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USD/KRW 예측: 내일, 주, 월, 5년

업데이트됨: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +31.02%Technical analysis Neutral · Focus area Macro + technical

예측 요약

기간예상 가격과거역사적인통찰력
내일1,455.6002 +0.79%어제1,440.9000 -0.23%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.56%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.56%).
1,472.9152 +1.99%지난주1,460.1100 +1.33%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
1,516.0687 +4.98%전달1,440.4800 -1.75%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도1,519.5341 +5.22%작년1,431.7000 +7.73%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년1,562.2975 +8.18%5년 전1,122.0601 -21.63%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
내일1,455.6002 +0.79%
어제1,440.9000 -0.23%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.56%).
1,472.9152 +1.99%
지난주1,460.1100 +1.33%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
1,516.0687 +4.98%
전달1,440.4800 -1.75%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도1,519.5341 +5.22%
작년1,431.7000 +7.73%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년1,562.2975 +8.18%
5년 전1,122.0601 -21.63%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

가격 차트

역사적인예측강세약세
1492.71121479.06671465.42211451.77761438.13301W AgoNow7D F

기술적 분석

팔다중립적구입하다
Bearish
2
강세
1
중립적
2
약세

주요 지표

지시자신호
RSI 1451.7 Neutral
MACD-6.13 Bearish
SMA 501,457.5216 Below
SMA 2001,414.2241 Above
EMA 201,114.8678 Above

과거 데이터

Open1,443.3000
Start Date
Day Range1,437.8800 – 1,445.2100
Market Cap
Monthly Range1,428.7600 – 1,477.7800
24h Volume
90D Range1,415.7200 – 1,478.6700
Circulating
52W Range1,348.5000 – 1,486.1300
Max Supply
Open1,443.3000Start Date
Day Range1,437.8800 – 1,445.2100Market Cap
Monthly Range1,428.7600 – 1,477.780024h Volume
90D Range1,415.7200 – 1,478.6700Circulating
52W Range1,348.5000 – 1,486.1300Max Supply

지지 및 저항 수준

1,481.6108R3 — upper range
1,467.3286R2 — swing high
1,456.6169R1 — near-term cap
1,444.1200현재 가격USD
1,431.6231S1 — short-term supportSupport
1,420.9114S2 — trend support
1,406.6292S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 1,456.6169; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 1,431.6231; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.56%.

가격 이정표

주요 수준 및 역사적 맥락
Recent1,444.1200Current
Current reference level.
90D High1,478.6700Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low1,415.7200Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

예측 정확도

우리 모델의 성능
74%
방향성
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
우리의 알고리즘은 최신 가격 조치, 변동성 체제 및 지표 신호를 사용하여 매주 재보정됩니다. 정확도는 기간에 따라 다릅니다. 단기적인 모멘텀이 장기 예측보다 더 안정적입니다.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

투자 시나리오

오늘 USD에 $1,000를 투자한다면
Bullish Case
$1,241.62
+24.16% from current
목표가격1,793.0502
대본Breakout continuation
개연성25%
Base Case
$1,052.22
+5.22% from current
목표가격1,519.5341
대본Trend-following baseline
개연성50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
목표가격1,270.8256
대본Volatility drawdown
개연성25%
기초: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.01% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.56% daily).

상관 행렬

30일 롤링 · USD가 다른 자산과 함께 이동하는 방법
USD
USD1.00

예측 요인

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 60/100
24H drift+0.79%
7D drift+1.99%
30D drift+4.98%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 40/100
RSI51.6 · Neutral
MACD-6.15 · Bearish
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 56/100
1M outlook+4.98%
1Y outlook+5.22%
5Y outlook+8.18%

자주 묻는 질문

Q What is the USD/KRW forecast for tomorrow?
USD/KRW is projected near 1455.6002 versus the latest reference around 1444.1200. That implies a modeled move of +0.79% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/KRW?
The weekly model points to 1472.9152, which maps to an expected drift of +1.99% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 1516.0687 (+4.98%), while the 1-year target is 1519.5341 (+5.22%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 1562.2975 with a modeled change of +8.18%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 1,456.6169, while nearest support is around 1,431.6231. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.