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USD/PEN 예측: 내일, 주, 월, 5년

업데이트됨: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -6.54%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Macro + technical

예측 요약

기간예상 가격과거역사적인통찰력
내일3.3287 -0.53%어제3.3530 -0.03%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~1.39%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~1.39%).
3.2978 -1.45%지난주3.2922 +0.35%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
3.2229 -3.69%전달3.2953 -2.48%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도3.2623 -2.51%작년3.6830 -2.28%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년3.2159 -3.90%5년 전3.6250 -1.57%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
내일3.3287 -0.53%
어제3.3530 -0.03%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~1.39%).
3.2978 -1.45%
지난주3.2922 +0.35%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
3.2229 -3.69%
전달3.2953 -2.48%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도3.2623 -2.51%
작년3.6830 -2.28%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년3.2159 -3.90%
5년 전3.6250 -1.57%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

가격 차트

역사적인예측강세약세
3.42443.36623.30803.24973.19151W AgoNow7D F

기술적 분석

팔다중립적구입하다
Neutral
2
강세
1
중립적
2
약세

주요 지표

지시자신호
RSI 1456.1 Bullish
MACD-0.03 Neutral
SMA 503.3333 Above
SMA 2003.4480 Below
EMA 203.6467 Below

과거 데이터

Open3.3508
Start Date
Day Range3.3452 – 3.3527
Market Cap
Monthly Range3.2614 – 3.3650
24h Volume
90D Range3.2614 – 3.4200
Circulating
52W Range3.2614 – 3.7610
Max Supply
Open3.3508Start Date
Day Range3.3452 – 3.3527Market Cap
Monthly Range3.2614 – 3.365024h Volume
90D Range3.2614 – 3.4200Circulating
52W Range3.2614 – 3.7610Max Supply

지지 및 저항 수준

3.5612R3 — upper range
3.4793R2 — swing high
3.4179R1 — near-term cap
3.3463현재 가격USD
3.2747S1 — short-term supportSupport
3.2133S2 — trend support
3.1314S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 3.4179; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 3.2747; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 1.39%.

가격 이정표

주요 수준 및 역사적 맥락
Recent3.3463Current
Current reference level.
90D High3.4200Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low3.2614Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

예측 정확도

우리 모델의 성능
73%
방향성
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
우리의 알고리즘은 최신 가격 조치, 변동성 체제 및 지표 신호를 사용하여 매주 재보정됩니다. 정확도는 기간에 따라 다릅니다. 단기적인 모멘텀이 장기 예측보다 더 안정적입니다.
Tomorrow
77%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
74%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
71%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
66%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

투자 시나리오

오늘 USD에 $1,000를 투자한다면
Bullish Case
$1,150.39
+15.04% from current
목표가격3.8495
대본Breakout continuation
개연성25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
목표가격3.4802
대본Trend-following baseline
개연성50%
Bearish Case
$866.81
-13.32% from current
목표가격2.9006
대본Volatility drawdown
개연성25%
기초: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.06% / 30D) and volatility regime (1.39% daily).

상관 행렬

30일 롤링 · USD가 다른 자산과 함께 이동하는 방법
USD
USD1.00

예측 요인

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 43/100
24H drift-0.53%
7D drift-1.45%
30D drift-3.69%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 31/100
RSI56.2 · Neutral
MACD-0.02 · Bearish
MA stack1/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 44/100
1M outlook-3.69%
1Y outlook-2.51%
5Y outlook-3.90%

자주 묻는 질문

Q What is the USD/PEN forecast for tomorrow?
USD/PEN is projected near 3.3287 versus the latest reference around 3.3463. That implies a modeled move of -0.53% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/PEN?
The weekly model points to 3.2978, which maps to an expected drift of -1.45% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 3.2229 (-3.69%), while the 1-year target is 3.2623 (-2.51%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 3.2159 with a modeled change of -3.90%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 3.4179, while nearest support is around 3.2747. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.