USD/IDR 예측: 내일, 주, 월, 5년

업데이트됨: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC

From

▲ +21.09%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Macro + technical

예측 요약

기간	예상 가격	과거	역사적인	통찰력
내일	16,927.8098 ▲ +0.52%	어제	16,809.0000 ▲ +0.09%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.24%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.24%).
주	17,072.5913 ▲ +1.38%	지난주	16,800.0000 ▲ +0.39%	7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
월	17,322.3336 ▲ +2.86%	전달	16,683.0000 ▼ -0.02%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도	17,530.2240 ▲ +4.10%	작년	16,245.0996 ▲ +3.04%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년	17,936.6578 ▲ +6.51%	5년 전	14,558.0000 ▼ -10.39%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

내일16,927.8098▲ +0.52%

어제16,809.0000▲ +0.09%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.24%).

주17,072.5913▲ +1.38%

지난주16,800.0000▲ +0.39%

7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.

월17,322.3336▲ +2.86%

전달16,683.0000▼ -0.02%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

년도17,530.2240▲ +4.10%

작년16,245.0996▲ +3.04%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5년17,936.6578▲ +6.51%

5년 전14,558.0000▼ -10.39%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

가격 차트

역사적인예측강세약세

기술적 분석

Bullish

강세

중립적

약세

주요 지표

지시자	값	신호
RSI 14	61.4	Bullish
MACD	-122.12	Bearish
SMA 50	16,759.8120	Above
SMA 200	16,507.4959	Above
EMA 20	14,141.9900	Above

과거 데이터

Open16,835.0000

Start Date

Day Range16,835.0000 – 16,840.0000

Market Cap

Monthly Range16,674.6992 – 16,960.0996

24h Volume

90D Range16,150.0000 – 16,960.0996

Circulating

52W Range15,598.5000 – 17,051.9004

Max Supply

Open	16,835.0000	Start Date
Day Range	16,835.0000 – 16,840.0000	Market Cap
Monthly Range	16,674.6992 – 16,960.0996	24h Volume
90D Range	16,150.0000 – 16,960.0996	Circulating
52W Range	15,598.5000 – 17,051.9004	Max Supply

지지 및 저항 수준

17,193.6400R3 — upper range

17,058.9200R2 — swing high

16,957.8800R1 — near-term cap

16,840.0000현재 가격USD

16,722.1200S1 — short-term supportSupport

16,621.0800S2 — trend support

16,486.3600S3 — range low

↑

Nearest resistance is 16,957.8800; break above may accelerate momentum.

↓

Nearest support sits near 16,722.1200; watch reaction around this zone.

⚖

Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.24%.

가격 이정표

주요 수준 및 역사적 맥락

Recent16,840.0000Current

Current reference level.

90D High16,960.0996Range High

Highest close in recent lookback window.

90D Low16,150.0000Range Low

Lowest close in recent lookback window.

예측 정확도

우리 모델의 성능

74%

방향성

Forecast Accuracy

Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.

📊

우리의 알고리즘은 최신 가격 조치, 변동성 체제 및 지표 신호를 사용하여 매주 재보정됩니다. 정확도는 기간에 따라 다릅니다. 단기적인 모멘텀이 장기 예측보다 더 안정적입니다.

Tomorrow

78%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

75%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

72%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

67%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±14%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

투자 시나리오

오늘 USD에 $1,000를 투자한다면

Bullish Case

$1,228.36

+22.84% from current

목표가격20,685.6643

대본Breakout continuation

개연성25%

Base Case

$1,040.99

+4.10% from current

목표가격17,530.2240

대본Trend-following baseline

개연성50%

Bearish Case

$880.00

-12.00% from current

목표가격14,819.2000

대본Volatility drawdown

개연성25%

기초: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.03% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.24% daily).

상관 행렬

30일 롤링 · USD가 다른 자산과 함께 이동하는 방법

	USD
USD	1.00

예측 요인

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Balanced · 56/100

24H drift+0.52%

7D drift+1.38%

30D drift+2.86%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 63/100

RSI61.3 · Bullish

MACD-122.13 · Bearish

MA stack3/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 54/100

1M outlook+2.86%

1Y outlook+4.10%

5Y outlook+6.51%

자주 묻는 질문

Q What is the USD/IDR forecast for tomorrow?

USD/IDR is projected near 16927.8098 versus the latest reference around 16840.0000. That implies a modeled move of +0.52% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/IDR?

The weekly model points to 17072.5913, which maps to an expected drift of +1.38% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 17322.3336 (+2.86%), while the 1-year target is 17530.2240 (+4.10%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 17936.6578 with a modeled change of +6.51%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 16,957.8800, while nearest support is around 16,722.1200. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

USD/IDR 예측: 내일, 주, 월, 5년

예측 요약

가격 차트

기술적 분석

주요 지표

과거 데이터

지지 및 저항 수준

가격 이정표

예측 정확도

투자 시나리오

상관 행렬

예측 요인

자주 묻는 질문

Recommended Forecasts

Stronger Bullish Ideas

Weaker Bearish Ideas