
월	32.5746 ▲ +3.88%	전달	31.3587 ▲ +0.56%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도	32.5252 ▲ +3.72%	작년	32.6933 ▲ +3.76%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년	33.1905 ▲ +5.84%	5년 전	28.5000 ▼ -12.83%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

내일31.5613▲ +0.65%

어제31.4169▲ +0.25%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.35%).

주31.9039▲ +1.74%

지난주31.6571▲ +0.69%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

월32.5746▲ +3.88%

전달31.3587▲ +0.56%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

년도32.5252▲ +3.72%

작년32.6933▲ +3.76%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5년33.1905▲ +5.84%

5년 전28.5000▼ -12.83%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

가격 차트

역사적인예측강세약세

기술적 분석

Neutral

강세

중립적

약세

주요 지표

지시자	값	신호
RSI 14	47.1	Neutral
MACD	-0.06	Bearish
SMA 50	31.4475	Below
SMA 200	30.5104	Above
EMA 20	27.9615	Above

과거 데이터

Open31.4120

Start Date

Day Range31.2840 – 31.4120

Market Cap

Monthly Range31.1103 – 31.6823

24h Volume

90D Range30.5431 – 31.6823

Circulating

52W Range28.8190 – 33.2625

Max Supply

Open	31.4120	Start Date
Day Range	31.2840 – 31.4120	Market Cap
Monthly Range	31.1103 – 31.6823	24h Volume
90D Range	30.5431 – 31.6823	Circulating
52W Range	28.8190 – 33.2625	Max Supply

지지 및 저항 수준

32.0175R3 — upper range

31.7667R2 — swing high

31.5785R1 — near-term cap

31.3590현재 가격USD

31.1395S1 — short-term supportSupport

30.9513S2 — trend support

30.7005S3 — range low

↑

Nearest resistance is 31.5785; break above may accelerate momentum.

↓

Nearest support sits near 31.1395; watch reaction around this zone.

⚖

Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.35%.

가격 이정표

주요 수준 및 역사적 맥락

Recent31.3590Current

Current reference level.

90D High31.6823Range High

Highest close in recent lookback window.

90D Low30.5431Range Low

Lowest close in recent lookback window.

예측 정확도

우리 모델의 성능

74%

방향성

Forecast Accuracy

Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.

📊

우리의 알고리즘은 최신 가격 조치, 변동성 체제 및 지표 신호를 사용하여 매주 재보정됩니다. 정확도는 기간에 따라 다릅니다. 단기적인 모멘텀이 장기 예측보다 더 안정적입니다.

Tomorrow

78%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

75%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

72%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

67%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±14%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

투자 시나리오

오늘 USD에 $1,000를 투자한다면

Bullish Case

$1,223.88

+22.39% from current

목표가격38.3797

대본Breakout continuation

개연성25%

Base Case

$1,040.00

+4.00% from current

목표가격32.6134

대본Trend-following baseline

개연성50%

Bearish Case

$880.00

-12.00% from current

목표가격27.5959

대본Volatility drawdown

개연성25%

기초: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.00% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.35% daily).

상관 행렬

30일 롤링 · USD가 다른 자산과 함께 이동하는 방법

	USD
USD	1.00

예측 요인

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bullish · 58/100

24H drift+0.65%

7D drift+1.74%

30D drift+3.88%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 40/100

RSI47.0 · Neutral

MACD-0.07 · Bearish

MA stack2/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 54/100

1M outlook+3.88%

1Y outlook+3.72%

5Y outlook+5.84%

자주 묻는 질문

Q What is the USD/TWD forecast for tomorrow?

USD/TWD is projected near 31.5613 versus the latest reference around 31.3590. That implies a modeled move of +0.65% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/TWD?

The weekly model points to 31.9039, which maps to an expected drift of +1.74% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 32.5746 (+3.88%), while the 1-year target is 32.5252 (+3.72%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 33.1905 with a modeled change of +5.84%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 31.5785, while nearest support is around 31.1395. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

USD/TWD 예측: 내일, 주, 월, 5년

예측 요약

가격 차트

기술적 분석

주요 지표

과거 데이터

지지 및 저항 수준

가격 이정표

예측 정확도

투자 시나리오

상관 행렬

예측 요인

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