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CHF/JPY 예측: 내일, 주, 월, 5년

업데이트됨: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +68.44%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Macro + technical

예측 요약

기간예상 가격과거역사적인통찰력
내일201.0617 ▲ +0.80%어제198.5590 ▼ -0.09%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
주203.4553 ▲ +2.00%지난주201.8496 ▲ +1.67%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
월209.4392 ▲ +5.00%전달197.8420 ▲ +1.49%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도217.1976 ▲ +8.89%작년166.3360 ▼ -2.13%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년230.8122 ▲ +15.72%5년 전118.5343 ▼ -28.74%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
내일201.0617▲ +0.80%
어제198.5590▼ -0.09%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
주203.4553▲ +2.00%
지난주201.8496▲ +1.67%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
월209.4392▲ +5.00%
전달197.8420▲ +1.49%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도217.1976▲ +8.89%
작년166.3360▼ -2.13%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년230.8122▲ +15.72%
5년 전118.5343▼ -28.74%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

가격 차트

역사적인예측강세약세
206.1897204.3045202.4194200.5342198.64901W AgoNow7D F

기술적 분석

팔다중립적구입하다
Bullish
4
강세
1
중립적
0
약세

주요 지표

지시자값신호
RSI 1453.5 Neutral
MACD0.21 Bullish
SMA 50198.0225 Above
SMA 200187.8576 Above
EMA 20117.4471 Above

과거 데이터

Open198.6320
Start Date
Day Range198.4640 – 199.7140
Market Cap
Monthly Range196.2641 – 203.4987
24h Volume
90D Range189.2807 – 203.4987
Circulating
52W Range166.2490 – 203.4987
Max Supply
Open198.6320Start Date
Day Range198.4640 – 199.7140Market Cap
Monthly Range196.2641 – 203.498724h Volume
90D Range189.2807 – 203.4987Circulating
52W Range166.2490 – 203.4987Max Supply

지지 및 저항 수준

204.5734R3 — upper range
202.6277R2 — swing high
201.1685R1 — near-term cap
199.4660현재 가격CHF
197.7635S1 — short-term supportSupport
196.3043S2 — trend support
194.3586S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is 201.1685; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near 197.7635; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.55%.

가격 이정표

주요 수준 및 역사적 맥락
Recent199.4660Current
Current reference level.
90D High203.4987Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low189.2807Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

예측 정확도

우리 모델의 성능
74%
방향성
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
우리의 알고리즘은 최신 가격 조치, 변동성 체제 및 지표 신호를 사용하여 매주 재보정됩니다. 정확도는 기간에 따라 다릅니다. 단기적인 모멘텀이 장기 예측보다 더 안정적입니다.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

투자 시나리오

오늘 CHF에 $1,000를 투자한다면
Bullish Case
$1,284.90
+28.49% from current
목표가격256.2931
대본Breakout continuation
개연성25%
Base Case
$1,088.90
+8.89% from current
목표가격217.1976
대본Trend-following baseline
개연성50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
목표가격175.5301
대본Volatility drawdown
개연성25%
기초: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.03% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.55% daily).

상관 행렬

30일 롤링 · CHF가 다른 자산과 함께 이동하는 방법
CHF
CHF1.00

예측 요인

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 60/100
24H drift+0.80%
7D drift+2.00%
30D drift+5.00%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 77/100
RSI53.4 · Neutral
MACD0.19 · Bullish
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 59/100
1M outlook+5.00%
1Y outlook+8.89%
5Y outlook+15.72%

자주 묻는 질문

Q What is the CHF/JPY forecast for tomorrow?
CHF/JPY is projected near 201.0617 versus the latest reference around 199.4660. That implies a modeled move of +0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for CHF/JPY?
The weekly model points to 203.4553, which maps to an expected drift of +2.00% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 209.4392 (+5.00%), while the 1-year target is 217.1976 (+8.89%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 230.8122 with a modeled change of +15.72%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 201.1685, while nearest support is around 197.7635. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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