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USD/PEN Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

업데이트됨: March 15, 2026 at 15:28 UTC
▲ +2.80%TA 약세 · Focus 매크로 + 기술

예측 요약

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기간예상 가격과거역사적인통찰력
내일3.4311 ▼ -0.80%어제3.3646 ▲ +2.80%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~1.39%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~1.39%).
주3.3909 ▼ -1.96%지난주3.3424 ▲ +3.48%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
월3.3071 ▼ -4.39%전달3.3530 ▲ +3.16%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도3.2810 ▼ -5.14%작년3.5878 ▼ -3.60%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년3.2254 ▼ -6.75%5년 전3.7020 ▼ -6.57%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
내일3.4311▼ -0.80%
어제3.3646▲ +2.80%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~1.39%).
주3.3909▼ -1.96%
지난주3.3424▲ +3.48%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
월3.3071▼ -4.39%
전달3.3530▲ +3.16%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도3.2810▼ -5.14%
작년3.5878▼ -3.60%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년3.2254▼ -6.75%
5년 전3.7020▼ -6.57%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

가격 차트

역사적인예측강세약세
3.48753.44783.40803.36823.32841W AgoNow7D F

기술적 분석

팔다중립적구입하다
Bullish
3
강세
1
중립적
1
약세

주요 지표

지시자값신호
RSI 1440.5 Bearish
MACD-0.02 Neutral
SMA 503.3825 Above
SMA 2003.4375 Above
EMA 203.4394 Above

과거 데이터

Open3.3646
Start Date2001-05-31
Day Range3.4588 – 3.4588
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range3.2746 – 3.4870
24h Volumen/a
90D Range3.2614 – 3.4870
Circulatingn/a
52W Range3.2614 – 3.8040
Max Supplyn/a
Open3.3646Start Date2001-05-31
Day Range3.4588 – 3.4588Market Capn/a
Monthly Range3.2746 – 3.487024h Volumen/a
90D Range3.2614 – 3.4870Circulatingn/a
52W Range3.2614 – 3.8040Max Supplyn/a

지지 및 저항 수준

3.6105R3 — major ceiling
3.5650R2 — swing resistance
3.5195R1 — near-term resistance
3.4588현재 가격USD
3.3896S1 — near-term supportSupport
3.2859S2 — structure support
3.1821S3 — deep support
↑
Nearest resistance sits near 3.5195; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
↓
Nearest support is around 3.3896; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
⚖
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 1.83% daily realized volatility.

가격 이정표

주요 수준 및 역사적 맥락
Recent3.4588Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High3.4588Local High0.00%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low3.4588Local Low0.00%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target3.3071Model 1M-4.39%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target3.2810Model 1Y-5.14%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario3.2254Model 5Y-6.75%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

예측 정확도

우리 모델의 성능
82%
방향성
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (1.83% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
우리의 알고리즘은 최신 가격 조치, 변동성 체제 및 지표 신호를 사용하여 매주 재보정됩니다. 정확도는 기간에 따라 다릅니다. 단기적인 모멘텀이 장기 예측보다 더 안정적입니다.
Tomorrow
85%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
83%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
80%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
75%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±3.0%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

투자 시나리오

오늘 USD에 $1,000를 투자한다면
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
목표가격3.8739
대본Breakout continuation
개연성32%
Base Case
$956.14
-4.39% from current
목표가격3.3071
대본Trend-following baseline
개연성40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
목표가격3.1821
대본Volatility drawdown
개연성28%
기초: Scenario engine blends live drift (-4.39% / 30D) and realized volatility (1.83% daily).

상관 행렬

30일 롤링 · USD가 다른 자산과 함께 이동하는 방법
USDEURCADUSDPENEURNZDUSDMXNEURAUD
USD1.00-0.880.85-0.810.80-0.79
EURCAD-0.881.00-0.960.70-0.900.68
USDPEN0.85-0.961.00-0.610.93-0.56
EURNZD-0.810.70-0.611.00-0.450.97
USDMXN0.80-0.900.93-0.451.00-0.37
EURAUD-0.790.68-0.560.97-0.371.00

예측 요인

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 40/100
24H drift-0.80%
7D drift-1.96%
30D drift-4.39%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Mixed — Watching · 48/100
RSI40.6 · Bearish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 41/100
1M outlook-4.39%
1Y outlook-5.14%
5Y outlook-6.75%

자주 묻는 질문

Q What is the USD forecast for tomorrow?
USD is projected near 3.4311 versus the latest reference around 3.4588. That implies a modeled move of -0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD?
The weekly model points to 3.3909, which maps to an expected drift of -1.96% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 3.3071 (-4.39%), while the 1-year target is 3.2810 (-5.14%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 3.2254 with a modeled change of -6.75%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 3.5195, while nearest support is around 3.3896. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 3.4588 to 3.4588. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.